Happy to be part of the national leading team supporting this important infrastructure!
Thank you @jenny-oser.bsky.social for you efforts :-)
18.02.2026 20:48
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Happy to be part of the national leading team supporting this important infrastructure!
Thank you @jenny-oser.bsky.social for you efforts :-)
15 Χ©Χ ΧΧ ΧΧΧΧͺΧ Χ©Χ Χ€Χ¨ΧΧ€' ΧΧ¨Χ‘ΧΧΧ¨. ΧΧ ΧΧΧ ΧΧ’ΧΧΧΧ ΧΧΧΧΧͺ ΧΧΧΧ§Χ ΧΧΧ€ΧΧΧΧ
Had a great time presenting my project with @ayakter.bsky.social on public opinion, voting behavior and party positions in Israel at @vanderbilt.edu. Thanks to @noamlupu.bsky.social and the department of political science for hosting me this week!
Congratulations! Looking forward to reading it
The year 2024 confirmed a global environment defined by:
βοΈ pronounced political fragmentation
π³οΈ heightened electoral activity
π + a deepening wave of autocratisation that continued a 25-year trajectory.
β¬οΈ Read the 2025 yearbook now!
buff.ly/lSheCuB
Fascinating!
π Formateur expectations & #VotingBehaviour
Looking at #CSES and German π©πͺ pre-election surveys Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social & @ortuttnauer.com discuss "formateur optimization" β when voters back parties likely to lead.
π
π» Attending the @ecpr.bsky.social webinar on #Israel's domestic political landscape after the #Gaza war tomorrow?
π Get up to speed on Israel's political developments + data in the latest report for PDY from @liranharsgor.bsky.social and @roizur.bsky.social.
β‘οΈ bit.ly/48uS83v
In Israel, parties have merged and voters have been strategic; but then coalition formation with fewer (larger) parties has been very ineffective at delivering voters' preferences.
Writing about Israel is emotionally challenging, but equally important to me. Thanks, @liranharsgor.bsky.social for inviting me to collaborate on this @pdyearbook.bsky.social report. Hopefully, next year's report won't have such a somber tone.
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Writing a report about Israeli politics in 2024 for @pdyearbook.bsky.social was quite a challenge. Luckily, I had @roizur.bsky.social as a collaborator.
We hope this report helps make sense of an extremely difficult period in the countryβs history.
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
π¨New #polisky publication π¨
In @ejprjournal.bsky.social, Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social and I ask: when do voters back a party that's not their top pick, but has a real shot at being the the next PM's party?
The answer is a mix of preferences, expectations, and uncertainty
1/4
Do voters strategically attempt to affect the identity of the next prime minister?
In a new paper at @ejprjournal.bsky.social, we show they do!
Using @cses.bsky.social and German surveys, we find when and how "formateur optimization" is more likely to occur
@ortuttnauer.com
doi.org/10.1017/S147...
I wish you could be there! β€οΈ
Looking forward to have your submissions of gender-related papers to our section on elections, parties and voters at the #ECPG26.
Deadline: November 7
πͺ
BJPolS abstract discussing the importance of compromise in conflict resolution, analyzing data from Israel and two exogenous shocks over decades.
#OpenAccess from July 2025 -
Disentangling the Relationship Between Prospective Expectations and Policy Preferences in Violent Conflicts - cup.org/3IUnTrV
- βͺ@ayakter.bsky.social & @liranharsgor.bsky.social
Delighted to say I'm chairing a section at ECPG 2026 with @jess-smith.bsky.social @rosieshorrocks.bsky.social @gefjonoff.bsky.social and @liranharsgor.bsky.social on Elections, Parties, and Voters! Please send your abstracts in - full info here: ecpr.eu/Events/Event... @ecprgender.bsky.social
My 12yo in the protests today, calling for a deal for the release of the hostages and ending the war in Gaza. I'm so proud of her.
Peacemaking public sentiment can be bootstrapped. Evidence from a hopeful study by @liranharsgor.bsky.social and @ayakter.bsky.social
The Oct 7 events & heartbreaking devastation in Gaza have deepened pessimism in the region. While itβs hard to imagine a way out now, our new @bjpols.bsky.social letter (w/ @liranharsgor.bsky.social) reaffirms that improving expectations for an agreement could raise support for compromises βΆοΈπ§΅1/10
BJPolS abstract discussing the importance of compromise in conflict resolution, analyzing data from Israel and two exogenous shocks over decades.
NEW -
Disentangling the Relationship Between Prospective Expectations and Policy Preferences in Violent Conflicts - cup.org/3IUnTrV
"...changes in prospective expectations do predict subsequent shifts in support for compromise"
- βͺ@ayakter.bsky.social & @liranharsgor.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Title page of article "Electoral Hope" in journal Political Studies.
I have a new article out at @polstudies.bsky.social. In "Electoral Hope", I make the case that supposedly irrational "wishful thinking" is actually a crucial part of how voters make rational sense of their role in democracies.
OA link: doi.org/10.1177/0032...
ΧΧΧΧΧͺ ΧΧΧΧΧ Χ©Χ Χ©ΧΧΧ ΧΧ¨Χ¦Χ. ΧΧ Χ©ΧΧ ΧͺΧΧΧ ΧΧͺΧ€ΧΧΧΧ
Yesterday I presented a new paper with Maria Grasso and @rosieshorrocks.bsky.social at #EPSA25 in the beautiful (and hot) city of Madrid.
Great panel, lovely place, and nice people around.
See you next year at EPSS!
Thanks for sharing! I just presented the exit polls based graph in my presentation yesterday. This provides a better picture of the results
π¨ Big News for European Political Science π¨
Weβre thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community.
π epssnet.org
Hereβs a thread with everything you need to know.
π§΅
Delighted to organize and chair this panel tomorrow. Promising research on cohorts, voting for radical right parties and satisfaction with democracy, with some really fascinating findings.
ecpr.eu/Events/Event...
Thanks Maria! It was a pleasure having you in the workshop βΊοΈ
Ah, director's duty calls!
While I was in the bathroom π