It's always great fun presenting Aviation Weather School (Part 2). See the lights 'switch on' as I show pilots how they can use skew-T's to forecast flying conditions days in advance and how quickly they can use them. This is the sample sent on Saturday with a forecast for 7-days time.
A cloudy day for many on Sunday as the strong southwest wind brings moist air from the Atlantic. Most rain west and south although not large totals. A few bright moments in central and eastern areas. Widespread low cloud and mist west and south. Mild for all.
Just about to start Aviation Weather School (Part 2). It's quick and easy to get flying more using skew-t's, 500hPa charts and more. Forecasting cloud bases, tops, freezing levels, winds, showers, rain, mist and fog are all on the cards tonight, as well as spotting trends out to 15-days ahead.
Here's what skew-t's can tell us about our flying day (you can use them for planning days ahead in the same way). Today's a great example of waking up (in Halfpenny Green) to a murky start, but being assured that the day is going to improve. It's quick easy and reliable.
Sunday morning rain in the far south of England, slowly clearing, although a few mm for some. Rain in central Scotland and Northern Ireland at first too, again this clearing, although always a shower risk in the west. Dry for most away from western coasts and hills, good spells of sunshine. Mild.
Watch how the rain turns to snow this evening and overnight across parts of Wales, the Midlands and then northern England this evening and overnight. On these maps green is rain and blue is snow.
Attention is now on the weather prospects of the coming spring and summer seasons. Today's Look Ahead takes a look at what the analogues can tell us about if wet weather continues, or if it is going to become drier. Get a free 7-day trial premium.weatherweb.net/subscription...
Pouring down across Wales, northern England and parts of the Midlands right now. Some sleet and snow hills. Colder air arriving from the north with a few wintry shows, plenty of sunshine in Scotland too. Icy tonight and then a better day for Saturday.
Tuesday weather
Tuesday midday fronts
Cloud bases at 9am
Mist and fog this morning over England and Wales. Dry N England and Scotland. A further area of rain arriving in southwest Ireland now, pushing into southwest England this morning and then Wales and southern England this afternoon. Rain and drizzle this afternoon in E & S Scotland, lots of murk.
The positive weather story for Sunday is that for most it is not as wet. However, there will still be plenty of cloud around. Morning rain, some heavy in Scotland, slowly clearing north. Then bits of rain and showers elsewhere, especially the west. Mild.
Rain and some hill snow to start this morning in northern England and much of Scotland, especially the east. Although murky it's drier for England and Wales, even a few bright spells. Still some rain, sleet and snow in eastern Scotland, Orkney and Shetland. Mild in the south, colder north and east.
Forecast total rainfall for the week ahead showing another wet week in some areas. Notably southwest England, Wales and eastern Scotland see the most once again. Local flooding again possible.
A windy Saturday across parts of Wales, the Midlands, southern England and the N & E of Scotland. Yellow on the map shows gusts over 35mph, orange 46mph and red 52mph+
A mixed weekend ahead; some gales in the southwest, areas of rain, but brighter and drier for some. Easterly winds develop on Sunday.
Down go those temperatures. GFS and EFS shopping colder times ahead. Models still disagreeing on the details but the cold seems to be there. We are updating constantly at www.Weatherweb.net with more. [Credit to TropicalTidbits.com for charts]
A band of rain SW Scotland to NW England this morning, tracking northeast and breaking up. Some heavy showers SE England. Tending to be more showers over west and southern coasts during the day. Brighter spells for others. Average temperatures.
Frosty start this morning, but then Wednesday is dry ahead of rain moving into Ireland and western Scotland this afternoon, and some patchy rain southern England. Patchy rain south and east this evening ahead of a band of more persistent rain breaking up as it heads east overnight.
There are some early signs of models signalling a return to colder conditions from the middle of next week. It's knife-edge stuff again; mild air west, cold air east and the British Isles in-between. But this is a growing and more consistent story. One to watch!
Latest forecast weather from 9pm Saturday evening to 6pm Sunday (ICON-EU model) shows the snow arriving across Scotland, northern England and Midlands (blue) turning to rain (green) through Sunday. Not before several hours of snow in NE England and central Scotland. Melting snow leads to flooding.
Fog patches in parts of England, Wales and central Scotland this morning, these soon clearing. A few wintry showers in eastern areas, also clearing. Some snow in the northwest of Scotland during today, but otherwise fair for most with sunny spells. Feeling cold though, milder in southwest.
Trust me when I say these forecast skew-t's for 6pm on Thursday evening look fun! Icing for all but Trawsgoed showing a severe icing risk around 870hPa, Heathrow highlighting that precipitation is rain there as the air is too warm, Wolverhampton and Manchester well into the snow.
The low pressure named Storm Goretti is expected to track east through southern England Thursday and Friday. The northern side of the low could bring significant snowfall, but height of ground, precipitation intensity, temperature and dew point will all play their part in where gets snow & how much.
Subtle change in wind direction today (Sunday), backing a little more to the northwest, means snow showers driving further inland over Wales and southwest England, and less onshore in eastern England. Radar shows this really well.
Another cold one last night, minimum temperatures to 6am Sunday morning widely showing several temperatures between -7 and -10C in the coldest spots from southern England to central Scotland.
A widespread and severe frost overnight tonight making for a very cold and icy start to Sunday morning for many.
A widespread frost last night, -10C the lowest in the Cairngorms. More heavy snow showers in central and northern Scotlands today. A few snow showers Wales and Northern Ireland as well as Cornwall & Devon. Lots of sunshine elsewhere but cold.
Well that was a chilly Friday! Here are the maximum temperatures recorded between 6am and 6pm, plus the snow depths at 6pm too.
Radar shows An area of sleet and snow moving south through Wales, central and southern England, giving a dusting of snow in many places. Ice behind this area as temperatures fall. Further heavy snow showers, some prolonged in central and northern Scotland.
A cold one last night. These are the lowest temperatures recorded to 6am Wednesday morning.
It was a cool and dry Boxing Day, especially in the cloud in the south of England. These are maximum temperatures and rainfall totals recorded between 6am and 6pm.
