Seriously amazing findings in this paper, congrats to the authors (the paper is free to read!)
@lnachman32
Political scientist. Assistant Professor at National Taiwan University. My new book "Contested Taiwan: Sovereignty, Social Movements, and Party Formation" is available here: https://shorturl.at/BlEJE https://www.lnachman.com
Seriously amazing findings in this paper, congrats to the authors (the paper is free to read!)
Brilliant new work, these findings will challenge assumptions about how much Taiwanese people care about defending offshore islands:
"Respondentsโ approval for defending offshore islands...was statistically indistinguishable from their average approval for defending Taiwan proper."
Wow, what a huge honor! Thanks Lev! I look forward to listening, having read your book and know it is timely, empirically rich and critically important as we work to ensure democratic resilience in Taiwan.
I was invited on the @NATSAconf podcast to talk about my book "Contested Taiwan" and to put it in conversation with another Taiwan studies classic- I picked @josephwongut.bsky.social's "Healthy Democracies," and try to connect Taiwan's contested status to healthcare!
www.na-tsa.org/about-1-1
I'm going on tour in the US again! This time to the East Coast!
Starting next week I'll be doing a series of book talks for my new book "Contested Taiwan" at four universities AND an author meet-and-greet at this year's AAS!
Links for each event below!
SAIS Talk:
jhu.campusgroups.com/saisfocusare...
Princeton Talk:
eas.princeton.edu/events/conte...
Columbia Talk:
weai.columbia.edu/events/conte...
Penn Talk:
cscc.sas.upenn.edu/events/2026/...
I'm going on tour in the US again! This time to the East Coast!
Starting next week I'll be doing a series of book talks for my new book "Contested Taiwan" at four universities AND an author meet-and-greet at this year's AAS!
Links for each event below!
Thank you @ncuscr.bsky.social for the invitation to be interviewed by the great @poscwty1.bsky.social about my new book "Contested Taiwan!"
We talk about everything from PRC threats, polarization, protests, and Taiwan has in store for 2026!
Full video convo below๐
www.ncuscr.org/video/taiwan...
Quoting David Sacks:
โIt was easy to mischaracterize [The Six Assurances] for nearly 40 years because from 1982 until 2020 the Six Assurances were classified, so a mischaracterization could not officially be rebutted. But now the full cable and assurances are in the public domain.โ
Proper full text of the Six Assurances below here for reference, quoted language above is technically incorrect.
www.ait.org.tw/declassified...
Trumpโs language is dangerous beyond any of Bidenโs gaffes. It infers Xi has a say in the nature of US arm sales to Taiwan at best, and violates the Six Assurances at worst. If Trump does not release a clarifying statement as soon as possible, then we should be deeply concerned.
Pending clarification that we hopefully get tomorrow, this very well could be in violation of the Six Assurances:
bsky.app/profile/sens...
Trump directly violates the 3rd of the 1982 Six Assurances: โThe United States would not consult with China in advance before making decisions about U.S. arms sales to Taiwan.โ www.taiwandocuments.org/assurances.htm
To quote Tom Wright from Brookings:
โThis is much worse than AOCโs answer on Taiwan. She was struggling to find the words to avoid saying the wrong thing on a really complicated policy. Trump send to be saying he is negotiating with Xi on arms sales to Taiwan.โ
If weapon sales to Taiwan are openly on the table for US-China talks, then we are truly entering a new era of uncertainty.
Even just Trump saying this out loud is trouble for the Lai administration and cannon fodder for American skepticism here in Taiwan.
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
@lnachman32.bsky.social
Upon #reading your profile, I tagged two of your #books 'Contested Taiwan' and 'Taiwan' for future reading. Tia!
#Booksky #Libby
#Politics
#Sociology
#Taiwan
Sharing this super interesting article that examines the history of the slogan ่ชๅทฑ็ๅๅฎถ่ชๅทฑๆ from its start as KMT propoganda slogan to a protest chant for the Sunflower Movement.
It is also one of the first articles to engage with my new book!
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10....
My first attempt to make sense of a truly historic general election.
open.substack.com/pub/observin...
My basic Bad Bunny take is that Puerto Rico should have meaningful congressional representation and the right to vote for the US President ๐ฐ
Solidarity to the incredible journalists at WaPo who lost their jobs today, many of whom have been trusted friends and colleagues for years.
Iโm quoted in @nbcnews.com discussing the implications of Trump and Xiโs recent comments on Taiwan.
www.nbcnews.com/world/asia/t...
I am thrilled to share our newest peer-reviewed work, "Feeling Blue: Public Support for Taiwanโs Bluebird Movement and Legislative Reform" with @poscwty1.bsky.social & Hannah June Kim, out now at China Quarterly!
A๐งตon Taiwanese public opinion & independent voters:
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Tl;dr:
Independent voters were more likely to side with the KMT/TPP over support for the 2024 reforms and protests.
But, independent voters have different feelings towards democratic practices than the KMT/TPP.
The TPP, meanwhile show real undemocratic populist potential.
All our findings, tables, methods, and further discussion are in the article. We hope all those who follow Taiwan politics find it helpful. END.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
While we plan to conduct follow up surveys soon to ask about everything that has been happening in recent months, our work on the 2024 happenings indicates that Lai and the DPP may have an uphill battle at winning over independent voters in both 2026 and 2028.