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Taylor Trummel

@tntrummel

PhD candidate at UC Santa Barbara. Immigration policy, attitudes, identity, experiments. tntrummel.com

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12.01.2025
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Latest posts by Taylor Trummel @tntrummel

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Acquiescence Bias and Criterion Validity: Problems and Potential Solutions for Agree-Disagree Scales - Political Behavior Political Behavior - Scholars frequently measure dispositions like populism, conspiracism, racism, and sexism by asking survey respondents whether they agree or disagree with statements...

New w/@scottclifford.bsky.social.

Lots of work uses agree-disagree scales, and a lit review shows these are 1) frequently just measured in one direction (agree = higher trait) and 2) correlated with each other.

This has potentially big issues for conclusions.

link.springer.com/article/10.1...

25.02.2026 12:38 πŸ‘ 105 πŸ” 47 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 8

Would love to know more about it! Feel free to reach out with more detail thru DM/email

27.02.2026 05:49 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Really important new evidence that American attitudes are much more inclusive than conventional debates suggest, though this support is conditional on policy design. People are more supportive of integration when it includes social support and clear eligibility criteria, which they view as fair.

26.02.2026 00:40 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Check it out! I welcome constructive comments and feedback. osf.io/preprints/so...

25.02.2026 23:07 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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πŸ™‹ Bonus FAQ: Are views about fairness the same thing as ideology? Nope. I examine the construct validity of fairness against ideology (and a lot of other things) and find them to be distinct measurements.

🀝 Plus, I identify points of policy agreement among liberals and conservatives.

25.02.2026 23:07 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

✨️ The big takeaway: The measurement of multidimensional perceptions of fairness goes beyond conventional ideological debates and offers guidance for designing democratic policies.

25.02.2026 23:07 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

3️⃣ I find little evidence of economic or prejudice-based cultural threat in guiding policy support or perceptions of fairness.

25.02.2026 23:07 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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2️⃣ Main experimental result: Agreement with different dimensions of fairness and support increases when policies *include* social services and exclusion criteria (i.e. proof of legal status, a background check).

25.02.2026 23:07 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

1️⃣ Fairness needs to be measured multidimensionally. Two people may agree that a policy is "unfair" for vastly different reasons, but if survey research only asks them "what's fair," we are missing this nuance and committing measurement error.

25.02.2026 23:07 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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My job market paper is now available as a preprint! 🚨

Using survey evidence with a conjoint experiment, I test how state-level immigrant integration policy features affect perceptions of fairness and support.

3 key points, the big takeaway, the link, and a bonus belowβ¬‡οΈπŸ§΅

25.02.2026 23:07 πŸ‘ 18 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1
Call for Proposals: Data Collection for
Replication+Novel Political Science Survey Experiments
Alexander Coppock and Mary McGrath
January 27, 2026
We invite proposals for a survey experiment replication+novel design competition. Se-
lected replication+novel design survey experiments will be conducted on large samples of
American respondents, quota sampled to match U.S. Census margins and filtered for quality
and attention by the survey sample provider Rep Data (repdata.com).
Each proposal consists of two parts: (1) a replication study of an existing, previously
published survey experiment, and (2) a novel experimental design on a topic of the authors’
choosing.
The replication studies and reanalyses of the existing studies will be combined into a
meta-paper to be co-authored by all authors of accepted proposals along with the princi-
pal investigators (Coppock and McGrath). As a condition for acceptance, authors commit
to sharing the data and producing a write-up of the findings from their novel design for
submission to a scholarly journal, and public posting of a working paper pre-publication.

Call for Proposals: Data Collection for Replication+Novel Political Science Survey Experiments Alexander Coppock and Mary McGrath January 27, 2026 We invite proposals for a survey experiment replication+novel design competition. Se- lected replication+novel design survey experiments will be conducted on large samples of American respondents, quota sampled to match U.S. Census margins and filtered for quality and attention by the survey sample provider Rep Data (repdata.com). Each proposal consists of two parts: (1) a replication study of an existing, previously published survey experiment, and (2) a novel experimental design on a topic of the authors’ choosing. The replication studies and reanalyses of the existing studies will be combined into a meta-paper to be co-authored by all authors of accepted proposals along with the princi- pal investigators (Coppock and McGrath). As a condition for acceptance, authors commit to sharing the data and producing a write-up of the findings from their novel design for submission to a scholarly journal, and public posting of a working paper pre-publication.

🎺 Call for proposals 🎺

1️⃣ replicate an existing experiment
2️⃣ run a novel experiment

on repdata.com

3️⃣ coauthor with Mary McGrath and me to meta-analyze the replications and existing studies
4️⃣ publish your study

details: alexandercoppock.com/replication_...
applications open Feb 1

please repost!

27.01.2026 22:16 πŸ‘ 77 πŸ” 70 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 3
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Another #SPSA Borders and Migration CwC in the books and a convenient excuse to finally visit New Orleans!

18.01.2026 02:21 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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πŸ—³οΈ How does having more than one citizenship shape political participation?

➑️ S Jung , Y Lee & C Wong find US born dual citizens are more active than naturalized dual citizens. Having dual citizenship plays a relevant role in civic engagement www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

10.12.2025 09:50 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Inclusive – not hostile – state policies promote linked fate among Latino immigrants | USAPP Inclusive state policies related to immigration are associated with stronger immigrant linked fate among Latino immigrants.

Inclusive – not hostile – state policies promote linked fate among Latino immigrants finds @tntrummel.bsky.social of UC Santa Barbara blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/20...

24.11.2025 16:23 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Asylum is not illegal migration – why the UK government shouldn’t conflate the two The new proposals transform settlement into something that must be continually earned. The path has become longer, more conditional and far more easily disrupted.

Asylum is not "illegal migration"
Let's start from here theconversation.com/asylum-is-no...

20.11.2025 18:32 πŸ‘ 133 πŸ” 64 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 5
Browse all journals Browse all journals

See the article here: doi.org/10.1080/2156...

20.11.2025 06:16 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

🎯 Overall, two key contributions are:

1. A different measurement approach to state immigrant policy climates than seen in some related work (and how results vary)

2. Evidence of immigrant linked fate, a nascent area of work

20.11.2025 06:16 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

This finding is in tension with much prior work that shows that hostile policy climates provoke linked fate.

20.11.2025 06:16 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I measure state immigrant policy inclusiveness using an additive index on policy issues spanning public benefits, law enforcement, and integration.

πŸ“Œ Inclusive policies are associated with *increased* feelings of linked fate to other immigrants, but there is no effect on co-ethnic linked fate.

20.11.2025 06:16 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Over the summer I published the first article of my dissertation!

In this paper, I study how state immigrant policies affect Latino immigrant linked fate.

Drawing on a large sample of Latino immigrants (LINES 2016), I use co-ethnic and immigrant linked fate as the DVs.

See moreβ¬‡οΈπŸ§΅ (1/5)

20.11.2025 06:16 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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Public Attitudes Toward Immigration Policy Across the Legal/Illegal Divide: The Role of Categorical and Attribute-Based Decision-Making - Political Behavior Scholars debate the relative strength of economic and β€˜socio-psychological’ sources of anti-immigrant sentiment. However, the literature often fails to distinguish legal from illegal immigration and t...

In AP research:
1. Moral judgements and cultural values - perception of law and order is important, even to Dems
2. Concerns over criminality, being "unvetted"
3. Perception that undocumented = poor and more likely to use welfare (untrue)

A good place to start: link.springer.com/article/10.1...

17.11.2025 07:03 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Had a great time presenting a snippet of my JMP at @ucriverside.bsky.social for @priec.bsky.social yesterday! Thanks to the organizers and for the thoughtful feedback from the audience. #UCRPRIEC20

04.10.2025 18:50 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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If you’re interested in American immigration attitudes and unique ways of assessing different dimensions of fairness, come see me this Thursday at 8:00 am at #APSA2025.

The evidence comes from a large original survey and conjoint experiment I fielded this year (n=3,000+).

10.09.2025 01:44 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

Kirill Zhirkov & Robert H. Brehm find that calling immigrants β€œillegal” or β€œundocumented” doesn’t affect perceptions in experiments. However, people’s preferences for these terms do reflect their broader attitudes toward immigration policy.

Read more here: journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

13.07.2025 21:03 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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A nation of immigrants? The case for a politically influential and intersectional immigrant identity in the United States Do Americans identify as immigrants and, if so, what are the political implications? We argue that many Americans hold an immigrant identity, and that the strength of immigrant identity varies by r...

πŸ“’ Chan & Landgrave find that many Americans hold an immigrant identityβ€”distinct from race or originβ€”and that its strength varies by race and generation.

πŸ”— Read more: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

12.06.2025 21:02 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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πŸŽ‰We're celebrating another successful Research Transparency & Reproducibility Training (RT2)! Last week, we hosted 28 early-career researchers for a course exploring preregistration, evidence aggregation, and other topics. Feeling inspired by scholars making open science happen!

28.05.2025 22:55 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
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🚨Do pro-immigration reforms trigger backlash?🚨

In our new paper, we examine how Americans reacted to high-profile immigration reforms using an unexpected-event design and all possible daily surveys. In short: no backlash to DACAβ€”but potential backlash to Trump’s Muslim Ban.

doi.org/10.31219/osf...

07.03.2025 17:27 πŸ‘ 34 πŸ” 13 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
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Immigrants of just about all statuses in the US face significant restrictions on access to federally funded public benefits. Even when eligible, they tend to use welfare at much lower rates than the US born.

Check out our new explainer for all the details: www.migrationpolicy.org/content/immi...

24.02.2025 16:35 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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When autocratization is reversed: episodes of U-Turns since 1900 The world is in a β€œwave of autocratization.” Yet, recent events in Brazil, the Maldives, and Zambia demonstrate that autocratization can be halted and reversed. This article introduces β€œU-Turn” as ...

1. When a country turns authoritarian, democracy often bounce back. A recent article shows that this happens in more than half (52%) of all episode - this is what they call U-Turns. The statistics look even better in recent years; here democracy has made a comeback in 73% of the cases.

23.02.2025 20:39 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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How Americans really feel about deporting immigrants – 3 charts explain the conflicting headlines from recent polls Conflicting polls can make it seem like Americans back Trump’s deportation plan. A psychologist and survey researcher explains how to make sense of the numbers.

How Americans really feel about deporting immigrants – why forcing a choice between deportation and legalization matters for the results

17.02.2025 22:31 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0