It’s bad that the entirety of the Democratic Party’s response to 2024 is to just wait for thermostatic backlash. Winning a narrow majority will not fix the country. But at least Trump is trying his best to make the strategy work.
I did not realize this is about temperature. Use units on dimensionful numbers, people, and don’t live in a dystopian time.
How easy is it to get money out of Polymarket?
The US has figured out the one weird trip to recovering better than the Europeans: Keynesian economics.
The year is 2032. The American people elect Donald Trump for a third term after SCOTUS said he gets a mulligan. Polling shows swing voters were split between those that don’t blame Trump for $200 per barrel oil and those that think AOC was already president in 2026.
It's hard to internalize the fact that the administration really does believe the Iraq war was "woke" and that they would be able to easily defeat a substantially more powerful nation simply by being based chads
Still crazy that the president’s lawyer spent two days with Ghislaine Maxwell, she “cleared” him of wrongdoing and was almost immediately transferred to a more pleasant prison and nobody in the administration will explain it and the media acts like two large dots are just impossible to connect.
boy in retrospect, really shouldn’t have elected the worst person in the entire country president. that, it appears, was less than wise
They should hedge. They might need to flee for their lives, but at least they’d have money from Polymarket.
Is it good when I go away from seeing markets for a few hours and come back to see this?
DC folks actually sort of need to demand that heads roll over this. It’s a real problem if law enforcement in the capital is so pathetic, weak, and supine that their instinct is to act as stormtroopers for illicit federal power grabs.
All the best oracle are saying, Donald, if you invade PERSIA, a great empire will fall! We love our ORACLES, especially as regards to Delphi and Future! thank you for your attention to this matter!
Iran’s new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei
• More hardline than father
• He’s the IRGC candidate
• Relatively young: 56
• Avoids public
• Trusted by father, clerics
• Was in military during Iraq-Iran war
• His wife, Zahra, killed in Israeli airstrike w his father
The lack of observable insider training activity around oil futures from the administration before the war - at least not clearly identified this far - suggests they didn’t forecast an oil supply shock.
Remarkable.
Operation Iraqi Freedom is a model of professionalism by comparison.
this is right but also we should absolutely say trump wants to bring back the draft
its been a fast climb
That’s not true. One of the ways attending a university was considered foundational to a good life is that it made people employable.
Look, we joke about Trump being the antichrist but if you told somebody two thousand years ago an evil king would cause black rain that sickens the people to fall upon Persia, everyone would instantly grasp there’s some kind of demon sorcery afoot.
I was reading that the shipping industry believed it would resolve quickly because “it would be too catastrophic to not resolve quickly” but it turns out that’s not how things resolve?? is this bad??
a lot of discussion about how "cosmopolitan" urban dwellers are, but a really underdiscussed trend is the homogenization of culture across *rural* areas of the USA - replacement of once-distinct regional cultures with generic "redneck" accent and culture, regional religions with evanglicalism etc
Harper to the judge: "Your driver's license doesn't list your height and weight at birth. It doesn't list where you used to live. It identifies who you are now."
I don't think American Jewish institutions like the ADL and the AJC have fully reckoned with how their behavior during the Zohran Mamdani mayoral election is going to prove to be the kind of generational mistake that will place American Jews in greater danger for years to come.
You need to destroy right-wing patronage networks, orient the political economy around liberal urban centers, and create structural political-economic incentives for the suburbs to join coalitions *against* the rurals.
You need to do this *in addition* to reforming the administrative state.
Every Dem needs to be asking themselves in the aftermath of the Trump Regime, first and foremost: "What can I do to permanently weaken the power of the populist Right in America, and permanently strengthen the center-left?"
This is about whether we have a goddamn country at all.
You have to hoard enough power to keep the fascists at bay, though. Any less than that and you're saying goodbye to civil rights and everything else.
The reason we didn't have a second Civil War is that the North hoarded enough power that even after Reconstruction failed the South remained puny.
An AI could have consciousness. The current AIs are just far away from the complexity required for it. Of course, a few years ago most people would have said human language required a lot more complexity than it turned out to require.
The 2026 Formula One rules look good. There was actual racing.
Excuse me while I stock up on aluminum.
In hindsight the "Wait until an uprising gets crushed, then attack to incite an uprising once they're all dead or in jail" gambit may have been ill-conceived.
