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Joe Chrisp

@joechrisp

Research Associate @ Institute for Policy Research, University of Bath Political economy, comparative politics, welfare states, basic income

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Latest posts by Joe Chrisp @joechrisp

For 18-20 year olds the minimum wage has increased by 26% since Labour took office

30.01.2026 16:08 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

'Modestly raising' the minimum wage = 11.1% increase in 2 years when the level was already at 61% of average wages vs 'hikes in the minimum wage' = 7.7% increase in 2 years when Spain's was only at 53.4% in 2024. Main differences between Sanchez & Starmer are migration & foreign policy not economics

30.01.2026 16:06 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

You must’ve gone to the only Indian!

21.01.2026 14:00 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

It’s a typo, so red means more Chinese restaurants

21.01.2026 13:58 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Keeping social democracy on life support with a variety of financial wheezes

21.01.2026 10:22 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

The fact that people can't see this is the biggest indictment of the whole student loan system. That lowering the interest rate and increasing the repayment period has almost been portrayed as an improvement

21.01.2026 10:07 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Volume 33, Issue 3-4 A quarterly journal of politics and ideas, committed to exploring and expanding the radical potential of social democracy.

NEW ISSUE: Renewal 33/3&4

Guest co-edited by @neilwarner.bsky.social & @beccagold.bsky.social, this special double issue features nineteen (19) brilliant essays analysing Labour's statecraft and debating the strategic challenges for social democracy in Britain and beyond

20.01.2026 13:46 πŸ‘ 16 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 11

The problem is we have step marking for each individual assignment in a given unit. So you end up with an average of stepped marks across all the units you do. I do think it is a better system but it doesn't really avoid the boundary issues re: degree classification

16.01.2026 12:02 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

If family of four means four children and all four are 14+ you basically get there

03.12.2025 12:18 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I feel uncomfortable making this point too strongly because it relies on the existence of the benefit cap which I’d want removed too. But feels like a point a median voter sensitive government should have been banging on about in prep for the policy change

28.11.2025 09:28 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

NEW! How should Labour respond to the two key issues to voters of the economy and immigration and what are the electoral stakes this week of the budget?

Read on for our answer...

@nprcoxford.bsky.social @jrf-uk.bsky.social

24.11.2025 11:02 πŸ‘ 61 πŸ” 35 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 5
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New Publication with @lhaffert.bsky.social in @ejprjournal.bsky.social!

We study the role of generations in the urban-rural divide, which is increasingly shaping the politics of many democracies.

Studying Switzerland, we show: The urban-rural divide is stronger among younger generations. (1/10) πŸ§΅πŸ‘‡

24.11.2025 09:47 πŸ‘ 120 πŸ” 46 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 3

So deep was the fiscal crisis that the government slashed taxes on low and middle income workers

21.11.2025 09:44 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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From @philipjcowley.bsky.social - thanks to a happy coincidence we have a much more rigorous than usual understanding of the impact of Keir Starmer's "Island of Strangers" speech. As Cowley puts it "It is not obvious this was the intended outcome"

20.11.2025 13:27 πŸ‘ 68 πŸ” 30 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 3

That would be committing to the triple lock for at least another few decades

16.11.2025 20:47 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

In order to save any meaningful amount of money, a means test would effectively be a tax targeted at middle income pensioners. If you want to claw back the cost of the pension in a progressive way you should increase tax that will continue to affect the richest pensioners not means test

16.11.2025 20:38 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Freezing of thresholds since has somewhat reversed this but in 2020 average tax rates including Plan 2 student loan repayments (the loans that will mostly never get paid off and so more plausibly defined as taxes) were lower for the median employee than at any point in history even before loans

15.11.2025 14:20 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Tbf for the median earner it’s about 3pp more and it’s a kinder student loan system than US/Canada IMO

15.11.2025 14:07 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

And UC shows the inherent trade offs you face with marginal rates. Lowering the taper rate has just drawn more and more people into benefits, extending high marginal rates to more households and making it more expensive to increase generosity at the bottom end

14.11.2025 20:36 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I agree they both matter but I’m not exercised in terms of it high marginal rates being inherently unfair more just distortionary

14.11.2025 20:33 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

The policy is stupid and child benefit should just be universal again but IMO the problem is incentives at those points rather than distributive justice/fairness given no one below 100k actually gets more than half their income taxed

14.11.2025 20:29 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

It’s got lower since charge got spread out over 20k (which I’m not convinced is better) c.54% for 2 children or 63% with a student loan as well

14.11.2025 20:22 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Seems odd that the bump is just over 50k because to me the biggest disincentive is not so much the actual marginal rate but the cognitive load of doing the tax return

14.11.2025 13:28 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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03.10.2025 10:30 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Between country inequality is stark but I don't think there's evidence it has risen in the last 40-50 years wir2022.wid.world/chapter-2/

03.10.2025 10:22 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Article says that *temporary accommodation* accounts for over 80% of homelessness, not the UK (which would be absurd)

03.09.2025 08:33 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Wonder if there’s a more surefire way to get research shared on Bluesky than to paint Musk or his businesses in a bad light

22.07.2025 15:22 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Today's stories saying the unemployment rate has risen from 4.6 to 4.7% tell only part of the story. The same data - the Labour Force Survey - shows this rise comes from more people who were inactive starting to look for work and so being classified as unemployed, which is good news 🧡 /1

17.07.2025 14:38 πŸ‘ 13 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1

Not really sure what the balancing of rights and responsibilities has to do with it. Voting is a right and a responsibility. All of the things you name are similar. So your argument is more that you should get the rights and responsibilities in different spheres of life at exactly the same time

17.07.2025 12:08 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
What messages might Reform be vulnerable to? Exploring weaknesses in the Farage brand - an experiment.

We know a lot about what makes people vote Reform. But what kind of opposition messages might Reform or Farage be vulnerable to?

Some new @persuasionuk.bsky.social research out today as featured on @newstatesman.com pod! Give it a read if you want.

strongmessagehere.substack.com/p/what-messa...

15.07.2025 08:09 πŸ‘ 92 πŸ” 34 πŸ’¬ 15 πŸ“Œ 15