How often does a road team win when their opponent has more offensive rebounds than you have defensive rebounds, AND they hit 44% from 3? Has to be quite rare, right?
@nickpbassill
Meteorologist | Director Of The NY State Weather Risk Communication Center @NYSWRCC | Director of R&D, UAlbany's Center Of Excellence | Affiliated With @nysmesonet Mostly Weather | Politics & WI Sports #gobadgers | Thoughts Mine
How often does a road team win when their opponent has more offensive rebounds than you have defensive rebounds, AND they hit 44% from 3? Has to be quite rare, right?
An easy way to alter the implication of a story is improper use of the passive voice (vs active voice). Once you see it, you can't unsee it. There's been countless examples from the Israel-Palestinian war.
In this @nytimes.com example, "Slurs" should have no agency. They exist, but they can't act.
Fun with @nysmesonet.org data + topography:
Today we saw an unusual pattern where temperatures warmed 20-30F in just 3 hours as of 11AM, confined exclusively to the Adirondacks, with basically no change elsewhere. By 2PM, this resulted in the #ADK being much warmer than nearby lower locations.
Probably not helpful, but I calculate daily for NY, here: operations.nysmesonet.org/~nbassill/ar...
I told them it was also a snowicane, but I guess that didn't make it.
If NY really does set 4 (!) new county snowfall records, that is an *extremely* rare occurrence!
Guys, this map appears to have busted.
The 15"+ ranges across eastern Long Island were too conservative ๐
Yeah it's odd because the page says 25th-75th (if I am reading it correctly), but it seems like the 10th/90th WPC totals have a smaller range. Do you have any unique insight on how that might work?
I agree! I'm not (seriously) throwing shade here. Plus, this is an automated product that they're not using to communicate on social media.
It says 25th-75th (I think), but I agree that seems off. To be clear, I'm not throwing shade - it *IS* very unpredictable. I just love the map ๐.
This should go in the map hall of fame.
This severe thunderstorm warning, and associated plentiful cloud-ground lightning, is *just* a bit outside SPC's general thunder outlook. Like, 3 states away outside. ๐ #nywx
If it makes it better, I feel the same way about many other private companies too ๐.
Seriously though, to your last point, his followers genuinely seem to believe his warnings are superior to NWS. He'll very likely include homemade products alongside NWS ones, and that seems problematic to me.
I agree with what you're saying. My reply was a sarcastic reply, insinuating that any reply they make wouldn't be on the level.
That's basically exactly my perspective. He honestly probably *will* save a few lives. But if it comes at the expense of trust in NWS, what's the longterm cost in that? We all know southern Reps are going to be saying in 2 years "we don't need NWS because Ryan Hall is better" etc etc
I guess call me one of those other corners, but his followers seem to genuinely believe that his warnings/products/whatever are superior to NWS. His service is almost certainly going to include both. That seems like a problem to me, but perhaps I'm old fashioned. I don't want people grifted.
Yep. In reply to my Twitter post just now. They really believe they're getting superior warnings relative to NWS.
Lol, of course.
This is sorta my situation. I recognize he is probably doing some good things by reaching new audiences, but my spidey-sense goes off big-time with him. I see parallels with tele-evangelists: grow an audience of relatively under-educated followers, then ask for money in exchange for safety.
Heard a friend say they would tell their kids that the ice cream truck plays music when they're out of ice cream, and I can't stop thinking about it.
#Badgers absolutely robbed by Big 10 refs there. Shameful.
If you're still at #AMS2026 and looking for something to see this afternoon, I'll be presenting progress we've made at the @nyswrcc.bsky.social at the 1st Annual Disaster and Emergency Management Symposium, at 2:15 in 352A.
Guest appearance by NY Governor Hochul (sort of).
When in doubt, assume the mix line goes further north in WAA-dominant storms!
Not to my knowledge! I made these for a field campaign a few years ago and never turned them "off". You can find a live animation for this domain here: operations.nysmesonet.org/~nbassill/wi...
The radar correlation coefficient at 1.5km nicely highlights where the transition zone is between sleet and snow.
The brighter zone north of #NYC shows where sleet and snow is likely occurring at the same time, and since they look different to the radar, the correlation is lower. #nywx
For those attending #AMS2026, you'll note there aren't nearly as many NOAA/NWS folks as normal - largely driven by the impacts this administration has had on our field.
While perusing the many private company booths, recall none of the big players did so much as issue a press release in opposition.
If you hear some quiet sobbing in the distance, it's definitely not coming from me, who will be missing what is likely going to be Albany's best snowstorm in 5 years.
I mean, didn't Republicans just last week vote against any sort of measure saying Trump needed approval before striking Venezuela - *after* we captured their president? My expectations are zero with this bunch.