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Michel Grosz

@michelgrosz

Economist at FTC. Studying higher ed, labor, and consumer protection. Views are my own. www.michelgrosz.com

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03.07.2023
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Latest posts by Michel Grosz @michelgrosz

Happy to have this descriptive piece with @camilantmorales.bsky.social, Kalena Cortes, @julia-turner.bsky.social, & @loismiller.bsky.social out!

Look for more causal work on this topic from our team in the near future πŸ‘€

19.01.2026 12:40 πŸ‘ 24 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Community College Bachelor’s Degrees: How CCB Graduates’ Earnings Compare to AAs and BAs Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...

A new NBER working paper by @riacton.bsky.social and colleagues finds economic benefits to a community college baccalaureate relative to an associate degree, but that an earnings penalty still exists in tech fields relative to a traditional bachelor's degree.

19.01.2026 10:27 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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Fall Enrollment Increased 1%, International Students Declined U.S. college enrollment reached pre-pandemic levels this fall. But despite overall growth, some populations, such as adult learners and international graduate students, declined.

Overall enrollment in higher ed is back to pre-pandemic levels, but international graduate students and private colleges were notable weak spots this fall.

15.01.2026 10:32 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

@dubravkaritter.bsky.social Tomas Monarrez and I explore the credit profile of graduate students likely to need private loans after OBBBA’s new loan limits take effect next July. A bit over 1/3 have thin or poor credit and may struggle to get a private loan under typical underwriting practices.

16.12.2025 14:41 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Suspended from work and school? Impacts of layoff events and unemployment insurance on student disciplinary incidence We examine the impact of local labor market shocks and state unemployment insurance (UI) policies on student discipline in U.S. public schools. Analyz…

🚨New publication alert #econsky🚨

Thrilled to have β€œSuspended from Work and School? Impacts of layoff events and unemployment insurance on student disciplinary incidence” forthcoming at Labour Economics with @riacton.bsky.social and Austin Smith

Paper thread incoming 🧡
tinyurl.com/susp-ws

10.12.2025 13:17 πŸ‘ 21 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 2

The FTC is hiring economists!

Applications due 12/17 so it’s a quick turnaround!

Happy to chat with anyone interested in the position, especially if you have a non-IO background like me…

04.12.2025 12:48 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Line graph showing cumulative state adoption of chiropractic boards over time

Line graph showing cumulative state adoption of chiropractic boards over time

I'm John Fallon, a labor economist on the job market. My JMP uncovers something wild: when chiropractors got licensed in the early 1900s, medical boards responded by making it HARDER to become a doctor.

Why would competition lead to stricter regulations?
🧡

john-fallon-econ.com

(1/9)

24.11.2025 20:37 πŸ‘ 104 πŸ” 47 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 13

Joe Winkelmann & I have released a new @wheelockpolicybu.bsky.social working paper:

"Labor Market Strength and Declining Community College Enrollment"

We show stronger labor markets since 2009 explain most of the decline in community college enrollments.

wheelockpolicycenter.org/high-quality...

12.11.2025 13:00 πŸ‘ 46 πŸ” 17 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 2

🚨There is a lot of policy movement to expand career & technical Ed but little evidence of what to expect from such expansion. Our WP provides evidence from MA on take up & βž•impacts in the first 5 yrs after HS. #cte

05.11.2025 14:45 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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STATISTICIAN The Bureau of Economics seeks candidates for the position of Statistician. Statisticians work directly with BE staff economists to (1) provide economic analysis in support of antitrust and consumer pr...

The FTC is hiring Statisticians in the Bureau of Economics!

This is a great opportunity for seniors or recent grads interested in antitrust and consumer protection economics, and applied microeconomics research.

Come work with me! Happy to answer any questions.

www.usajobs.gov/job/845835200

12.09.2025 23:08 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Scatter plot comparing median program debt (x-axis, $50k-$300k) vs 10-year cumulative earnings (y-axis, $0.5M-$2M) for professional programs. Medicine MD programs (pink squares) cluster in upper right with high debt ($150k-$250k) and high earnings ($1.4M-$1.8M). Law programs (blue circles) cluster in the bottom left corner with lower debt and lower earnings, though some elite programs show medicine-level earnings and somewhat higher debt than other law schools. Veterinary Medicine (green diamonds), Dentistry (plus signs) and Pharmacy (X marks) are distributed across middle ranges of earnings, but across wide ranges of the distribution of debt, with almost all pharmacy programs having lower debt than almost all dentistry programs. Physical therapy and veterinary programs have law-like earnings (between half a million and a million over 10 years), and while PT has law-like debt as well, veterinary debt is generally much higher and closer to medical school.

Scatter plot comparing median program debt (x-axis, $50k-$300k) vs 10-year cumulative earnings (y-axis, $0.5M-$2M) for professional programs. Medicine MD programs (pink squares) cluster in upper right with high debt ($150k-$250k) and high earnings ($1.4M-$1.8M). Law programs (blue circles) cluster in the bottom left corner with lower debt and lower earnings, though some elite programs show medicine-level earnings and somewhat higher debt than other law schools. Veterinary Medicine (green diamonds), Dentistry (plus signs) and Pharmacy (X marks) are distributed across middle ranges of earnings, but across wide ranges of the distribution of debt, with almost all pharmacy programs having lower debt than almost all dentistry programs. Physical therapy and veterinary programs have law-like earnings (between half a million and a million over 10 years), and while PT has law-like debt as well, veterinary debt is generally much higher and closer to medical school.

New at @pseocoalition.bsky.social, @julia-turner.bsky.social & I have a new report on grad school debt & earnings over the medium term. For some key professional fields (πŸ©Ίβš–οΈπŸ¦·πŸ’ŠπŸΎ), we show the varied patterns both within & across areas of study, looking at the first decade of earnings after graduation

30.06.2025 17:31 πŸ‘ 23 πŸ” 12 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 2

For those interested in education policy and the economics of education, I've put together 4 starter packs:

Faculty and researchers 1: go.bsky.app/GHJzy4L
Faculty and researchers 2: go.bsky.app/TeqwuKM
PhD students & postdocs: go.bsky.app/FUjWT5E
Journalists and writers: go.bsky.app/3XhYmo3

30.05.2025 18:10 πŸ‘ 57 πŸ” 31 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 2

We estimate that since 2009 the Great Recession accounts for:

-19-32% of the rise in undergrad student debt
-10-25% of the rise in student loan defaults

09.05.2025 13:13 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
The Effect of the Great Recession on Student Loan Borrowing and Repayment We study the long-term effect of the Great Recession on federal student loan borrowing and repayment. Using detailed longitudinal data on federal student loan b

Excited to share this new Philly Fed working paper with Tomas Monarrez:

We study how the Great Recession affected college enrollment, student loan borrowing, repayment, and default.

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

09.05.2025 13:13 πŸ‘ 33 πŸ” 12 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

Sorry I missed it! Next time…

18.04.2025 00:30 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
OCE Staff Working Papers | Office of the Under Secretary

There's lots more in the report to dig into, so take a look! This is work with @michelgrosz.bsky.social, Sophie McGuinness, @jdmatsudaira.bsky.social, and Raj Darolia, and you can find the full report and data, along with other OCE releases, here: sites.ed.gov/ous/office-o...

17.01.2025 18:17 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Really exciting to have this work on graduate borrowing out. See @clibassi.bsky.social thread with the excellent summary…and better yet take a look at the underlying data!

17.01.2025 18:30 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Report Fraud Protect your community by reporting fraud, scams, and bad business practices

And here’s a link to the FTC ReportFraud website: reportfraud.ftc.gov

13.12.2024 18:04 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Amplifying Consumers’ Voice: The Federal Trade Commission’s Report Fraud Website Redesign | Marketing Science

Here’s a link to the paper: pubsonline.informs.org/doi/abs/10.1...

13.12.2024 18:04 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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My paper with Devesh Raval is now out at Marketing Science!

We find that when the FTC redesigned its complaint website:

-Complaints increased by 40%,

-included more useful and detailed information

-increased most for older consumers and those with less tech savvy

13.12.2024 18:04 πŸ‘ 16 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Can anyone recommend papers that compare RCT and quasi experimental estimates for the same research question?
#econsky

09.12.2024 22:05 πŸ‘ 20 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 9 πŸ“Œ 4
Quarterly Workforce Indicators: Quarterly Data Highlight

Today, we released our first Quarterly Workforce Indicator Highlights!
content.govdelivery.com/accounts/USC...

02.12.2024 16:32 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Screenshot of the ASHE account

Screenshot of the ASHE account

The American Society of Hispanic Economists (ASHE) is here πŸ¦‹πŸ¦‹πŸ¦‹

Follow @asheassa.bsky.social ‼️

02.12.2024 03:24 πŸ‘ 20 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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GitHub - clibassi/python-packages-for-applied-economists: A curated collection of Python packages for applied economists, organized by functionality to support econometric analysis, data management, v... A curated collection of Python packages for applied economists, organized by functionality to support econometric analysis, data management, visualization, and specialized tasks. - clibassi/python-...

Okay, I made an updated version of the guide "Python Packages for Applied Economists" to reorganize a bit, incorporate suggestions, and put it on Github like a grownup: github.com/clibassi/pyt...

Comments welcome!

24.11.2024 22:18 πŸ‘ 101 πŸ” 27 πŸ’¬ 7 πŸ“Œ 2

#EconSky #EconTwitter UC Davis Economists starter pack is here. Faculty, Alumni, even Ag Econ. Got everyone I could find so far, but surely missing others. Hit me up and I'll add you. Thank @afoote-econ.bsky.social

go.bsky.app/7hAGUoa

15.11.2024 00:09 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 2
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Hello #EconSky πŸ‘‹ excited to share my JMP!

❓What are the impacts of offering student finance as a grant or a loan?

In the paper, I...
πŸŽ“ Study individual university enrolment, subject choice & career motivations
❗️Explore aggregate outcomes e.g. access to university & the occupational structure
πŸ§΅πŸ‘‡

19.11.2024 18:28 πŸ‘ 43 πŸ” 17 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 5
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It’s WALES submission/registration time again! One of the best days of the late-winter if you’re a labor-adjacent economist around DC - check it out!

18.11.2024 20:34 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
Pell Grants are the cornerstone of federal financial aid for students with low income who are
enrolled in postsecondary education. Currently, these grants are available only to those who seek
an initial undergraduate degree or credential requiring at least a typical semester of instruction.
Because these rules may restrict access to programs providing skills needed for new or better jobs,
in 2011 the U.S. Department of Education (ED) began pilots of two experimental expansions to Pell
Grant eligibility. The first experiment allowed income-eligible students with a bachelor’s degree to
obtain Pell Grants for short-term occupational training programs. The second experiment allowed
income-eligible students to obtain Pell Grants for very short-term programs lasting as little as eight
weeks. This report updates earlier results from a rigorous evaluation of the experiments conducted
by ED’s Institute of Education Sciences (IES), adding new information about the experiments’
impacts on labor market success. This fuller picture could help Congress as it considers legislation
to make Pell Grants for short-term occupational training permanent policy.
Key Findings
β€’ Offering Pell Grants for short-term occupational training programs to students with low income who
have a bachelor's degree increased program enrollment and completion by about 20 percentage
points.
β€’ Offering Pell Grants for very short-term occupational training programs increased program
enrollment and completion by about 10 percentage points.
β€’ More than half of students offered experimental Pell Grants used them, receiving an average grant
amount of $1,800; they were just as likely as those not offered the grants to also use federal student
loans.
β€’ Despite boosting program enrollment and completion, offering experimental Pell Grants did not
increase employment or earnings in the medium to long term.

Pell Grants are the cornerstone of federal financial aid for students with low income who are enrolled in postsecondary education. Currently, these grants are available only to those who seek an initial undergraduate degree or credential requiring at least a typical semester of instruction. Because these rules may restrict access to programs providing skills needed for new or better jobs, in 2011 the U.S. Department of Education (ED) began pilots of two experimental expansions to Pell Grant eligibility. The first experiment allowed income-eligible students with a bachelor’s degree to obtain Pell Grants for short-term occupational training programs. The second experiment allowed income-eligible students to obtain Pell Grants for very short-term programs lasting as little as eight weeks. This report updates earlier results from a rigorous evaluation of the experiments conducted by ED’s Institute of Education Sciences (IES), adding new information about the experiments’ impacts on labor market success. This fuller picture could help Congress as it considers legislation to make Pell Grants for short-term occupational training permanent policy. Key Findings β€’ Offering Pell Grants for short-term occupational training programs to students with low income who have a bachelor's degree increased program enrollment and completion by about 20 percentage points. β€’ Offering Pell Grants for very short-term occupational training programs increased program enrollment and completion by about 10 percentage points. β€’ More than half of students offered experimental Pell Grants used them, receiving an average grant amount of $1,800; they were just as likely as those not offered the grants to also use federal student loans. β€’ Despite boosting program enrollment and completion, offering experimental Pell Grants did not increase employment or earnings in the medium to long term.

Allowing students to use Pell Grants for short-term occupational training:
- increased their use of such training but
- did not benefit their employment or earnings.

Great to see a high-quality evaluation of a promising policy idea. Good to know!
ies.ed.gov/ncee/pubs/20...

18.11.2024 20:07 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

He vuelto a actualizar el starter pack de economistas de habla hispana. Ya somos mas de 90. Ideal si acabas de aterrizar o si piensas que Bluesky todavia no ha despegado.
Si quieres aΓ±adir tu nombre, no tienes mas que decirlo.
go.bsky.app/8tkeVED

07.11.2024 21:26 πŸ‘ 16 πŸ” 14 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 0

He creado este starter pack que reune a economistas de habla hispana en Bluesky para conectarnos mejor.

Si quieres incluirte, solo tienes que decΓ­rmelo go.bsky.app/8tkeVED

01.10.2024 16:59 πŸ‘ 63 πŸ” 43 πŸ’¬ 24 πŸ“Œ 4