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@lvclog

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The funny thing is that their movie that js currently in theaters has a pretty handed environmentalist message lol

08.03.2026 02:10 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Sampling noise due to small sample sizes likeis the least of a pollster's problem these days lol. The difficult part is getting a sample that is actually representative of the population.

07.03.2026 19:23 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

I don't know, some provincial Canadian polling sucks.

06.03.2026 01:32 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

"normie conservatives do not hold this obsessive vitriol for trannies when pressed" I think you're being overtly charitable with normie conservatives

06.03.2026 00:09 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Nevermind, the crosstabs they published are only for the moral acceptability questions

05.03.2026 22:10 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

They have some crosstabs in a excel spreadsheet linked in the article. It's not very detailed though. Categories are only under 40 and over 40 for example

05.03.2026 22:09 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

They do have an excel spreadsheet linked in the article with crosstabs for prayer frequence. In the US, 58% who pray daily say homosexuality is morally unacceptable, compared with 24% who pray less often.

05.03.2026 19:08 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Gallup has generally mantained a consistent methodology, so their numbers are probably more useful for long-term analysis of trends, even if it's the case that their toplines happen to slightly incorrect due to the fact they've stuck with phone interviews

05.03.2026 18:56 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

I do think the online results are more accurate here. Phone surveys likely underestimate homophobia due to social desirability bias. The point here is mostly about the long-term trend though, which gets complicated due to mode effects.

05.03.2026 18:55 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Also, you can see they also had a telephone survey on this in September 2019 (seemingly the last one in the phone trend) and the share of the negative response is much higher in the online poll compared with live-caller, while the positive response is only slightly lower.

05.03.2026 18:44 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

So I'd say that the 2019 Global Spring Survey is probably useful as a good benchmark here

05.03.2026 18:39 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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The first time they asked that question entirely online seems to have been in September of 2019, with results similar to the 2023/2024 RLS landscape survey. You can see the numbers were already significantly lower than in the Global Spring 2019 poll.

05.03.2026 18:38 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0

Also in 2019 they were still using phone surveys, I think.

05.03.2026 18:22 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

That data is from 2019 actually. But the question is different, so I wouldn't compare with the 2025 or 2013 results. Maybe with the Religious Landscape Survey though, since it's the same question

05.03.2026 18:20 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

The Gallup numbers are at least up compared with a decade ago

05.03.2026 18:03 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

I think that Hungary and Poland being ahead of the US here is more wild. The LatAm countries included in the survey all have had gay marriage and other rights for some time, but Hungary is a place where pride parades are literally banned and Poland doesn't even have civil unions yet.

05.03.2026 17:41 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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In the RLS, they did some phone interviews for comparison and found that the share saying that homosexuality should be accepted isn't affected by the mode change, but the negative response is higher in the online survey.

05.03.2026 17:30 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Another thing is that, for the US specifically, they switched from telephone surveys to an online panel some years ago. Not sure how much it affects things here, but Pew has written articles about how respondents tend to be homophobic in online polls compared to less confidential methods

05.03.2026 17:24 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Unclear if there has been backsliding since 2024 or difference compared to the RLS is just a function of question wording. Gallup, for comparison, has the decline happening in 2023 and it stabilizes in 2024 and 2025.

05.03.2026 17:21 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

The question with a different wording has been asked a bunch of times though. The most recent seems to have been in their 2023/2024 Religious Landscape Study, where they had it 67-30 compared to 62-31 in 2014

05.03.2026 17:20 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

What do you mean by +21? I think you're looking at the South Korea numbers

05.03.2026 17:16 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

As far as I can find, Pew Research didn't ask this question between 2013 and 2025.

05.03.2026 17:13 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0
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It makes more sense to compare with the 2013 question that employed the same wording. On net, it's stable compared to 2013, which is still bad.

05.03.2026 17:07 👍 5 🔁 1 💬 2 📌 0

Isn't the progressive candidate supposed to be Hafeez? I think Quintanilla doing better on EDay might be ethnic voting from Hispanics

04.03.2026 17:23 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Some EDay vote is in and both Johnson and Allred are getting a somewhat lower share compared with the EV, so it's definitely going to a runoff at least.

04.03.2026 11:55 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

I've seen other people saying that Johnson should benefit from EDay

04.03.2026 05:34 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Do you know which of them would benefit from lower turnout in the runoff?

04.03.2026 05:28 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Well, it's likely going to a runoff, maybe Johnson pulls it off

04.03.2026 05:22 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0

Yes

04.03.2026 03:44 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Is the EDay vote supposed to be better or worse for Allred?

04.03.2026 03:38 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0