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Angela Carollo

@angelacar

Applied statistician at @mpidr.bsky.social. I am passionate about using time-to-event models to study socio-demographic and medical outcomes. I might ask you about the time scale in your model :)

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12.10.2023
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Latest posts by Angela Carollo @angelacar

IYKYK :D

04.03.2026 08:51 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Person holding a certificate with the inscription β€˜Best Paper Award 2026’ in front of a window overlooking water and buildings.

Person holding a certificate with the inscription β€˜Best Paper Award 2026’ in front of a window overlooking water and buildings.

πŸŽ‰Congrats πŸ‘‹ DGD Best Paper Award for Philipp Dierker
He received the award for his paper "Re-partnering and single mothersβ€˜ mental health and life satisfaction trajectories". https://www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_events_6123/news_press_releases_4630/news/dgd_best_paper_award_for_philipp_dierker_15047

20.02.2026 09:07 πŸ‘ 24 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Job opening for postdoctoral researchers at the Max Planck Institute for Demographic-Epidemiology.

Job opening for postdoctoral researchers at the Max Planck Institute for Demographic-Epidemiology.

The Medical Demography research group explains its goals for studying disease progression and its effects on health and the population.

The Medical Demography research group explains its goals for studying disease progression and its effects on health and the population.

We are looking for a PhD in demography, sociology, epidemiology, or related fields with experience in quantitative health data analysis.

We are looking for a PhD in demography, sociology, epidemiology, or related fields with experience in quantitative health data analysis.

Apply now: The application deadline is March 22, 2026. For more information, visit www.demogr.mpg.de/go/jobs.

Apply now: The application deadline is March 22, 2026. For more information, visit www.demogr.mpg.de/go/jobs.

πŸ“’Job Offer‼️New Max Planck Research Group on Medical Demography
Marcus Ebeling will lead the team starting on 1 July 2026. The research group will be based at the MPIDR in Rostock. Read an interview with Marcus on his future research here: www.demogr.mpg.de/go/rgmd (including link to job) #postdoc


09.02.2026 08:30 πŸ‘ 19 πŸ” 20 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Wonderful and clear explanation from one of my favorite scientists!

02.02.2026 12:41 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Many congratulations Jutta! This is a very well deserved appointment!

29.01.2026 13:47 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Academia teaches you critical thinking, mostly about your own life choices

14.01.2026 08:36 πŸ‘ 113 πŸ” 15 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1

Life goals: getting banned by NPR by having too many opinions

23.12.2025 05:39 πŸ‘ 33 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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Thrilled to celebrate our doctoral resesearcher @jeinhoff.bsky.social Β΄s successful PhD defense! πŸŽ‰

His dissertation on the social stratification of extending working lives is officially wrapped β€” and now he’s kicking off his postdoc journey at the @mpidr.bsky.social . Congrats!

02.12.2025 09:16 πŸ‘ 33 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 1

Join me as 3-year #postdoc to study Demography of "Reproductive Ageing"

-menopause 🩸infertility πŸ’‰older fathers πŸ‘¨β€πŸ‘§ and more
-novel data sources from around the world
-population-level understanding of causes and consequences of reproductive ageing

+ Wonderful research community @mpidr.bsky.social

25.11.2025 07:02 πŸ‘ 18 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Six Million Euros for Research on Population Projections in Finland

MPIDR director Mikko MyrskylΓ€ + coll. Wolfgang Lutz, Mirkka Danielsbacka and Anna Rotkirch will receive 6 million euros to do research on population projections for migration scenarios (MigScene). www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_even...

05.11.2025 09:46 πŸ‘ 25 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
GitHub - AngelaCar/TwoTimeScales: Analysis of event data with two time scales Analysis of event data with two time scales. Contribute to AngelaCar/TwoTimeScales development by creating an account on GitHub.

TwoTimeScales 1.1.1 is now on GitHub!
github.com/AngelaCar/Tw...

05.11.2025 10:13 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Dear All,

I am delighted to report to you the first results of an experiment that is being conducted in the tea room of this Department.

On 29 August, an Oslo Stainless Steel Cutlery Set (48 Pieces: 12 Knifes, 12 Forks, 12 Tea Spoons, 12 Dinner Spoons) was placed in a drawer in the Departmental tea room. A poster asking not to remove the cutlery from the tea room was attached in a visible location.

The original research plan was to monitor (in real time) the disappearance of the cutlery from the tea room and then fit a point/counting process model to the observed data. However, as the research project failed to attract any major grants (and so hiring a research assistant to do the work was impossible), it was decided to conduct opportunistic discrete monitoring only.

Here is the first result: sixty days in the experiment, the disappearance rates stand as follows:

Knives: 8.3%
Forks: 100%
Tea spoons: 58.3%
Dinner spoons: 41.7%

Possible conclusions include, but are not limited to, the following:

the people who removed the missing cutlery don’t understand written English; they don’t see forks as a special case of cutlery; forks are needed to do some kind of mathematics; the knives from the set are no good; small spoons are slightly more attractive than the large ones; things left in our tea room tend to disappear even if they are not edible; further research is needed to fully understand the phenomenon. 

Best,
kostya borovkov

Dear All, I am delighted to report to you the first results of an experiment that is being conducted in the tea room of this Department. On 29 August, an Oslo Stainless Steel Cutlery Set (48 Pieces: 12 Knifes, 12 Forks, 12 Tea Spoons, 12 Dinner Spoons) was placed in a drawer in the Departmental tea room. A poster asking not to remove the cutlery from the tea room was attached in a visible location. The original research plan was to monitor (in real time) the disappearance of the cutlery from the tea room and then fit a point/counting process model to the observed data. However, as the research project failed to attract any major grants (and so hiring a research assistant to do the work was impossible), it was decided to conduct opportunistic discrete monitoring only. Here is the first result: sixty days in the experiment, the disappearance rates stand as follows: Knives: 8.3% Forks: 100% Tea spoons: 58.3% Dinner spoons: 41.7% Possible conclusions include, but are not limited to, the following: the people who removed the missing cutlery don’t understand written English; they don’t see forks as a special case of cutlery; forks are needed to do some kind of mathematics; the knives from the set are no good; small spoons are slightly more attractive than the large ones; things left in our tea room tend to disappear even if they are not edible; further research is needed to fully understand the phenomenon. Best, kostya borovkov

happy 11th anniversary to this email sent to all staff at the School of Mathematics and Statistics

04.11.2025 02:16 πŸ‘ 150 πŸ” 33 πŸ’¬ 11 πŸ“Œ 0

I am very happy to see our paper featured in this press release! I have written a bit of a longer post on LinkedIn www.linkedin.com/feed/update/... for the interested reader. The original press release can be found here: www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_even...

29.10.2025 20:30 πŸ‘ 13 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Portrait of a woman with brown hair and a black top in front of a green background with text about German reunification and gender inequality. Her quote says: German reunification brought together two different traditions of balancing family and career. Even 35 years later, these differences persist. While women's participation in the labor market has increased overall, the unequal distribution of care work remains a key challenge.

Portrait of a woman with brown hair and a black top in front of a green background with text about German reunification and gender inequality. Her quote says: German reunification brought together two different traditions of balancing family and career. Even 35 years later, these differences persist. While women's participation in the labor market has increased overall, the unequal distribution of care work remains a key challenge.

35 Years of #Reunification
MPIDR Researchers Discuss the Demographic Situation in #Germany
Nicole Hiekel is Leader of the Research Group Gender Inequalities & Fertility @mpidr.bsky.social.
Full quote: www.demogr.mpg.de/go/reunification
#EastGermany #WestGermany #CareWork #GenderInequality #Family

30.09.2025 10:01 πŸ‘ 21 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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In β€œSingle Parenthood, Gender & Mortality” @minekuhn.bsky.social @angelacar.bsky.social J Caputo, L Ahrenfeldt & @annaoksuzyan.bsky.social examine β€œvariations in mortality by pathway into single p'hood" & other factors. @sociologytiu.bsky.social @mpidr.bsky.social read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...

25.09.2025 14:58 πŸ‘ 29 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

Very proud to see this paper, resulting from a long and fun collaboration, finally published in Demography!!!
πŸ€“

25.09.2025 13:05 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
A map of Finland showing the individual regions in different colors. The colors indicate the extent of childlessness among men in these regions. The map refers to men aged 45, born between 1968 and 1975. Childlessness is expressed as a percentage.

A map of Finland showing the individual regions in different colors. The colors indicate the extent of childlessness among men in these regions. The map refers to men aged 45, born between 1968 and 1975. Childlessness is expressed as a percentage.

πŸ’‘[SPOTLIGHT] πŸ’‘Too Many Men, Too Few Women
Research by Henrik Schubert & @cdudel.bsky.social shows that regional partner markets β€”particularly the ratio of ♂️ to ♀️ in the relevant age & educational groups β€” significantly influence childlessness among men in Finland.
www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_even...

16.09.2025 06:29 πŸ‘ 20 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Congratulations to Ben and all my well wishes for a successful start of his research group! Well done!πŸ₯³

11.09.2025 12:00 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Mentoring & advising doctoral researchers is at the very heart of the PHDS School. We are much indebted to PHDS faculty for their invaluable services in mentoring predocs as well as to Thomas Koch for leading a two-day workshop on "Supervising Doctoral Researchers" @mpidr.bsky.social. Thank you all!

05.09.2025 08:21 πŸ‘ 16 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Incredibile news!!! Congratulations to these two wonderful colleagues πŸ₯³πŸ‘πŸΌ amazing!!!

04.09.2025 20:10 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Competing risks models with two time scales - Angela Carollo, Hein Putter, Paul HC Eilers, Jutta Gampe, 2025 Competing risks models can involve more than one time scale. A relevant example is the study of mortality after a cancer diagnosis, where time since diagnosis b...

β€ΌοΈπŸ“£ Publication alert πŸ“£β€ΌοΈ
Our new paper "Competing risks models with two time scales" has just been published in Statistical Methods in Medical Research.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

In this paper we extend the two time scales hazard model to analyze competing events over two time scales ⏱️⏲️

01.09.2025 13:16 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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🚨Open Positions!🚨
Postdoc/Research Scientist Positions
Migration | Population Dynamics | Computational Demography
Application Deadline: Oct 10, 2025
See job description here:
www.demogr.mpg.de/en/career_61...
#Postdoc #Jobs
@ezagheni.bsky.social @perrottadaniela.bsky.social @ugobas.bsky.social

28.08.2025 06:55 πŸ‘ 21 πŸ” 25 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Don't you all just love how the journal production teams are like "PLEASE SUBMIT YOUR PROOF WITHIN 2 BUSINESS DAYS" and then take 3/4 business WEEKS to publish the paper? πŸ˜…

26.08.2025 09:19 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I copy all comments of the reviewers and editors in a word document, and add very angry comments on my own - like "seriously?" and "this is stupid!".
Then I delete everything, but it helps me dealing with the actual revision :D AND in the end I admit that those revisions actually improved the work!

07.08.2025 13:36 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Congratulations Lara!!!

05.08.2025 12:33 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Congratulations!!!

05.08.2025 12:33 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Lol πŸ˜‚

17.07.2025 08:28 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Or, you could do it more flexibly πŸ˜‰
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...

17.07.2025 08:22 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Ever listened to a beautiful song about leaving the land of convexity? 🎢🎡

We had the pleasure to enjoy Cynthia Rudin's song right after an already inspiring talk about ✨ amazing things that come from having many good models ✨

What an extraordinary invited session at #IWSM2025!

16.07.2025 08:23 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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The first day of #IWSM2025 started with a warm welcome from our chair Kevin Burke and Norma Bargary! πŸ«‚

We are looking forward to four contributed sessions and our invited speaker Sonja Greven talking about additive density regression!

14.07.2025 11:19 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0