www.lowellsun.com/2026/03/03/v...
04.03.2026 03:27
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Given that the Greatest Generation was <5% of the voters in 2008, not much.
Civiqs lets you slice and dice approval demographics to your heart's content. Approval among white non-college 18-34 is at 36% now, compared to 62% for white non-college 50-64, or white college 18-34 at 26%. So age shows a greater diff compared to college vs non-college among white respondents.
In September, a box of old film reels was donated to the Library's National Audio-Visual Conservation Center. One of them was a nearly 130-year-old, long-lost film by iconic French filmmaker George Méliès. It had not been seen by anyone in likely more than a century. 🧵
blogs.loc.gov/loc/2026/02/...
Graph of poll asking "Overall, do you think AI is having a positive or negative impact on the world?" with results shown decreasing from around -20 net negative impact in May 2025 to -39 in February 2026.
Nope. No backlash here.
civiqs.com/results/ai_i...
Polling trend chart for the 2026 Danish parliamentary election showing the combined center-left bloc of parties in red and the combined center-right bloc of parties in blue. The left had led for multiple years until the right started gaining and finally surged into a lead in late 2025. However, the right’s polling tanked and the left rebounded in early 2026 after Donald Trump threatened war to take over Greenland, which is an autonomous part of the Kingdom of Denmark. Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Danish_general_election
1) Danish conservatives had been gaining in the polls and finally took the lead last fall.
2) Trump threatened war over Greenland.
3) The right’s polling tanked and the center-left bloc could win.
4) The center-left* prime minister calls an early election for March 24
apnews.com/article/denm...
What actually happened to horses after cars came around...
web.archive.org/web/20211020...
Mount St. Helens rises above a low deck of clouds, its cone truncated and deeply scarred on the north side after the May 18, 1980, blast. A dense, cauliflower-textured ash plume boils up from the crater and drifts to the upper right, towering over the volcano. Far left, Mount Rainier appears in the distance, its snow-covered summit floating above the cloud layer. Skamania County, Washington. July 22, 1980. USGS, PIO No. 80-186d (PIO_80_186d).
It's time for a U.S. Geological Survey Photo Thread
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July 22, 1980
The first clearly visible eruption since May 18.
This district had the second-biggest swing to Trump between 2020 and 2024 of all the specials in the cycle so far. The biggest was in NJ SD-32, which is also heavily Latino, and where the Democrat in the special also outperformed *both* Harris and Biden.
There is no positive issue territory left for Trump, per our new Strength In Numbers/ @verasight.io poll.
POTUS plans to focus on the economy in his SOTU 2nite. But shifting media focus back to a -30 issue is perhaps not the foolproof strategy he thinks it is.
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/ahead-of-s...
The trove of files released by the Department of Justice, illuminates Epstein’s deep interest and entrenchment in the scientific community.
But the files also underscore how he used his power and money in ways that kept women out of places where they might succeed. https://bit.ly/4qWgPLz
If you liked this experiment, I published a full piece today in the same vein: a text that gets 100 years older with every section, from a modern blog post to a medieval chronicle.
It's a single story spanning 1000 years of English. See how far you get.
www.deadlanguagesociety.com/p/how-far-ba...
“We have all been here before
We have all been here before…”
*even THOUGH the nationwide approval is the same
Map of Bush's approval ratings in February 2006. He is above 50% in only six states: ID, UT, WY, NE, OK, and AL.
Map of Trump's approval levels in February 2026. He is above 50% in 11 states: ID, WY, MT, SD, ND, OK, AR, TN, KY, WV, and AL.
We can see this in the overall approval ratings maps: even the the nationwide approval is the same, Trump is above 50% in almost twice as many states as Bush. end/
On the other hand, the educational shift came hand-in-hand with geographic polarization that will work against Democrats this year compared to 2006. Nobody is anticipating a close race in Wyoming, for example. 9/
Republicans famously did terribly in the 2006 midterms. But in midterms, voters with lower education levels disproportionately stay home compared to presidential years. This should make it even harder for Republicans this year compared to 2006. 8/
By age, 33% of those age 18-34 in 2006 supported Bush. 20 years later, 33% of those aged 34-49 support Trump. (Older voters support Trump a little more than they did Bush.) 7/
In contrast, support is lower for Trump among those with college and postgraduate degree compared to support for Bush, in nearly every state. 6/
We can see a geographic component to the changes as well. Increase in support among those without a college degree is centered on the midwest and upland south
Some states in this region even show an increase in support among those with a college degree 5/
Despite the same toplines, under the hood things are very different for education levels. In 2006, Bush's support was strongest among college graduates, with 46%. Trump's support is famously strongest among those without a college degree, now at just 42% though. 4/
The population-weighted average of the SUSA polls gives an approval rating of 39% for Bush in 2006, the same as the nationwide Civiqs results for Trump on 2/18/26 as captured on 2/19/26. 3/
These maps were computed from a February 2006 @surveyusa.bsky.social 50-state poll (which seems to be no longer available online) and yesterday's @civiqs.bsky.social approval numbers. 2/
Nine small maps showing presidential approval ratings by state and education level, and changes from 2006 to 2026. The maps are discussed in the following tweets.
20 years later, and once again we have an unpopular Republican president sitting at an approval rating of about 39%.
But now, opinions are sharply divided based on educational attainment.
The changes are not, however, geographically uniform. 1/
Which Americans Are Most Likely to Adhere to Christian Nationalist Ideology? A majority of Republicans qualify as either Christian nationalism Adherents or Sympathizers.
(@prri.org)
More, via Opinion Today:
opiniontoday.substack.com/p/260218
Twitterpated.
Thank you!
Hi Alex! We're AI-free at @the-downballot.com and we have a statement to that effect in today's post:
"We can promise you one thing, though: At The Downballot, we do not use AI to write stories."
www.the-downballot.com/p/morning-di...
#GraphicOfTheWeek: Advances in geothermal technology mean it is no longer limited to volcanic regions like Iceland.
43 GW of geothermal capacity is already cost-competitive with coal and gas, and up to 42% of EU coal and gas power could be replaced.
ember-energy.org/lat...
"National policy is feminized."