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Principled Uncertainty

@jameshasausername

South Jersey / Philly. Lightly posted. Good for a reply or two. I don't agree with everyone I follow.

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Latest posts by Principled Uncertainty @jameshasausername

The risk for babies who get measles under the age of 6 months to develop this within 10 years is 1 in 600.

10.03.2026 15:38 πŸ‘ 1170 πŸ” 557 πŸ’¬ 18 πŸ“Œ 12
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Strait of Hormuz is chokepoint for sulphuric acid and critical metal processing - The Oregon Group - Critical Minerals and Energy Intelligence The Middle East accounted for around 24% of ​global sulphur production at 83.87 million metric tons last year; including 50% of seabourne trade of

In addition to oil, the war has bottled up the world’s main supply of sulphuric acid, setting back a lot of heavy industrial supply chains. theoregongroup.com/commodities/...

12.03.2026 00:11 πŸ‘ 806 πŸ” 277 πŸ’¬ 40 πŸ“Œ 35
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Mr President sir, this is your top aide speaking. I am begging you to keep saying this brilliant line.

11.03.2026 22:51 πŸ‘ 1012 πŸ” 231 πŸ’¬ 39 πŸ“Œ 34

Commodity analyst Paul Sankey on CNBC, with an unnerving analogy:

"Some of us are looking at this a bit like what we saw with Covid, where the market seemed to be 'air-walking', regardless of what was clearly a very bad situation -- and then, suddenly, you know, collapsed when it all came home."

11.03.2026 14:37 πŸ‘ 1294 πŸ” 351 πŸ’¬ 33 πŸ“Œ 47

This crisis will continue to get worse until normal traffic through the Strait resumes, and, at this stage, even if the conflict ended today and tankers ramped back up to 100% Hormuz flow, it would still takes months to return to anything resembling normality.

10.03.2026 15:36 πŸ‘ 196 πŸ” 38 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 3

Iran has begun laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz, the world’s most important energy chokepoint that carries about one-fifth of all crude oil, according to two people familiar with US intelligence reporting on the issue.

10.03.2026 19:26 πŸ‘ 624 πŸ” 151 πŸ’¬ 14 πŸ“Œ 83
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This isn’t over and the current market reaction, by reducing pressure on Trump, is only elongating the duration of the crisis and the physical disruption through the Strait of Hormuz.

10.03.2026 16:40 πŸ‘ 184 πŸ” 42 πŸ’¬ 9 πŸ“Œ 1

It's truly bizarre.

10.03.2026 14:41 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Colossal suckers and gullible chumps, all of them

09.03.2026 22:33 πŸ‘ 528 πŸ” 149 πŸ’¬ 30 πŸ“Œ 8
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Key Details of 13-Year-Old Trump Accuser’s Accounts Are Verified The newly corroborated details suggest the woman was truthful about numerous aspects of her life.

There is apparently credible evidence that the president of the United States is a pedophile. The comforting phrase β€œaccused him without evidence” no longer fits this situation, and journalists must resort to the more perfunctory β€œhasn’t been formally charged.” www.thedailybeast.com/key-details-...

09.03.2026 12:50 πŸ‘ 6587 πŸ” 2376 πŸ’¬ 94 πŸ“Œ 79

We're in uncharted territory- if WTI crude holds these gains tomorrow- the current rise of 29.9% or $27.16/bbl would be its largest single day price jump- in both percent and amount- ever. Ever. EVER.

09.03.2026 02:29 πŸ‘ 2884 πŸ” 916 πŸ’¬ 83 πŸ“Œ 128
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The WSJ calls it β€œthe most severe energy crisis since the 1970s.” ⛽️

@wsj.com
www.wsj.com/world/middle...

08.03.2026 22:52 πŸ‘ 5004 πŸ” 1914 πŸ’¬ 318 πŸ“Œ 370

Sure but very fair to share her words everywhere they might be received poorly! She said it, after all.

08.03.2026 23:02 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

WH press secretary Karoline Leavitt tells Fox News that a military draft is on the table.

08.03.2026 21:19 πŸ‘ 1393 πŸ” 508 πŸ’¬ 410 πŸ“Œ 1031
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Just when you think there can't be a new low...

07.03.2026 14:37 πŸ‘ 186 πŸ” 90 πŸ’¬ 9 πŸ“Œ 10

there's a thing I like to call "load-bearing assumptions", that you don't notice until they're suddenly gone (e.g the air you breath has oxygen in it).

the post-ww2 order is a load-bearing assumption for basically the entirety of american life. trump took a sledgehammer to it in the last 90 days.

06.03.2026 17:44 πŸ‘ 3374 πŸ” 850 πŸ’¬ 56 πŸ“Œ 36

With Qatar raising the prospect of $150 crude, our @pippastevens.cnbc.com says that would -- theoretically -- put retail gasoline somewhere in the $5.50 range.

@cnbc.com #OOTT

06.03.2026 16:04 πŸ‘ 502 πŸ” 179 πŸ’¬ 42 πŸ“Œ 49
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Retail sales declined 0.2% in January from the prior month, the Commerce Department said Friday, the biggest decline since May. January’s reading came in below expectations of 0%, according to a poll of economists by data firm FactSet. #EconSky www.cnn.com/2026/03/06/e...

06.03.2026 14:24 πŸ‘ 14 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Just so that it's perfectly clear.

06.03.2026 14:22 πŸ‘ 38 πŸ” 22 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
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The US economy lost 92,000 jobs last month, far worse than expected.
https://cnn.it/4rNtNg2

06.03.2026 13:47 πŸ‘ 301 πŸ” 124 πŸ’¬ 60 πŸ“Œ 85
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πŸ”—: peoplem.ag/3N7f1l5

Asked if Americans should worry about Iran retaliating against Americans on U.S. soil, President Donald Trump responded, β€œI guess.”

πŸ“·: Aaron Schwartz/Getty

06.03.2026 00:52 πŸ‘ 465 πŸ” 229 πŸ’¬ 45 πŸ“Œ 185

If there was video of a Senate Dem giving a compound fracture to a Marine while wearing his dress blues, that guy would've been burned at the stake by close of business

05.03.2026 03:21 πŸ‘ 2475 πŸ” 537 πŸ’¬ 28 πŸ“Œ 7
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[TW: graphic fracture, sound of breaking bone]

Sen Tim Sheehy (R-Montana) badly breaking the arm of a Marine veteran protesting the war Iran.

04.03.2026 22:05 πŸ‘ 9310 πŸ” 4559 πŸ’¬ 1058 πŸ“Œ 1626

This keeps happening

05.03.2026 03:45 πŸ‘ 2015 πŸ” 612 πŸ’¬ 90 πŸ“Œ 23

PEPFAR, the program to stop hundreds of thousands of children and adults from dying of HIV/AIDS, was $6.5 billion a year.

05.03.2026 02:45 πŸ‘ 3044 πŸ” 1120 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 20

True, and (I would argue anyway) sadly we've done the same to kids/kid stuff in a lot of ways.

04.03.2026 04:18 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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WELCH: Mr. Yoho is also the husband of your former spokesperson, Tricia McLaughlin?

NOEM: Yes

WELCH: So your former assistant and her husband are the ones that got the DHS no bid contract for $143m. Any dispute about that?

NOEM: No.

03.03.2026 18:37 πŸ‘ 16873 πŸ” 6404 πŸ’¬ 970 πŸ“Œ 700
In-person drop off at 1019 Congress St, Houston, TX 77002 on Election Day ONLY from 7 AM – 7 PM.
β€’ You must present an acceptable form of photo identification.
β€’ If a voter does not possess and cannot reasonably obtain an acceptable form of photo identification, the voter may show a List B identification and complete a Reasonable Impediment Declaration (RID).
β€’ Only the voter may deliver their Mail Ballot in-person

In-person drop off at 1019 Congress St, Houston, TX 77002 on Election Day ONLY from 7 AM – 7 PM. β€’ You must present an acceptable form of photo identification. β€’ If a voter does not possess and cannot reasonably obtain an acceptable form of photo identification, the voter may show a List B identification and complete a Reasonable Impediment Declaration (RID). β€’ Only the voter may deliver their Mail Ballot in-person

idk who needs to hear this but if you're a TX voter you *should not* be trying to mail your mail ballot at this point. if it doesn't arrive by tomorrow at 5pm it *will not* be counted.

if you're a harris county voter, this is the dropoff location:

03.03.2026 16:22 πŸ‘ 104 πŸ” 77 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 9
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Pentagon tells Congress no sign that Iran was going to attack US first, sources say Trump administration officials acknowledged in closed-door briefings with congressional staff on Sunday that there was no intelligence suggesting Iran planned to attack U.S. forces first, two people f...

we reached the β€œno WMDs” phase in two days.

02.03.2026 12:45 πŸ‘ 7576 πŸ” 2225 πŸ’¬ 102 πŸ“Œ 107
Pres Trump told me tonight the US had identified possible candidates to take over Iran, but they were killed in the initial attack.

"The attack was so successful it knocked out most of the candidates," Trump told me. "It's not going to be anybody that we were thinking of because they are all dead. Second or third place is dead."

Pres Trump told me tonight the US had identified possible candidates to take over Iran, but they were killed in the initial attack. "The attack was so successful it knocked out most of the candidates," Trump told me. "It's not going to be anybody that we were thinking of because they are all dead. Second or third place is dead."

complete insanity

02.03.2026 03:10 πŸ‘ 8680 πŸ” 2174 πŸ’¬ 661 πŸ“Œ 514