Combined annual average value of the top-5 highest paid wide receivers on each team
$70M - CIN
$60M - DAL, PHI, DET
$50M - PIT, BUF, SF
$40M - TB, TEN, MIN, SEA
$30M - WAS, JAX, NYJ, IND, HOU, MIA
$20M - DEN, LAR, NE, NYG, CLE
$10M - GB, BAL, LV, ARI, ATL, CAR, CHI, KC, NO, LAC
Percentage of targets resulting in a first down
2025 WR top-10
K Boutte 58.7
T McLaurin 55.0
G Pickens 53.3
R Pearsall 52.8
K Bourne 50.9
C Watson 50.9
S Diggs 50.0
A Pierce 48.8
J Smith-Njigba 48.5
R Doubs 48.2
*500+ rec yards, 40+ targets, 30+ receptions
Patriots taking a one-in-one-out approach to free agency. This is how you build a foundation. Greatness comes from the draft.
Stefon Diggs -> Romeo Doubs
Jaylinn Hawkins -> Kevin Byard
Garrett Bradbury -> Alijah Vera Tucker
Klavon Chaisson -> Dremont Jones
Happy to contribute to a great cause 🫡💜🎗️
AJ Brown is cast as a "prototype WR1". I was surprised that Doubs measured bigger compared to Brown when combing height and arm length
Hollins 109.3
Doubs 106.3
AJ Brown 105.3
Diggs 103.3
Boutte 102.4
Kyle Williams 101.1
Pop 98.3
Rookies
Brazzell 108.4
Boston 108.0
Concepcion 102.3
Cooper 102.3
Patriots biggest needs after 1 day of free agency:
- Wide Receiver
- Safety
- Edge Rusher
Best available fits:
- Jauan Jennings
- Brian Thomas Jr (trade)
- Jaylinn Hawkins
- Kevin Byard
- Trey Hendrickson
- Klavon Chaisson
Combined annual average value of the top-5 highest paid offensive linemen on each team
$80M - PHI, CLE, DEN
$70M -
$60M - MIN, ATL, CAR, TB, KC
$50M - GB, WAS, LAC, DAL, BUF, NE, LV, SF
$40M - CHI, NO, NYG, IND, SEA, LAR, JAX, DET
$30M - TEN, BAL, CIN, ARI
$20M - MIA, HOU, NYJ
$10M - PIT
Over/under 5.5 players 30+ when we get to September 9th?
Butterfly effect. Trent McDuffie was drafted 21st overall in 2022. The Patriots received 4 picks in exchange.
29 -- Cole Strange
121 -- Jack Jones
137 -- Bailey Zappe
76 (2023) -- Marte Mapu
The Chiefs are getting 4 picks back (including 29 overall) in return for sending McDuffie to the Rams.
~ Reminder ~
According to the NFL CBA, 4th-year players are not eligible for extensions until the start of the new league year on March 11th, and 4:00 PM EST.
Players I'd expect to get market-setting extensions:
- Christian Gonzalez
- Will Anderson
- Jaxon Smith Njigba
- Jalen Carter
The Patriots have used 1 first round pick on defense in the last 10 years (Christian Gonzalez).
Their last first round defensive pick to receive a 2nd contract from the team was Dont'a Hightower (2012).
My #Patriots offseason plan
1. Extend Christian Gonzalez
2. Use the 31st pick to acquire a WR or ED (draft or trade)
3. Sign 2 starting FAs from other teams
4. Re-sign Jaylinn Hawkins
5. Consolidate draft picks
6. No more day-2 WRs
7. Succession plan at right tackle and tight end
#NoDaysOff
The best WRs in 2025 received terrible #NFLCombine athleticism scores by NFL.com
Puka Nacua
47th among WRs
2023
Jaxon Smith Njigba
39th among WRs
2023
Amon Ra St Brown
39th among WRs
2021
By “small minority” do you mean Bill Belichick’s burner account?
The 3 year duration is very player friendly. Patriots should not let him back into the open market at 28yo
Comps:
Stingley will be a FA at 29
Sauce, 30
Horn, 31
I’m just here so I don’t get fined
How does this deal compare to Mondre’s?
2026 will be Maxx Crosby's 8th NFL season. If he stays in Vegas, Klint Kubiak will be his 6th head coach.
Patriots 2026 win total opens at 9.5 on DKSB.
Since the league changed to a 17-game format, this is tied with the 2022 Bengals as the lowest for any Super Bowl losing team.
Super Bowl losers are 1-4 against their preseason win total -- the 2022 Bengals are the only team to hit the over.
The 2025 Patriots reminded me a lot of the 2022 Eagles. Both faced weaker QB competition on their path to Super Bowl losses.
The Eagles preseason win total was 9.5; Patriots were 8.5.
Both teams were efficient and consistent but not quite ready to win the last one.
Fewest missed tackles per attempt by cornerbacks who played at least 400 defensive snaps
Christian Gonzalez 0.012
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Rock Ya-Sin 0.043
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Keisean Nixon 0.049
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Sauce Gardner 0.057
DJ Reed 0.057
Renardo Green 0.057
credit @tkyles39.bsky.social
Expected 2026 division placement for each 2025 division winner
Jaguars 1st
Eagles 1st
Seahawks 1st
Patriots 2nd
Steelers 3rd
Broncos 3rd
Bears 3rd
Panthers 4th
*Based on FanDuel sportsbook odds
What if the NFL gave out medals like the Olympics?
Brady🥇🥇🥇🥇🥇🥇🥇🥈🥈🥈🥉🥉
Mahomes🥇🥇🥇🥈🥈🥉
Roethlisberger🥇🥇🥈🥉🥉
Peyton🥇🥇🥈🥈🥉
McNabb🥈🥉🥉🥉
Rodgers🥇🥉🥉
Eli🥇🥇
Hurts🥇🥈
Wilson🥇🥈
Brees🥇🥉
Warner🥈🥈
Kaepernick🥈🥉
Goff🥈🥉
Burrow🥈🥉
Ryan🥈🥉
Favre🥉🥉
*Last 25 seasons. Bronze medal decided based on champ game margin of defeat
Patriots are going to have a lot of options if they want to tap the veteran pass rush market. Crosby might be the best player, but the relative cost could make other options more attractive.
Mack was a defensive player of the year and multiple first team all pro and younger when traded to the Bears.
Crosby is older. Has never been first team all pro. Has never won DPOY.
Different class of asset
Boutte played. Pop didn’t.
A trade would probably come with a restructure, but even if it didn’t, the cap can be manipulated in different ways to provide flexibility
I don’t think the Raiders would get more than Sweat, Mack, Miller, or Chubb
The money doesn’t matter
Crosby won’t cost as much as Parsons. Including Barmore in a deal makes sense, but Crosby is 3 years older than Micah was and slightly less decorated player.
Montez Sweat traded for a 2nd
Bradley Chubb traded for a 1st
Khalil Mack traded for a 2nd
Von Miller traded fro a 2nd + 3rd
Boutte and Douglas did not make equal contributions in 2025. Not even close
