I love watching people use LLMs in public. They’ll reply to a breaking news article and say “@grok is this true?” Babe where do you think it’s about to pull its answer from
No country is going to surrender unconditionally unless they have been thoroughly beaten beyond all hope. Historically, that means either a land invasion or atomic bombing.
Again, Donald Trump once knew to pretend to publicly oppose the war in Iraq because it was a no-win quagmire. That he can't see that here is another clear sign his brain is gone.
The Iranian people do not want this.
Oh man we are HAVING A NEWS DAY I see
*BLACKROCK’S $26 BILLION PRIVATE CREDIT FUND LIMITS WITHDRAWALS
Freak the fuck out and panic sell everything right now. It's fucking over. - Warren Buffett
markets yesterday: iran is clearly bluffing. this is going to be fine
markets today:
It’s not a war you fucking idiots. It’s an exchange of violence between two polities to impose a political outcome through conflict.
You mean, exchange of violence between two groups of *warfighters*. Very manly warfighters, I might add.
HUGE payrolls miss, wow
Feb Payrolls -92k vs +55k est/+130k prev
2m net revision -69k
Unemplomyent 4.4% vs 4.3% est/4.3% prev
Avg hourly earn YoY +3.8% vs +3.7% est+/3.7% prev
Jan Retail sales MoM -0.2% vs -0.3% est/0.0% prev
Control group est MoM +0.3% vs+0.3% est/-0.1% prev
While employment in health care shrank this month, it continues to account for more than all of the jobs created over the past year.
I will miss Kristi Noem's inimitable constitutional insights, as when, asked by Sen. Maggie Hassan, D-N.H. at a Senate hearing to define "habeas corpus," she replied, "Habeas corpus is a constitutional right that the president has to be able to remove people from this country."
It would be a pretty great time for an EV company with good values to launch a mid-sized SUV, wonder if any company has thought about that for say next week.
What a mess.
DALY: JOB MARKET IS VULNERABLE || VERY DIFFERENT FROM WHEN INFLATION IS BELOW TARGET
the way this was so prescient and it just gets worse for them
- Iran war could be a significant price shock & some underlying inflation signals were already accelerating
—> Worst jobs report since covid🗿
The U.S. lost 92,000 jobs in February, the Labor Department said Friday, missing expectations. That was short of January's gain of 126,000 jobs, and worse than the gain of 50,000 jobs that economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had expected to see.
A directional miss www.wsj.com/economy/jobs...
U.S NONFARM PAYROLLS (FEB)ACTUAL: -92K VS 130K PREVIOUS ; EST 55K
U.S UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (FEB)ACTUAL: 4.4% VS 4.3% PREVIOUS; EST 4.3%
Epic Fury.
Waller in the mood to sell tail risk this morning I see.
*WALLER: THIS IS MORE LIKE A ONE-OFF EVENT THAN IN 1970S
I don't have time but I'm going to fisk this later because there is a relatively easy case to make that it is exactly the same dynamic.
The King of Baseball
When I was in elementary school I befriended a WWII vet who piloted P-47s (best plane). His enlistment origin story was failing the weight check at 123 lbs and, after gorging for a week, steeling himself to swallow lead pellets if he failed again. The recruiter faked a higher weight to pass him
Two people I really respect on here are @aubreygilleran.bsky.social and @besttrousers.bsky.social because they are in the trenches of the comments 30 replies deep arguing in good faith with people who honestly do not deserve that good faith. The mild temperament on display is remarkable.
A brown penguin chick of some kind. It looks very much like a man in a suit. It is bedraggled and miserable
Made it to Friday but at what cost
There’s a certain poetry in this being published in TNR
WHOA! TONY GONZALES OUT! #TX23 He will not seek re-election
ICE has arrested and detained a Nashville journalist who reported stories critical of ICE. She’s married to a U.S. citizen and has been seeking asylum here after fleeing death threats in Colombia because of her journalism there.
They’ve already sent her to Louisiana.
First reported by @decaturish.bsky.social, GA State Sen. Elena Parent will not seek reelection.
In 2025, Parent, who represents one of the most progressive districts in the South, east of Atlanta, dared a trans parent to find someone to challenge her for reelection in a recorded anti-trans screed:
We bombed them. To do what? So we can bomb them. To do what? To facilitate strikes. To do what? To enable kinetic operations. To do what? To shape the battlefield. To do what? So we can bomb them.
i think when we get a final reckoning of how much Noem has personally profited from her office this question might answer itself
BREAKING: @aoc.bsky.social just came out swinging in the House E&C hearing against dangerous & misguided "age verification" legislation (aka online ID checks) that would force everyone to upload government ID or get a face scan before accessing content or posting online.
Video incoming. This is big
