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Alex Kerchner

@akerchner

PhD candidate in comparative/American politics @PUPolitics, alum @nyulaw, @uw. Text analysis, elections, democracy, R, baseball, transit

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Latest posts by Alex Kerchner @akerchner

Insult, outrage, injury laid down generation upon generation like sedimentary layers. Where do they think that simmering anger goes? Eventually it must resurface, black as coal, hard as diamond.

06.03.2026 06:30 πŸ‘ 42 πŸ” 14 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

One thing that people lower-down-a-status-hierarchy absolutely do notice is if another person is only friendly to them in a context wherein by being seen to be as such they gain greater access to or kudos with someone higher-up-the-status-hierarchy. They notice this and talk about it.

06.03.2026 06:51 πŸ‘ 296 πŸ” 26 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 7

Excited to share that Cindy Kam’s and my article is published online! We examine item refusal pre- and post-Dobbs and find a significant increase in women’s refusal to disclose their pregnancy status after the decision, with concerning implications for research, policy, and women’s health.

05.03.2026 18:20 πŸ‘ 24 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Many Americans hold contradictory opinions on the same policies Our new poll finds question wording can swing opinion by 20+ points on immigration, the budget, and transgender rights. That's a problem for people who use polls to tell politicians what voters want.

Finally got to @gelliottmorris.com's piece this week on how poll question wording dramatically affects responses. It's excellent. This is classic stuff in the political behavior subfield of poli sci, but we don't hear enough about it in punditry.

www.gelliottmorris.com/p/many-ameri...

05.03.2026 02:20 πŸ‘ 137 πŸ” 31 πŸ’¬ 7 πŸ“Œ 2
Governor Newsom's recent comments about Israel were confusing and problematic at a critical moment, as the United States, Israel, and their regional partners confront significant threats from the Iranian regime.
If the Governor intended to express concern about proposals to annex parts of the West Bank, that debate requires precision. Invoking the term "apartheid" is wrong and inflammatory, does not reflect the complex realities on the ground, and only risks inflaming tensions.

Governor Newsom's recent comments about Israel were confusing and problematic at a critical moment, as the United States, Israel, and their regional partners confront significant threats from the Iranian regime. If the Governor intended to express concern about proposals to annex parts of the West Bank, that debate requires precision. Invoking the term "apartheid" is wrong and inflammatory, does not reflect the complex realities on the ground, and only risks inflaming tensions.

The future of the Democratic Party will be centrist Democrats saying factually true things (and in fact understating them) and the collective pro Israel lobby freaking the fuck out

05.03.2026 01:38 πŸ‘ 845 πŸ” 136 πŸ’¬ 22 πŸ“Œ 12

I haven't said anything about this before, bc in the grand scheme of horrors this only rates as an inconvenience, but since others are experiencing it:

Just three days after CBP arrested me for filming them outside Broadview on 9/27, my TSA Pre & Global Entry were suspendedβ€”and so were my wife's.

04.03.2026 21:03 πŸ‘ 2418 πŸ” 1188 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 48

they are unpersoning trans people at an accelerating rate and the democratic consultants are bleating its a 'distraction'

its the fucking ballgame

you either believe in human rights or you don't

04.03.2026 15:28 πŸ‘ 284 πŸ” 118 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 1
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'UNIMAGINABLE CRUELTY': Judge Gary Brown, a Trump appointeee from NY, thrashes DHS' treatment of a man who came to the US at 9 as an abuse/neglect victim, has no criminal record and became a college grad.

"The laws of decency condemn such villainy." storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...

03.03.2026 14:46 πŸ‘ 6452 πŸ” 2405 πŸ’¬ 85 πŸ“Œ 132

The left made me do it!

People who rationalize their own bigotry and other bad stances by saying harsh left-wing online comments forced them into it really hate when someone gets attacked online by rando lefties and doesn’t lurch to the right.

It shows that they didn’t have to. That it’s a choice.

03.03.2026 00:04 πŸ‘ 336 πŸ” 44 πŸ’¬ 8 πŸ“Œ 2

Every stage of this process - his arrest, spending a year in jail, being dumped on the streets to die - would be deeply shameful in a society that actually valued human life.

27.02.2026 02:29 πŸ‘ 4514 πŸ” 1344 πŸ’¬ 53 πŸ“Œ 27
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The entire Democratic strategy debate β€” "moderate" or move left? fight or compromise? β€” is based on a misreading of data. Voters don't think Dems are too progressive; they think Dems are weak. The actual math on what to do about this isn't even close!
New: www.gelliottmorris.com/p/new-poll-d...

27.02.2026 13:02 πŸ‘ 7880 πŸ” 2456 πŸ’¬ 343 πŸ“Œ 376

BREAKING: Credible whistleblower discloses that FBI forensic experts were ordered to stand down from processing the scene where Renee Good was killed, because Kash Patel did not want Good referenced as a β€œvictim” in the warrant.

02.03.2026 20:52 πŸ‘ 10971 πŸ” 4630 πŸ’¬ 210 πŸ“Œ 266

If I were a medium sized country/middle power without nuclear weapons, I would be having frank discussions with my defense minister and nuclear power industry about how long it would take to have an operational prototype.

02.03.2026 14:10 πŸ‘ 68 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 3
In a book from the early 1980s, he predicted that if people were discouraged from speaking publicly about their deepest convictions, β€œthis would create a kind of moral vacuum, a void in our public life, an emptiness of meaning that sooner or later would be filled by narrow, intolerant moralisms of two kinds: fundamentalism or hyper-nationalism,” he said recently. β€œFour or five decades later, alas, that’s what’s happened.”

In a book from the early 1980s, he predicted that if people were discouraged from speaking publicly about their deepest convictions, β€œthis would create a kind of moral vacuum, a void in our public life, an emptiness of meaning that sooner or later would be filled by narrow, intolerant moralisms of two kinds: fundamentalism or hyper-nationalism,” he said recently. β€œFour or five decades later, alas, that’s what’s happened.”

Who, exactly, has been "discouraged from speaking publicly about their deepest convictions"? It seems to me that the trajectory of public discourse over the last five decades--especially with the rise of social media--has moved in precisely the opposite direction that Michael Sandel posits here.

02.03.2026 14:08 πŸ‘ 55 πŸ” 12 πŸ’¬ 8 πŸ“Œ 1
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The Court, IEEPA, and the Legislative Veto We're all trying to find the guy who did this

My take on Learning Resources v. Trump: the elephant in the room in Chadha and the legislative veto.

fivepoints.mattglassman.net/p/the-court-...

27.02.2026 20:02 πŸ‘ 22 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 3
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The Trump Administration is Testing Conversion Therapy By Medically Experimenting on Trans People in Prisons The Bureau of Prisons is subjecting trans people to conversion therapy and denying them care with the goal of helping them "recover." It's trying to prove dangerous conversion practices can work.

Under a new policy released Thursday, the Trump Administration will test conversion therapy on trans people in prisons. It explicitly states that it aims to help trans people β€œrecover,” all the while forcibly detransitioning them both medically and socially.

transitics.substack.com/p/the-trump-...

23.02.2026 18:39 πŸ‘ 2719 πŸ” 1773 πŸ’¬ 232 πŸ“Œ 1035

The Department of Education has hung a massive banner honoring a racist college dropout who built a lucrative career out of targeting professors for harassment

01.03.2026 15:25 πŸ‘ 5650 πŸ” 1702 πŸ’¬ 199 πŸ“Œ 73

A data point to remember re: β€œpopularism” is that the popular position on what is happening in Iran and happened in Venezuela is β€œno war, this is insane, full stop” and the moderate elected officials we are supposed to like are saying contorted, legalistic, unpopular word salad instead of that.

28.02.2026 18:06 πŸ‘ 642 πŸ” 183 πŸ’¬ 12 πŸ“Œ 7

OFFS. When Iran tried to interefere in 2020, researchers caught them and called them out. Then the Benz-Weiss-Taibbi-Musk-Jordan-Trump axis labeled those researchers "censors" ... and set about defunding them and dismantling their organizations.

28.02.2026 16:43 πŸ‘ 3878 πŸ” 1269 πŸ’¬ 36 πŸ“Œ 42
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a less affluent suburb of manchester just elected a plumber & those who insist we listen to the working class are furious

turns out it doesn't count if you're pro-trans & pro-immigration

01.03.2026 13:06 πŸ‘ 1958 πŸ” 323 πŸ’¬ 19 πŸ“Œ 27

OpenAI posted the terms of the deal. Reveals that it absolutely does allow for domestic surveillance. EO 12333 is how the NSA hides its domestic surveillance by capturing communications by tapping into lines *outside the US* even if it contains info from/on US persons.

openai.com/index/our-ag...

01.03.2026 05:20 πŸ‘ 2643 πŸ” 1164 πŸ’¬ 31 πŸ“Œ 73

A lot of people really don’t realize that there is a vast amount of information out there that is not online and plausibly never will be, or can’t be.

11.02.2026 20:47 πŸ‘ 1045 πŸ” 226 πŸ’¬ 42 πŸ“Œ 24

This is just such an embarrassing way for a country to fall apart.

28.02.2026 04:34 πŸ‘ 1006 πŸ” 133 πŸ’¬ 27 πŸ“Œ 9

if you believe in any form of free enterprise at all, the idea that the Pentagon can not only cut off your contract but designate you a supply chain risk and prevent other companies from buying from you just because you won't build killbots for the government should be terrifying

27.02.2026 23:12 πŸ‘ 9888 πŸ” 2803 πŸ’¬ 203 πŸ“Œ 129

The reality here is that universities would love to hire visible and capable conservative scholars. That they have to create separate centers, and then hire people who would never make it in an open search, underlines the fact that its not anti-conservative bias, its a lack of strong candidates.

27.02.2026 13:54 πŸ‘ 639 πŸ” 171 πŸ’¬ 22 πŸ“Œ 7

The Washington Post's description of the bodycam video of his arrest last year, and the translation of Mr. Shah Alam's comments, is gutting. Remember, he was entirely blind in one eye and could only see three feet in the other, and he spoke virtually no English.

He spent a year in jail for this.

27.02.2026 01:01 πŸ‘ 3967 πŸ” 1777 πŸ’¬ 72 πŸ“Œ 115
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Noem’s luxury β€˜deportation’ jet is the tip of the ICE-berg Kristi Noem's DHS has acquired at least nine new aircraft in recent weeks, with another one on the way. Half are luxury jets.

SCOOP: Noem's DHS has acquired at least NINE new jets in recent weeks, with another one on the way.

Half are luxury jets.

gillianbrockell.ghost.io/noems-luxury...

27.02.2026 01:49 πŸ‘ 3901 πŸ” 2151 πŸ’¬ 285 πŸ“Œ 315

the right's propaganda against trans people has been one of their most successful campaigns as of late. it's been so obviously astroturfed, so clearly manufactured. but they have useful toadies like singal who gets opinion pieces in the NYT to convince the liberals it's okay

26.02.2026 04:11 πŸ‘ 2034 πŸ” 333 πŸ’¬ 11 πŸ“Œ 7
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Vance says administration is pausing some Medicaid funding to Minnesota because of fraud concerns Vice President JD Vance has announced that the Trump administration would β€œtemporarily halt” some Medicaid funding to the state of Minnesota over fraud concerns, as part of what he described as an agg...

This is deeply illegal, breaking the Medicaid statute and the ICA.

States are entitled to funding from federal govt to help pay for Medicaid. Providing less than the statute calls for is open and shut illegal, more akin to the impoundments Nixon lost unilaterally before SCOTUS than anything so far.

26.02.2026 00:23 πŸ‘ 1752 πŸ” 712 πŸ’¬ 59 πŸ“Œ 26