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Vlad Tarko

@vladtarko

Prof of political economy at University of Arizona. Economic/political institutions, microeconomics and game theory, political/moral philosophy, #rstats My books: https://amzn.to/37TkK5P

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02.11.2024
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Latest posts by Vlad Tarko @vladtarko

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On Polycentrism and the New Classical Liberalism. Neoliberalism is dead; Long live Neoliberalism!, pt 1. Fairly or not, neo-liberalism (and its cousin new public management) ended up being associated with monopolistic privatization, the Financial Crisis and the Great Recession, Austerity, and Pinochet.

On Polycentrism and the New Classical Liberalism. Neoliberalism is dead; Long live Neoliberalism!, pt 1.
open.substack.com/pub/digressi...
with a shout out to @mattzwolinski.bsky.social @vladtarko.bsky.social, @drnickcowen.bsky.social

05.08.2025 11:50 πŸ‘ 18 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 0
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Who is to put the bell on the cat? Democracy, dictatorship, and James M. Buchanan's early 1980s involvement with Pinochet's Chile Although Milton Friedman's mid-1970s involvement with Pinochet's Chile has generated much controversy, the claim that James M. Buchanan was similarly eager to provide Pinochet's military dictatorship...

Andrew Farrant of Dickinson College and @vladtarko.bsky.social of @uarizona.bsky.social invoke a wealth of previously ignored primary source material that sheds significant new light on James M. Buchanan's early 1980s involvement with Chile.
#Chile #Democracy #Dictatorship

29.05.2025 14:00 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
GitHub - rgiordan/zaminfluence: Tools in R for computing and using Z-estimator approximate influence functions. Tools in R for computing and using Z-estimator approximate influence functions. - rgiordan/zaminfluence

The #rstats package for the "Approximate Maximum Influence Perturbation" method of assessing the robustness of your results -- finds the smallest number of observations which, if removed, eliminate the coefficient significance or flip its sign. github.com/rgiordan/zam...

13.05.2025 16:45 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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American Journal of Political Science | MPSA Journal | Wiley Online Library In reaction to diagnoses of a β€œcrisis of liberalism,” scholars are actively engaged in revising our understanding of the tradition's history. This article explores an alternative account of the liber...

New by Gianna Englert in AJPS

Tracing the β€œtrue liberalism”: F. A. Hayek as a reader of Tocqueville

doi.org/10.1111/ajps...

07.04.2025 18:40 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Assistant Professor, PEMS Teach four courses a year distributed across the PPEL B.A. program, the PPE M.A. program and the university general education program. Such courses ma...

New job opening at University of Arizona in Department of Political Economy and Moral Science - the home of the PPEL major. Tenure-Track Assistant Professor, philosophers, political scientists, economists, or legal scholars all eligible to apply.

arizona.csod.com/ux/ats/caree...

03.04.2025 14:00 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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The Effect: An Introduction to Research Design and Causality The Effect: An Introduction to Research Design and Causality, Second edition is about research design, specifically concerning research that uses observational data to make a causal inference. It is s...

The second edition of The Effect is now available for preorder! This version has a whole new chapter on Partial Identification, a considerable update on staggered treatment and control variables in DID, and zillions of other little updates throughout. www.routledge.com/The-Effect-A...

01.04.2025 18:17 πŸ‘ 187 πŸ” 55 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 9
Chart titled "Who would have won the Simon-Ehrlich wager in any decade since 1900?" showing price trends for chromium, copper, nickel, tin, and tungsten. Simon (blue) bet prices would remain stable or fall, while Ehrlich (red) bet prices would rise. Simon won the 1980s wager. For chromium, Ehrlich would have won in the 1920s-40s; for copper, he would have won in the 1950s-70s; for nickel, he would have won in the 1950s-70s; for tin, he would have won in the 1940s-70s; and for tungsten, he would have won in the 1950s-70s. Prices are in 1998 US$ per tonne, adjusted for inflation. Data from the US Geological Survey.

Chart titled "Who would have won the Simon-Ehrlich wager in any decade since 1900?" showing price trends for chromium, copper, nickel, tin, and tungsten. Simon (blue) bet prices would remain stable or fall, while Ehrlich (red) bet prices would rise. Simon won the 1980s wager. For chromium, Ehrlich would have won in the 1920s-40s; for copper, he would have won in the 1950s-70s; for nickel, he would have won in the 1950s-70s; for tin, he would have won in the 1940s-70s; and for tungsten, he would have won in the 1950s-70s. Prices are in 1998 US$ per tonne, adjusted for inflation. Data from the US Geological Survey.

In the 1980s, economist Julian Simon won his bet with biologist Paul Ehrlich on material prices.

Who would have won the Simon-Ehrlich bet over different decades, and what do long-term prices tell us about resource scarcity?

06.01.2025 23:45 πŸ‘ 73 πŸ” 15 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 4

that's not how indenture servitude worked, stop with this idiocy

04.01.2025 14:32 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The TV miniseries is excellent as well.

04.01.2025 14:24 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

So you're saying Eurostat is a great tool for teaching how to deal with poorly formatted data πŸ˜…

31.12.2024 20:29 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

No, I'm not saying that (obviously?). I thought it was awkward that a plagiarist is pretending to be a defender of academic standards, at the same time as he's calling others "termites" and fantasying of them being removed from campuses.

26.12.2024 21:28 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Is Twitter-Famous Princeton Historian Kevin Kruse a Plagiarist? When former Milwaukee Sheriff David Clarke intimated in early 2017 that he would be joining Donald Trump's nascent administration, CNN obtained a copy of

reason.com/2022/06/14/t...

26.12.2024 21:16 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

This is pretty funny if you know about Kevin Kruse's plagiarism.

26.12.2024 18:14 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Kenneth Arrow’s Last Theorem: Why do the most patient individuals dictate environmental policy in the long run? Let’s explore this fascinating result about efficiency and time preferences. 🧡 www.mechanism-design.org/arch/v009-1/...

21.12.2024 21:18 πŸ‘ 23 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
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Here’s one in Tucson. First bird that showed up at our new cam. (Love your writing…)

15.12.2024 14:20 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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One interesting implication here is that structural transformation into services is faster than manufacturing everywhere in the income distribution, even in the range (0-20k income) when manufacturing is still growing

www.ft.com/content/aee5...

10.12.2024 19:10 πŸ‘ 17 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
THE FALL AND RISE OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS

Krugman's best pieces:

β€’ The babysitting co-op
slate.com/business/199...

β€’Β On modeling
web.mit.edu/krugman/www/...

β€’ Japan liquidity trap
web.mit.edu/krugman/www/...

β€’ on zoning
www.nytimes.com/2015/11/30/o...
archive.nytimes.com/krugman.blog...

β€’ how I work
web.mit.edu/krugman/www/...

06.12.2024 23:31 πŸ‘ 276 πŸ” 44 πŸ’¬ 21 πŸ“Œ 6

I don't think they're bots. Genuinely lots of people with Jacobin style beliefs. One partial solution around here is to use the anti communist block lists, but not sure what's your attitude about blocking.

06.12.2024 18:29 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Soviet Mathematics and Economic Theory in the Past Century: A Historical Reappraisal (December 2024) - What are the effects of authoritarian regimes on scholarly research in economics? And how might economic theory survive ideological pressures? This article addresses these questions ...

Ooh, look at this paper in the JEL.

For all you Red Plenty fans.

05.12.2024 19:31 πŸ‘ 24 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 3
In the GIS part of my #rstats #dataviz class, students ran into issues with limiting data to Europe (thanks to French Guiana), so I wrote up a little guide to Natural Earth's map unit hierarchy + how to zoom with coord_sf() https://datavizf24.classes.andrewheiss.com/news/2024-11-18_faqs_weeks-11-12.html#i-tried-to-make-a-map-of-just-europe-and-it-includes-more-than-just-europe

The Natural Earth Project uses a hierarchy of country units: Sovereign State > Country > Map unit > Map sub-unit. They have a whole table in the documentation showing where different country-like units appear in this hierarchy

Some countries are easy to work with and have the same value for each of the levels of the hierarchy. Others are way more complex. Here are some from the Natural Earth documentation:

| Sovereignty | Country | Map unit | Map sub-unit |
|:-----------------|:-----------------|:-----------------|:-----------------|
| Algeria | Algeria | Algeria | Algeria |
| Denmark | Greenland | Greenland | Greenland |
| United States of America | United States of America | United States of America | Hawaii |
| United States of America | American Samoa | American Samoa | American Samoa |
| United States of America | US Minor Outlying Islands | Baker Island | Baker Island |
| France | French Southern and Antarctic Lands | French Southern and Antarctic Lands | Bassas da India |
| France | France | French Guiana | French Guiana |
| Spain | Spain | Spain | Canary Islands |

In the GIS part of my #rstats #dataviz class, students ran into issues with limiting data to Europe (thanks to French Guiana), so I wrote up a little guide to Natural Earth's map unit hierarchy + how to zoom with coord_sf() https://datavizf24.classes.andrewheiss.com/news/2024-11-18_faqs_weeks-11-12.html#i-tried-to-make-a-map-of-just-europe-and-it-includes-more-than-just-europe The Natural Earth Project uses a hierarchy of country units: Sovereign State > Country > Map unit > Map sub-unit. They have a whole table in the documentation showing where different country-like units appear in this hierarchy Some countries are easy to work with and have the same value for each of the levels of the hierarchy. Others are way more complex. Here are some from the Natural Earth documentation: | Sovereignty | Country | Map unit | Map sub-unit | |:-----------------|:-----------------|:-----------------|:-----------------| | Algeria | Algeria | Algeria | Algeria | | Denmark | Greenland | Greenland | Greenland | | United States of America | United States of America | United States of America | Hawaii | | United States of America | American Samoa | American Samoa | American Samoa | | United States of America | US Minor Outlying Islands | Baker Island | Baker Island | | France | French Southern and Antarctic Lands | French Southern and Antarctic Lands | Bassas da India | | France | France | French Guiana | French Guiana | | Spain | Spain | Spain | Canary Islands |

If you want to filter the map data to only include Europe, you can (there's a convenient column named `continent`), but it can lead to unexpected output! If you use the country-level data, French Guiana will show up in Europe (since it's part of France):

```{r}
world_shapes_countries |> 
  filter(continent == "Europe", sovereignt != "Russia") |> 
  ggplot() + 
  geom_sf() +
  labs(title = "Continental Europe avec French Guiana") +
  coord_sf(crs = st_crs("EPSG:3035")) +
  theme_void() +
  theme(plot.title = element_text(face = "bold", hjust = 0.5))
```

{Map of continental Europe + French Guiana}

If you want to filter the map data to only include Europe, you can (there's a convenient column named `continent`), but it can lead to unexpected output! If you use the country-level data, French Guiana will show up in Europe (since it's part of France): ```{r} world_shapes_countries |> filter(continent == "Europe", sovereignt != "Russia") |> ggplot() + geom_sf() + labs(title = "Continental Europe avec French Guiana") + coord_sf(crs = st_crs("EPSG:3035")) + theme_void() + theme(plot.title = element_text(face = "bold", hjust = 0.5)) ``` {Map of continental Europe + French Guiana}

If you use the map-unit-level data, though, French Guiana has its own row and counts as South America instead of Europe, so the filtered data only shows continental Europe:

```{r}
world_shapes_map_units |> 
  filter(continent == "Europe", sovereignt != "Russia") |> 
  ggplot() + 
  geom_sf() +
  labs(title = "Continental Europe sans French Guiana") +
  coord_sf(crs = st_crs("EPSG:3035")) +
  theme_void() +
  theme(plot.title = element_text(face = "bold", hjust = 0.5))
```

{Map of continental Europe without French Guiana}

If you use the map-unit-level data, though, French Guiana has its own row and counts as South America instead of Europe, so the filtered data only shows continental Europe: ```{r} world_shapes_map_units |> filter(continent == "Europe", sovereignt != "Russia") |> ggplot() + geom_sf() + labs(title = "Continental Europe sans French Guiana") + coord_sf(crs = st_crs("EPSG:3035")) + theme_void() + theme(plot.title = element_text(face = "bold", hjust = 0.5)) ``` {Map of continental Europe without French Guiana}

Zoomed-in map of continental Europe with parts of North Africa, Turkey, and Russia included

Zoomed-in map of continental Europe with parts of North Africa, Turkey, and Russia included

In the GIS part of my #rstats #dataviz class, students ran into issues with limiting maps to Europe (thanks to French Guiana), so I wrote up a little guide to dealing with Natural Earth's map unit hierarchy + how to zoom with coord_sf() datavizf24.classes.andrewheiss.com/news/2024-11...

05.12.2024 18:38 πŸ‘ 54 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 0
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What are some good studies about why US healthcare is so much more expensive than European systems? I'm guessing restricted supply is part of the story, but far from all.

05.12.2024 19:22 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Joshua Gans, Scott Stern, and I are thrilled that our new book, Entrepreneurship, Choice and Strategy from W. W. Norton & Company, Inc., is launching into more classrooms this Spring (and your favorite online bookseller in TEN days)! πŸŽ‰

05.12.2024 19:04 πŸ‘ 17 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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03.12.2024 18:12 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
CRAN: Package cellularautomata https://cran.r-project.org/package=cellularautomata

New CRAN package cellularautomata with initial version 0.1.0
#rstats
https://cran.r-project.org/package=cellularautomata

20.11.2024 14:02 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

And for those piping into View(), run rstudioapi::writeRStudioPreference("data_viewer_max_columns", 1000L) to display more than 50 columns at once. #rstats

02.12.2024 19:20 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Visualizing data

It's really tempting to start using {tidyplot} instead of {ggplot2}. It doesn't cover all the cases I encounter (especially when two datasets are used for the same plot), but for most plots it's much simpler. #rstats jbengler.github.io/tidyplots/ar...

02.12.2024 19:42 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Universal structure of grammar.

01.12.2024 13:53 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

These two papers, taken together, really cause a rethinking of behavioral economies.

Rather than having anomalous risk preferences; it looks like people have complexity aversion to "hard" decisions, especially on valuation, which drives behavioral anomalies. Herbert Simon ftw.

27.11.2024 16:33 πŸ‘ 332 πŸ” 91 πŸ’¬ 24 πŸ“Œ 11
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If you're using #rstats and ggplot, it's easy to have line plots with labels on the right:

- drop the NAs for the variable of interest
- define label variable for only the end
- use ggrepel to make the labels with some nudge_x
- remove legend

Example:

26.11.2024 00:28 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Are you grading A > B > C > D or A > C > B > D?

25.11.2024 22:43 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0