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Antony Seely

@taxbts

House of Commons Library taxation policy specialist

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Latest posts by Antony Seely @taxbts

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2025 Local Elections Handbook and dataset Explore the 2025 local elections results and download a comprehensive results dataset for electoral districts and wards.

We've published the 2025 local elections handbook in collaboration with the University of Exeter's Elections Centre. This includes ward- and candidate-level results from last year's locals. commonslibrary.parliament.uk/2025-local-e...

06.03.2026 09:14 πŸ‘ 13 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Can a British citizen travel to the UK using a non-British passport? The Home Office advises British citizens who have dual nationality to use a British passport, or apply for a certificate of entitlement to the right of abode, to travel to the UK.

Can a British citizen travel to the UK using a non-British passport? Newly updated by popular demand commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-bri...

04.03.2026 14:39 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
House of Commons Library graphic promoting new research. 

Search engine bar containing: β€œWhat is the spring forecast?”

Green text boxes: β€œThere’s a Library briefing for that. Get the facts at commonslibrary.parliment.uk”

Decorative background image showing Chancellor Rachel Reeves MP carrying a red folder walking out of a black door.

House of Commons Library graphic promoting new research. Search engine bar containing: β€œWhat is the spring forecast?” Green text boxes: β€œThere’s a Library briefing for that. Get the facts at commonslibrary.parliment.uk” Decorative background image showing Chancellor Rachel Reeves MP carrying a red folder walking out of a black door.

Get ready for the 2026 Spring forecast with the Commons Library.

On 3 March, the Office for Budget Responsibility will publish new forecasts for the economy and public finances.

❓Find out what the spring forecast is with the Library's advance summary: commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-bri...

26.02.2026 15:29 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Just to follow up on this for those looking for recommendations of data people in the UK: the starter pack Data and AI Civil Society Network is a really good one to mass follow bsky.app/starter-pack...

13.01.2026 14:01 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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People often assume there's a right and wrong way to present data in a chart or graphic. But there are many legitimate choices that can mean a telling different stories with the same data.

Data viz guru Andy Kirk @visualisingdata.com shared more wisdom with me this week on the podcast this week πŸ“ŠπŸ”Š

13.01.2026 08:57 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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The US capture of NicolΓ‘s Maduro This briefing looks at the January 2026 US military operation to capture Venezuelan leader NicolΓ‘s Maduro, statements by President Trump and US officials, the UK and international response, and questi...

I’ve published a short briefing on the US’s capture of NicolΓ‘s Maduro

I’m sure it will need updating soon…

commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-bri...

06.01.2026 21:29 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Digital ID, big tech and the Dutch dilemma A planned US takeover of critical infrastructure raises troubling questions

A longer post from me to start the year: the Dutch are panicking. Their digital ID system will soon fall under the control of an American company and far-reaching US government powers.

Why is that such a problem? And what does it mean for the UK?

open.substack.com/pub/georgina...

07.01.2026 10:04 πŸ‘ 82 πŸ” 56 πŸ’¬ 7 πŸ“Œ 12

We updated our briefing on this suddenly topical subject just before Christmas

29.12.2025 20:19 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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UK-EU reset: Agreement on UK participation in the EU Erasmus+ programme The UK and EU have agreed that the UK will participate in the EU Erasmus+ programme from 2027

Published yesterday, our Commons Library Briefing on the UK rejoining the Erasmus+ programme commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-bri...

23.12.2025 17:14 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Deprivation of British citizenship and withdrawal of passports In the 21st century there has been a revived use of government powers to deprive people of their British citizenship and withhold UK passports, particularly as a counter-terrorism measure.

Et voilΓ  commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-bri...

18.12.2025 16:35 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

There has been a sustained focus on state threats & foreign interference activities in the UK over the last few weeks, including a debate on the impact of foreign interference on security, trade & democracy in the Commons yesterday.
Below are some relevant Library briefings that might be of interest

12.12.2025 15:25 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Housing Researcher - Houses of Parliament Title: Housing Researcher. Employer: House of Commons. Salary: Β£43,614 - Β£50,374 per annum. Closes: 11/01/2026, 23:55

The Commons Library is recruiting a housing policy researcher!

As ever: highly recommended workplace, great people, interesting work, etc etc. Apply!

housesofparliament.tal.net/vx/mobile-0/...

09.12.2025 19:23 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 17 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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New episode of the TDTM podcast just dropped, featuring migration statistics oracle and all-round inspiration Madeleine Sumption from Oxford's @migobs.bsky.social πŸ”Š

Listen to the full episode now on Spotify ⬇️ or Apple Podcasts

open.spotify.com/episode/2Buv...

09.12.2025 10:28 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Photo of Rachel Reeves MP, Chancellor of the Exchequer,  delivering the budget with search bar and text: What do I need to know before the Autumn Budget? Further text in light green box: There's a Library briefing for that. Further text in a dark green box: Get the facts at commonslibrary.parliament.uk

Photo of Rachel Reeves MP, Chancellor of the Exchequer, delivering the budget with search bar and text: What do I need to know before the Autumn Budget? Further text in light green box: There's a Library briefing for that. Further text in a dark green box: Get the facts at commonslibrary.parliament.uk

Get ready for the Autumn Budget with the Commons Library 🧰

Their background briefing covers the UK economy, fiscal rules, public spending and more, helping you get the facts ahead of tomorrow's announcements.

commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-bri...

25.11.2025 16:52 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Are we flying blind on the economy? with Jonathan Portes

I'm thrilled to announce that Talk Data to Me now has a podcast.

My first guest is Jonathan Portes, Professor of Economics at Kings, who talked to me about recent problems with UK economic data & budget challenges for the Chancellor.

Available to listen now πŸ”Š

open.spotify.com/episode/6Txz...

24.11.2025 13:44 πŸ‘ 21 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Parliamentary sovereignty A short research briefing on the principle of parliamentary sovereignty, its origins and contemporary application.

Parliamentary sovereignty is one of the most deceptively difficult things to write about accurately, concisely and accessibly.

Credit to David Torrance & @paolosandro.bsky.social for showing the deceptively difficult is not the infuriatingly impossible.

commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-bri...

19.11.2025 18:02 πŸ‘ 21 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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House of Commons Library Open Day We are pleased to invite librarians, library staff and information officers to the House of Commons Library Open Day 2026.

The House of Commons Library Open Day returns in 2026!

Come and learn about what we do to inform democracy and take advantage of a rare chance to tour the Commons Library space.

Full details are on our website and applications close 24th November commonslibrary.parliament.uk/training-and...

27.10.2025 13:53 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 6
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There's a persistent impression about the migration debate in the UK that one side - that of migration sceptics - cares a lot more.

I've got a nagging feeling that's not only untrue but having a disastrous effect.

⬇️ My latest post on Substack ⬇️

georginasturge.substack.com/p/a-monopoly...

24.09.2025 13:47 πŸ‘ 43 πŸ” 15 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 0
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Behind the doors of asylum hotels - what I found when I went inside A BBC reporter goes into four hotels and speaks to asylum seekers and staff about what daily life is like.

Good BBC report on life in asylum hotels www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

23.09.2025 08:36 πŸ‘ 16 πŸ” 12 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 4
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State visits to the UK What are state visits? Who decides who is invited? Who pays the costs? What is the format of a state visit? Do they always include addresses to Parliament?

I put together a short briefing with David Torrance on state visits to the UK. Found out a few interesting nuggets while researching it

Also includes a spreadsheet of all state visits since 1952 including addresses to Parliament

commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-bri...

17.09.2025 08:42 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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How to make conversations about immigration less painful Let's get one thing straight at the very least

Most of us are in a wobbly position when it comes to our understanding of immigration numbers.

How would things go if we didn’t make these half-remembered statistics so central to how we form and articulate opinions?

georginasturge.substack.com/p/how-to-mak...

08.09.2025 12:22 πŸ‘ 28 πŸ” 12 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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Revising statistics? The real crime is not to do it Trump's campaign against 'phony' numbers won't lead anywhere good

Recent revisions to US employment stats were less an act of inside sabotage and more about businesses behaving unexpectedly due to Trump's chaotic tariff regime.

Attacks on 'phony' statisticians take us to a very dark place. My latest post for Substack:

georginasturge.substack.com/p/revising-s...

13.08.2025 12:47 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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The EU Entry/Exit system and EU travel authorisation system The EU is introducing new border systems, requiring non-EU nationals to obtain an authorisation before they travel to the EU and go through new automated biometric checks at the border.

Have published an update for the Commons Library on the EU's entry exit system, now scheduled for launch on 12 October 2025 and being phased in over six months. Will also operate at Port of Dover, and Eurostar and Eurotunnel terminals in the UK 1/2
commonslibrary.parliament.uk/the-eu-entry...

08.08.2025 09:59 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Electoral reform in the UK feels inevitable For the first time, a majority of voters across all parties back electoral reform and would prefer to have a coalition government.

Is now the time? βŒ›

The data on electoral reform shows that the stars are well and truly aligned in terms of public support. A majority of voters from all the biggest parties - even Labour and Conservatives - are in favour. Do politicians feel the same?

georginasturge.substack.com/p/electoral-...

07.08.2025 07:40 πŸ‘ 14 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
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In search of bad vibes A mood of boiling discontentment in Britain is the subject of daily news - but where is the evidence that it even exists?

Why are we hooked on bad vibes when they don't reflect reality?

I took a deep-dive into the data, in search of what is really going on.

open.substack.com/pub/georgina...

28.07.2025 11:19 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
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Why do we rely on economic forecasts which are always wrong?

georginasturge.substack.com/p/why-do-we-...

16.07.2025 10:00 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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An intervention for UK statistics - but will it be enough? The ONS must change to provide the good data that government and the public need

An intervention for UK statistics - but will it be enough?

In my latest Substack post I ask 'what now?' for the beleaguered Office for National Statistics, following last week's honest but critical Devereux Review.

open.substack.com/pub/georgina...

01.07.2025 09:54 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1
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Supporting documents for Spending Review 2025 Supporting documents alongside the main Spending Review 2025 document: distributional analysis, policy costings and data sources.

Well, this is exciting - I've been grumbling for *years* about how figures at Budgets and Spending Reviews are only given to the nearest Β£100 million, which makes data analysis needlessly difficult. And the Treasury have just gone ahead and published the unrounded data! www.gov.uk/government/p...

27.06.2025 10:57 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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With some trepidation, in my latest piece for Substack I try to verify a claim doing the rounds that 'White British' will have become a minority ethnicity in the UK by 2063.

Enjoy...?

open.substack.com/pub/georgina...

25.06.2025 07:55 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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a man and a woman are standing next to each other and the man is saying it 's all the drama Alt: A GIF from the TV series Gavin and Stacey. Pam, a middle-aged woman, announces excitedly to her husband: "It's all the drama, Mick. I just love it!"

Now that the 2031 census recommendation is here, it feels like I've done a full "census cycle" as a professional census nerd.

It's a brilliant part of my job, being paid to pay attention to something that's ever-changing and the setting for so many interesting debates about identity and society.

20.06.2025 12:26 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0