Haha. Trapezium singular!
@johnroblawson
Senior AQ Scientist, Bingham Ctr \\ Research Asst Prof in Math & Stats, Utah State \\ Vernal, UT \\ Musician \\ Meteorologist making risk-based ozone predictions \\ I study LLMs, chaos, information, uncertainty \\ We are rust worshipping rain. ๐บ๐ธ ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ ๐ฌ๐ง
Haha. Trapezium singular!
The Falklands War involved many deaths over imperialism and sheep/penguins. Europe wonโt roll over. Take your โtwo dogsledโ comments and fuck yourself. Greenland has more history and culture along a random side road in Nuuk than half of the States.
OH REALLY? ...YOU KNOW WHAT THEY SAY: IF YOU DON'T LIKE THE WEATHER, WAIT FIVE MINUTES! WELL ACTUALLY... EVERY TIME THIS IS SAID, WE SEED ANOTHER HURRICANE OUT OF SPITE. ? MEMBER OF PUBLIC WEATHERMAN A TALE OF METEOROLOGICAL MISCHIEF!
I canโt draw comics, so I used words as my brushes (and as words), and Google Gemini Nano Banana as my ghost artist. Still uncomfortable attributing an image that obviously apes other styles.
I am SHOCKED that a FIFA Peace Prize recipient would bomb another country on Christmas. Absolutely stunned.
Nice, cool!!
www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
Didnโt have a casual Christmas bombing of Nigeria on my 2025 card
Putin threatening Belgium is fucking tragic man, get a life and go back to shit claims of rivers in Moldova
You subhuman fuck. If anyone carries any proportion of blood on their handsโฆ
www.theguardian.com/australia-ne...
If you use Perplexity, watch out for their increasingly scammy behaviour including their refusal to refund a mistake I literally have receipts for. โBig AIโ will get its comeuppance soon and academia will pick up the pieces by optimising for truth, not greed.
Regarding obs: what about atypical archive of obs such as the vertically pointing MST radar near Aberystwyth?
Regarding reanalyses: theyโre fantastic for setting baselines when evaluating forecasts. Also case studies of old events with as close to โlike for likeโ as possible.
Did you knowโฆ I used to be a meteorologist ๐
Addison Raeโs 2025 album is full of clever decisions incl. from the two MxM producers. These trio of women should forge long-term collab!
โIn The Rainโ only has two bass drums per two bars (standard 4/4). Parallel 4ths and various modes. Shifting entire orchestration down a semitone in Diet Pepsiโฆ
Yeah! Itโs a function of practical testsโ trustworthiness. I canโt vibe-code a prediction model and pray it doesnโt have a snowfall bias. But then our new website is entirely supervised โcoding with natural languageโ allowing high school students to be trained, contribute, learn. Mantra: caution! ๐ฅ
Worst aspect is making LLM tools look like web browsers, or my insurance companyโs chatbot. Prompt/content engineering is increasingly becoming my job, and itโs creative, unpredictable (!), jaw-dropping (sublime & ridiculous!) โ if academia is fumbling in the dark, weโve mainstreamed an experiment!
Watching GitHub CoPilot CLI agent try to commit on my behalf & repeatedly forget to โgit addโ first. Itโs silly/inefficient but impact is relatively low. But writ large, if one deploys an AI-driven systems lacking a suitable penalty, โif it breaks, it breaksโ creates amplifying, unforeseen ripplesโฆ
The genius of Left Behind by Slipknot is how atonal yet dissonantly melodic it is at times
This photo of rookie Yesavage casually walking off the mound as future Hall of Famer and helmet-less Ohtani is still in motion striking out is everything. #WantItAll
So we arenโt using the same word then. Inference is the act of proposing the next symbol based on current state(s). LMs in general donโt understand what you mean on Google Translate either. It can still be correct. Thatโs inference too.
Iโve got some Teesside dialect I can give you son, haโway then you daft melt
Cited two of those papers recently after deliberately writing with a LLM sceptic on LLMs, haha, and he was right there with his Bullshit papers.
Nope, my first big use of LLMs was fixing a six year math problem I couldnโt work out. Itโs Shannon at the core: information transfer. I donโt care what it sounds like and neither does info entropy quantification.
Truth is a pattern, a sequence, that can be true by accident. I donโt think truth must be intentional. Maybe thatโs way off into philosophy at this point
We definitely have different definitions of inferenceโฆ
(I did a first round and it hit me I havenโt seen an email about R2. Oh noโฆ)
Iโve got that horrible feeling a spam filter has blocked emails from AMetSoc for a while now, not for first time, and Iโm going to be mortified if a paper review has gone through the cracks.
Stochastic sampling of anthropologic states unfortunately led us to discovering an efficient way to democratise interpretations of truth (โall stupidity counts oneโ) via popularity contests, and throw the idea of fact-curation to the wind. Truthiness now defined by aesthetic, rhetoric, advertising.
Blows my mind. The waste of money, energy; the staggeringly consistent incompetenceโฆ If youโre going to cosplay a LLM thatโs actually just Microsoft Graph + Grammarlyโs stunt double, maybe donโt shoehorn it into every piece of IP you own. Dreadful, and damaging abuse of the term โAIโ.
Lovely plot, nice work.
Given higher than usual confidence of rapid intensification (RI) from analyses of an exceptionally favorable environment & with the aid of newer hurricane models (HAFS) & Google DeepMind, NHC was able to skillfully predict Melissa's RI days in advance.