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Ryota Mugiyama

@ryotamugiyama

Doctor of Sociology. Researching and teaching at Department of Political Studies, Gakushuin University, Japan. Working on stratification-related topics, such as labor market inequality, social mobility, and family demography. https://ryotamugiyama.com

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07.02.2024
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Latest posts by Ryota Mugiyama @ryotamugiyama

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Data Visualization A Practical Introduction

Here’s a full draft of the upcoming second edition of my “Data Visualization: A Practical Introduction”: socviz.co

05.03.2026 22:54 👍 535 🔁 172 💬 12 📌 15
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Occupational Licensing, Intergenerational Occupational Persistence and Social Mobility We study the relationship between occupational regulation and intergenerational occupational persistence. Using the UK Household Longitudinal Study (2009–2024), we find that individuals are significa...

Why do so many doctors, accountants, and solicitors have parents who did the same profession?

In a new paper with Maria Koumenta (QMUL), we show that occupational regulation increases intergenerational occupational persistence in the UK, thereby reducing social mobility.

doi.org/10.1111/irel...

26.02.2026 09:06 👍 6 🔁 2 💬 1 📌 0
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Rethinking Gender and Other Seemingly Nonmanipulable Characteristics for Causal Analysis - KZfSS Kölner Zeitschrift für Soziologie und Sozialpsychologie Identifying the causes of social inequality is crucial for designing effective policy interventions. Experimental methods, in which variables are manipulated and participants are randomly assigned to ...

📢 New publication!

Together with @dariatisch.bsky.social, I’m happy to share our new article bringing gender into a key methodological debate on how to answer causal questions.

🔗 link.springer.com/article/10.1...

25.02.2026 16:45 👍 16 🔁 7 💬 2 📌 1

Positron + Github Copilotがすごすぎて泣いてる。

21.02.2026 05:30 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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📢 In this Social Forces article, I introduce occupational elitism as a novel measure of social closure: the share of upper-class background workers within an occupation.

Its consequences for earnings stratification can be examined using a social closure theory lens.

🔓 doi.org/10.1093/sf/s...

19.02.2026 22:13 👍 70 🔁 20 💬 3 📌 2
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New Pub 🚨📝🎓:

"Stratification of Post-Birth Labour Supply in a High- and Low- Maternal Employment Regime"

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Short version: Germany has much bigger motherhood penalties than France, but they are not more socially stratified.

That wasn’t what we expected.

🧵⬇️

13.02.2026 17:40 👍 31 🔁 11 💬 1 📌 1

ぜひ他の学会でも採用してほしい基準ですね。。

08.02.2026 07:39 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Comparing age-happiness relationships between Japan and Europe Numerous studies have examined the existence of the “well-being paradox,” according to which subjective well-being is stable or even improves in later life despite worsening health and social losses.

New #research into #happiness levels by age compared our #data with the Japanese General Social Survey 🇯🇵.

Takashi Oshio (Hitotsubashi University 🇯🇵) and Satoshi Shimizutani (Nagoya University 🇯🇵) assessed happiness levels in France 🇫🇷, Germany 🇩🇪, Japan 🇯🇵, and the United Kingdom 🇬🇧.

02.02.2026 12:01 👍 0 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Survey experiments have become a popular methodology among social scientists. Has it been effective?

In POQ, Rauf et al. study the efficacy of 100 survey experiments. Their results show that a majority of hypotheses were not supported.

Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

18.12.2025 22:33 👍 49 🔁 32 💬 1 📌 4
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Resources Here you can find a collection of things that may be helpful, including slide decks, a curated list of introductory papers and blog posts, as well as some infographics I have generated to explain v…

Just gave my last talk of the year!

2025 was quite packed, I gave talks about:
- the age-period-cohort problem
- making rigorous causal inference more mainstream
- mediation analysis
- marginaleffects
- causal graphs (x10)

If you're curious, check out my slides here: juliarohrer.com/resources/

18.12.2025 12:38 👍 160 🔁 25 💬 5 📌 1

NEW: Ely Strömberg, Per Engzell, "How Robust Are Country Rankings in Educational Mobility?" sociologicalscience.com/articles-v12...

11.12.2025 17:04 👍 33 🔁 10 💬 0 📌 3
screenshot of my post

screenshot of my post

Big new blogpost!

My guide to data visualization, which includes a very long table of contents, tons of charts, and more.

--> Why data visualization matters and how to make charts more effective, clear, transparent, and sometimes, beautiful.
www.scientificdiscovery.dev/p/salonis-gu...

09.12.2025 20:28 👍 799 🔁 316 💬 22 📌 50
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On the (Mis) Use of the Fixed Effects Estimator Data that span multiple units and time periods allow controlling for time-invariant heterogeneity correlated with the covariates. While researchers can do this in different ways, the fixed effects es....

"On the (Mis) Use of the Fixed Effects Estimator"

(by @dlmillimet.bsky.social and Marc F. Bellemare)

published in the Oxford Bulletin of Economics & Statistics.

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

04.12.2025 17:19 👍 25 🔁 10 💬 1 📌 1
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new paper by Sean Westwood:

With current technology, it is impossible to tell whether survey respondents are real or bots. Among other things, makes it easy for bad actors to manipulate outcomes. No good news here for the future of online-based survey research

18.11.2025 19:15 👍 777 🔁 390 💬 41 📌 126
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The Rise of Stratification Research in Sociology, Economics, and Political Science How social stratification became increasingly studied in sister fields of sociology

The rise of stratification research in sociology, economics, and political science. My new blog. With a conclusion that European universities should rather sponsor inequality centers than to dismantle them. @eui-eu.bsky.social @eui-sps.bsky.social hermwerf.substack.com/p/the-rise-o...

18.11.2025 13:16 👍 35 🔁 10 💬 0 📌 1
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Do university-educated families lose their edge as education expands? The withering performance and advantage of their children Abstract. Extensive research has examined the effect of educational expansion in one cohort on educational inequality and occupational returns in that same

New article in @sfjournal.bsky.social with @mvaldes1989.bsky.social and I. Lievore on the effect of edu expansion among parents on children's achievement

Do university-educated families lose their edge as education expands among parents?

Short answer: yes

1/2

academic.oup.com/sf/advance-a...

17.11.2025 07:06 👍 48 🔁 22 💬 2 📌 2

I personally think this is a "harder problem" than we care to admit.

So, are you a (social) scientist struggling with this situation? A break between what you _want_ to study (a causal process) and what you feel you _can_ credibly study (a correlation)?

Here are some readings that might help. 👇

11.11.2025 11:24 👍 18 🔁 8 💬 2 📌 1

I'm facilitating a causal inference reading group next semester for Sociology PhD students. (I will also be learning!) If there are (1) pedagogical articles or (2) empirical examples in soc that you ❤️, will you share in the comments? [And please RT to help me crowd-source!]

11.11.2025 21:28 👍 43 🔁 27 💬 9 📌 1
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Billions of regressions ≠ robustness.

My new PNAS Letter shows how unjustified models can drown out justified ones — and why thoughtful model selection matters👇
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

11.11.2025 16:56 👍 59 🔁 19 💬 3 📌 1
季刊 個人金融 2025年秋号|一般財団法人ゆうちょ財団 国民の皆さまの福祉の増進に寄与することを目的として、貯蓄活動や調査研究、研究助成、国際ボランティア活動支援及び金融教育・相談等の公益事業を推進しております。

ゆうちょ財団発刊の『季刊 個人金融』に「職業とタスクからみる仕事内容のジェンダー格差」という題の小文を寄稿しました。国勢調査、job tag、PIAACのデータなどをもとに、日本における仕事の測定、その分布の男女差、および賃金格差への帰結についてまとめています。
yu-cho-f.jp/research/pub...

01.11.2025 00:33 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

Multiverse studies seem doomed to perpetuate a cycle of "look it varies!" "but not that much" "does too!".

Here's another exchange that I had missed.

"Robustness is better assessed with a few thoughtful models than with billions of regressions"
doi.org/10.1073/pnas...

21.10.2025 13:57 👍 47 🔁 15 💬 1 📌 1

おめでとうございます!!

20.10.2025 03:58 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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Is childhood exposure to local wealth inequality associated with upward income mobility achieved in adulthood? Yes! Check out my new paper, just published in @natureportfolio.nature.com here: doi.org/10.1038/s414... #EconSky #Sociology #Demography

15.10.2025 12:11 👍 73 🔁 26 💬 2 📌 3
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“Cumulative Effect of Retirement on Mortality” examines Social Sec. eligibility & mortality. @furuyashiro.bsky.social finds that each additional year retired ↑ mortality risk w/in the next 2 yrs by 0.9 pp. @harvardpopcenter.bsky.social @purduesociology.bsky.social read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...

14.10.2025 18:35 👍 7 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 1

2023年度より進めている社会調査データの統合プロジェクトの作業手順やその過程で得られた示唆等について記した報告書論文が公開されました。ご関心ある方はご覧ください。
csrda.iss.u-tokyo.ac.jp/RPS096.pdf

22.09.2025 01:01 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

NEW: Anderson, "An Unreliable Ladder: Top–Bottom Self-Placement, Subjective Social Status, and Political Preferences sociologicalscience.com/articles-v12...

11.09.2025 16:30 👍 5 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 4
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【研究成果・プレスリリース】交際相手がいないと「子どもが欲しい」が不確実に 恋愛関係が出生願望に与える影響をパネルデータで実証|学習院大学 学習院大学の公式サイトです。大学概要、入試情報、学部・大学院情報等、各種情報がご覧になれます。

先日出版された論文 academic.oup.com/sf/advance-a... のプレスリリースを出してもらいました。

交際相手がいないと「子どもが欲しい」が不確実に 恋愛関係が出生願望に与える影響をパネルデータで実証
www.univ.gakushuin.ac.jp/about/press/...

This is a joint work with @ryomogi.bsky.social @alyceraybould.bsky.social

26.08.2025 06:15 👍 5 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0

NEW:Fabian Kratz, "Rising Educational Divides in Attitudes: How Polarization across Cohorts Can Mask Age-Related Polarization." sociologicalscience.com/articles-v12...

19.08.2025 16:31 👍 8 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 1
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The necessity of construct and external validity for deductive causal inference The Credibility Revolution advances internally valid research designs intended to identify causal effects from quantitative data. The ensuing emphasis on internal validity, however, has enabled a negl...

Say you’ve got very good causal IDENTIFICATION. Can you say you have causality, can make a causal general claim, and can say what “THE causal effect” is?

NO

We explain why in new article at Journal of Causal Inference.

www.degruyter.com/document/doi...

22.02.2025 15:30 👍 227 🔁 68 💬 16 📌 20
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“Female Advantages in Education & Union Formation”: @danielaurbinaj.bsky.social uses DHS & Colombia census data to assess changes in union entry & assortative mating in a middle-income setting where women are, overall, better educated. @uscsociology.bsky.social read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...

13.08.2025 13:36 👍 21 🔁 4 💬 1 📌 1