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German Marshall Fund

@gmfus

The German Marshall Fund of the United States is a nonpartisan, nonprofit, transatlantic organization. GMF envisions a democratic, secure, and prosperous world in which freedom and individual dignity prevail. Learn more: www.gmfus.org

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Latest posts by German Marshall Fund @gmfus

GMF's Kristina Kausch spoke to AFP about the ongoing war with Iran:

"The degree to which there is US isolation or loss of soft power will depend on how disastrous the consequences of this decision."

Read more: buff.ly/nc5Qqdj

06.03.2026 18:47 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Iran War at One Week: explore all GMF expert analysis of the war’s implications for transatlantic security and policy. Follow us for updated content.

🔗 www.gmfus.org/conflict-iran

06.03.2026 16:42 👍 4 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0

🌐 Can the Transatlantic Community Align on AI Safety—without calling it that? GMF's Adrienne Goldstein argues that US and Europe can still work together on practical issues like high-risk AI, transparency, and child protection—but with a different name.

🔗 Read more: www.gmfus.org/news/can-tra...

05.03.2026 20:01 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Still Muddling Through The German chancellery was long notorious for blocking tougher China policies proposed by Berlin’s ministries, but this seemed to be changing under Friedrich Merz in the last year. The chancellor,…

🇩🇪 🇨🇳 Amid German Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s recent visit to Beijing, GMF’s Mareike Ohlberg looks at Germany’s cautious China policy and why muddling through without a unified European approach may leave Berlin vulnerable.

🔗 www.gmfus.org/news/still-m...

05.03.2026 19:02 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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📣 Don't miss today's event — Iran at the Crossroads: Regional and Global Repercussions!
⏰ 08:00am-09:00am EST | 1400-1500 CET
📍Online

🔗 Register here: www.gmfus.org/event/iran-c...

05.03.2026 10:00 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Don't miss our event tomorrow!

📣 𝗨𝗽𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗘𝘃𝗲𝗻𝘁: Iran at the Crossroads: Regional and Global Repercussions
🗓️ Thursday, 5 March 2026
⏰ 08:00am-09:00am EST | 1400-1500 CET
📍Online

Speakers: Kristina Kausch, Daniel Kliman, Beth Sanner, Özgür Ünlühisarcıklı

🔗 Register here: lnkd.in/eNBRs2YT

04.03.2026 20:15 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Europe Needs a Voice in Washington German Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s third visit to Washington was overtaken by the unfolding war in the Middle East, but Merz emerged unscathed. In fact, the chancellor can claim a central role in…

Read Bennet's latest piece on why a pragmatic, quietly assertive approach may be Europe’s best bet in navigating shifting transatlantic politics and how Merz is positioning Germany within that effort.

🔗 www.gmfus.org/news/europe-...

04.03.2026 19:07 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Europe Needs a Voice in Washington German Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s third visit to Washington was overtaken by the unfolding war in the Middle East, but Merz emerged unscathed. In fact, the chancellor can claim a central role in…

🇩🇪 German Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s third visit to Washington was overtaken by the unfolding war in the Middle East, but GMF’s Bennet Nicolaisen argues that Merz emerged unscathed.

04.03.2026 19:07 👍 2 🔁 3 💬 1 📌 1
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Inside Macron’s new deterrence strategy: 8 European allies, 1 French nuclear button France is moving to tie its nuclear deterrent strategy more closely with European allies while keeping full control over any strike decision.

🇫🇷 “NATO is critical; France is really not looking to weaken that. So the point about it being complementary is important,” GMF’s Ian Lesser spoke to AP News on the alliance’s continued centrality to European security amid France’s new “forward deterrence.”

🔗 Read the article:

04.03.2026 18:30 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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France's nuclear capability offers fringe benefits to allies French President Emmanuel Macron’s update of his country’s nuclear policies includes some significant changes. Will they make Europe safer?

🔗 Read the article: amp.dw.com/en/frances-n...

04.03.2026 16:45 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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France's nuclear capability offers fringe benefits to allies French President Emmanuel Macron’s update of his country’s nuclear policies includes some significant changes. Will they make Europe safer?

🇩🇪 GMF’s Claudia Major spoke to DW:

"Five years ago we had an election campaign [in Germany] which was about getting rid of nuclear weapons, and now Germany is one of the leading countries in doing nuclear cooperation with France. So, the synchronization of the bilateral relationship is amazing."

04.03.2026 16:45 👍 5 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0

Joining Bonnie Glaser this week is Jonathan Fulton, nonresident senior fellow with the Middle East Programs at the Atlantic Council, to unpack what evolving China–Iran ties mean for US–China competition and the future of the Middle East.

🔗 Listen: buff.ly/JzBRhhW

03.03.2026 21:00 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
China Global Podcast - Ep 120 ft. Jonathan Fulton
China Global Podcast - Ep 120 ft. Jonathan Fulton The United States is once again considering military strikes to curb Iran’s nuclear activities and missile program. China has emerged as a particularly important partner of Iran, serving as the…

🇨🇳 New episode of China Global Podcast is out!

03.03.2026 21:00 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
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📣 𝗨𝗽𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗘𝘃𝗲𝗻𝘁: Iran at the Crossroads: Regional and Global Repercussions
🗓️ Thursday, 5 March 2026
⏰ 08:00am-09:00am EST | 1400-1500 CET
📍Online

Speakers: Kristina Kausch, Daniel Kliman, Beth Sanner, Özgür Ünlühisarcıklı

🔗 Register here: lnkd.in/eNBRs2YT

03.03.2026 20:43 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Europe 'exposed to the consequences' of US-Israel's conflict with Iran Headings

GMF’s Ian Lesser told France24:

“Europe is not only a stakeholder in the crisis but also exposed to the consequences,” as Iran has the potential to reach bases in the Mediterranean amid the escalating conflict with the US and Israel.

🔗 Listen here: www.france24.com/en/europe-ex...

03.03.2026 20:42 👍 2 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
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The Conflict with Iran As the US-Israel military operation against Iran’s clerical regime continues, it is too early to predict if the stated objective of regime change will prove achievable, or if the Islamic Republic…

Amid ongoing US–Israel strikes on Iran, GMF’s Daniel Kliman highlights four early takeaways:

1. A narrow opening for change in Iran
2. Potential upside for global order
3. An emerging standard for US allies
4. A Trump admin strategy of consolidation

➡️ Read the full analysis here: buff.ly/O0mNQWf

03.03.2026 18:33 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
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🌐 GMF President Alexandra de Hoop Scheffer joined leaders at the GLOBSEC forum for the panel “Holding the Line: Security Commitments that Deliver” last week.

03.03.2026 17:57 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Fire, Fury, and Casualties in Iran The coordinated US–Israeli strikes on Iran have accomplished several immediate military objectives. They have degraded key offensive and defensive capabilities and weakened the regime’s power…

GMF’s Özgür Ünlühisarcıklı explores the broader consequences of the US-Israeli strike on Iran, arguing that whether key actors choose to de‑escalate or double down on force will shape global economic and strategic dynamics in the weeks ahead.

🔗 Read the piece: www.gmfus.org/news/fire-fu...

02.03.2026 21:35 👍 2 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
Building Taiwan’s AI Edge: Innovation, Autonomy, and Threats
Building Taiwan’s AI Edge: Innovation, Autonomy, and Threats AI has rapidly become a central arena of global competition, shaping everything from national security and economic power to information ecosystems and democratic resilience. The race for AI…

🎙️ New episode of Taiwan Frontlines is out!

Joining Bonnie Glaser and Jason Hsu this week is Ethan Tu, founder of Taiwan AI Labs. He is building human-centric AI for healthcare, smart cities, and democratic resilience while helping shape Taiwan’s digital future.

🔗 Watch here:

02.03.2026 20:00 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
Braucht Deutschland eine eigene Atombombe, Claudia Major? - F.A.Z. Podcast für Deutschland
Braucht Deutschland eine eigene Atombombe, Claudia Major? - F.A.Z. Podcast für Deutschland Wie sieht ein sicheres Europa der Zukunft aus? Das deutsch-französische Rüstungsprojekt FCAS droht zu scheitern. Sicherheitsexpertin Claudia Major über die Auswirkungen auf eine gemeinsame nukleare…

🇩🇪 GMF’s Claudia Major joins the F.A.Z. Podcast für Deutschland to discuss whether Germany needs its own nuclear bomb — and what a secure Europe of the future could look like.

🎧 Watch here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=epGR...

02.03.2026 19:00 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Dissuasion nucléaire : « L’Europe attend avec impatience le discours du président français » TRIBUNE. Après l’appel d’Emmanuel Macron à ouvrir un dialogue sur la contribution des armes nucléaires françaises à la défense de l’Europe, l’annonce de la nouvelle stratégie de défense française,…


Read their op-ed in Le Monde:  www.lemonde.fr/idees/articl...

02.03.2026 18:00 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Dissuasion nucléaire : « L’Europe attend avec impatience le discours du président français » TRIBUNE. Après l’appel d’Emmanuel Macron à ouvrir un dialogue sur la contribution des armes nucléaires françaises à la défense de l’Europe, l’annonce de la nouvelle stratégie de défense française,…

🇫🇷 Following President Macron’s call to open a dialogue on the role of French nuclear weapons in Europe’s defense, GMF’s Claudia Major and IFRI's Héloïse Fayet examine what greater European involvement in French nuclear deterrence could mean for the continent’s strategic future.

02.03.2026 18:00 👍 5 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Now, all of that may not add up to a change in the regime. This is a strong and, in some ways, resilient country, but what is the risk?” (2/2)
 
🔗 www.cnn.com/2026/02/28/p...

02.03.2026 17:00 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

“In some sense, stars have aligned with regard to the weakness of the regime internally — the kind of battle that it’s facing domestically, plus its regional defeats and its reduced capacity for retaliation..." (1/2)

02.03.2026 17:00 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

GMF’s Ian Lesser spoke to CNN on the internal vulnerabilities of the Iranian regime and potential for change👇️

02.03.2026 17:00 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
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The Ripple Effects of Trump’s War on Iran The death of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran’s supreme leader, at US and Israeli hands marks a geopolitical rupture on multiple levels that is likely to shake up not only Middle Eastern security and…

⤵️ Read GMF expert @kristinakausch's take on the ripple effect of Trump's war on Iran: buff.ly/cVvBMKs

01.03.2026 20:40 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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The death of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran’s supreme leader, at US and Israeli hands marks a geopolitical rupture on multiple levels that is likely to shake up not only Middle Eastern security and global trade and energy markets, but also fundamental assumptions about the international security order

01.03.2026 20:40 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
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Hungary’s Viktor Orbán seeking to drum up votes by doing down Ukraine EU’s longest-serving leader hopes to retain power by telling voters the main threat to country comes from Kyiv

🔗 Read the Guardian article on Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán’s rhetoric on Ukraine ahead of Hungarian elections: 

www.theguardian.com/world/2026/f...

27.02.2026 20:49 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

🇭🇺 GMF’s Zsuzsanna Végh told the Guardian:

“Effectively, Ukraine is portrayed as a main enemy. This is not just about Ukraine per se, but it fits into the standard strategy of the governing party, of mobilising its electorate through generating fear in society.”

27.02.2026 20:49 👍 5 🔁 3 💬 1 📌 0
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The Impact of Candidate Status in Georgia and Moldova The different experiences of the two countries under the same accession framework and geopolitical pressure show whether and how candidate status can anchor domestic reform. They illustrate how…

GMF’s Elene Kintsurashvili and Laurențiu Pleșca compare how political leadership, state capacity, civil society, and domestic framing of EU incentives in the two countries can determine whether candidate status drives meaningful reform or remains largely symbolic.

Read more: buff.ly/76AtplI

27.02.2026 18:01 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0