🚨 Our new OutRush.io report (with @vetasergeeva.bsky.social & @karolinanugumanova.bsky.social) was featured in the New York Times.
We look at return, onward migration & political life of post-2022 Russian emigrants.
📄 Report: outrush.io/report_march...
🗞️ NYT: www.nytimes.com/2025/04/06/w...
Using unique data on Russian emigrants following the full-scale invasion of Ukraine, we show that home-country actions, such as intimidation through transnational repression, can be as detrimental to emigrants' lives as income loss and unemployment. More here: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Yet another take on authoritarianism in your newsfeed: @emilkamalov.bsky.social and I have published an article in PSA on how authoritarian state may impact their citizens' well-being even when they're abroad.
8/ This brings us back to the importance of political programs, alternative to the incumbents' ones. And it is precisely these alternatives that Russian citizens are not offered to express support for at the moment.
7/ Certainly, I do not think we should be overly optimistic about the level of support for the war in Russia. However, it is interesting to see how attitudes vary depending on whether specific policies, like peace negotiations, are mentioned—not just general support for the war.
6/ However, none of the provided links directly support this statement. Instead, the findings of the Levada Center itself suggest that peace negotiations are mostly supported by those who do not support President Putin.
5/ This graph is one of three in the report, reflecting the richest data among all others. There is only one mention of this graph in the text, noting that 'those respondents embracing peace talks support them only on the condition that Russia retains its recent territorial gains in Ukraine.'
4/ In fact, this graph based on Levada Center data is from a new report by Maria Snegovaya 'THE RELUCTANT CONSENSUS: War and Russia’s public opinion', with the key message that there is a consensus among Russian citizens supporting the war.
3/ Not knowing the source of the graph, one might even think that this is a graph illustrating an interesting puzzle: how, in a country where expressing an alternative political opinion is nearly impossible without violating laws, people still have doubts about a crucial state policy.
2/ By grouping two sets of respondents, one in red and yellow (inclined to continue military actions) and the other in dark blue and light blue (inclined to support peace negotiations), we can even say that this graph represents quite strong and consistent polarization on peace negotiations topic.
1 / This is a graph about how Russian citizens have been answering the question of whether Russia should continue the war or start peace negotiations, as surveyed in a monthly representative national survey by Levada Center. ⬇️
