The similarities are striking and quite frankly worrying: Special operations going on in Ukraine and Iran. Armed force is being used like a private instrument at the disposal of an autocratic leader.
@eejbro
German Diplomat (1984-2024); Moscow, Washington, NATO. Former German Ambassador to Iraq and President of Federal Academy for Security Policy in Berlin. My new book: https://buchshop.bod.de/szenenwechsel-ekkehard-brose-9783819231506
The similarities are striking and quite frankly worrying: Special operations going on in Ukraine and Iran. Armed force is being used like a private instrument at the disposal of an autocratic leader.
Nail on head!
NEW: The US-Israeli combined force appears to be increasingly targeting the Iranian internal security apparatus, which is consistent with the US-Israeli stated objective of toppling the Iranian regime.
Read the full report: isw.pub/IranUpdate03...
Other Key Takeaways:
All those of you wondering what President Macron's nuclear speech today is about - here's an excellent primer on the French deterrence system and doctrine.
Let's raise the nuclear IQ (especially in Germany)!
Source: www.defense.gouv.fr/sites/defaul...
Es fährt praktisch kein Tanker mehr durch die Straße von Hormuz. Wegen der Risiken und Sicherheitswarnungen und weil Lloyds die Versicherungsprämien drastisch erhöht hat.
NEW: "It is true that air campaigns can destroy things. What they cannot do, by themselves, is build political outcomes."
Really superb piece from our @markhertling.bsky.social.
www.thebulwark.com/p/bombing-ir...
bei aller kritik an trump, können wir eben auch nicht übersehen, dass er russlands bewegungsfreiheit durchaus eingeschränkt hat.. und die chinas ebenfalls.
das ist für russland viel mehr ein problem als für china. und es wirft russland in eine stärkere chinesische abhängigkeiten.
Putin has failed in Ukraine, thanks to the incredible bravery and resilience of Ukrainians. He is currently winning in the US. Whether he succeeds in the rest of Europe is up to us.
A typical Russian ruse. We should not give them the satisfaction to fall for it
Es war erwartbar, dass Putin—wenn es an der Front immer schlechter läuft—seine Laufburschen mobilisiert, um Europa lahm zu legen. Warum überrascht dies ganz offenbar europäische Politiker; und warum gibt es keinen Plan B, um Ungarns verräterische Regierung die Daumenschrauben anzulegen—peinlich.
Germany & EU have every reason to stand by Japan against Chinese coercion.
They also have every incentive to work together with Japan to urgently reduce supply chain dependencies on China -- for Beijing has already made it clear it seeks to cut off European military end users.
Deutschland auf dem fünften Platz im Medaillenspiegel der diesjährigen Winterolympiade. Freute mich darüber, vor allem auch für die erfolgreichen Sportlerinnen und Sportler. Bis ich in die Nachrichten schaute. Enttäuschung…; Desaster für….; Erwartungen enttäuscht…
Ich vergaß: 🇩🇪
From my European perspective the all important role played by financial resources in the US presidential election precludes calling it “a model of democracy”.
Von wegen Sanktionen? "Die Drohne, die Russland im vergangenen Jahr am häufigsten im Krieg gegen die Ukraine eingesetzt hat, enthält mehr als 100 kürzlich hergestellte europäische Bauteile."
russland wird langsam nervös ob des höheren drucks auf die schattenflotte. gcaptain.com/kremlin-aide...
NATO SecGen Rutte should prepare a roadmap for the Europeanization of NATO. It would probably be less controversial if he does it than waiting for an initiative by the Europeans. Close coordination with the EU would be essential. If US are supportive - good. If not - Europe should raise the pressure
Unfortunately, US guarantees were not (Budapest 1994) and are no longer reliable(Munich 2025).
Interesting, primarily bc it may give some insight to Trump’s/Witfoff’s thinking.
Article fails to recognize Putin’s real goal: roll-back of post Cold-War order in Europe (see his proposals in 2021). Proposed deal is unacceptable to Europeans bc it calls their longer term independence into doubt.
This is what electoral interference in European elections looks like - per the USG NSS strategy last year
To me this looks like trouble ahead
Photo of Prime Minister Carney with President von der Leyen of the European Commission and President Costa of the European Council.
Canada is now the first non-European country to be granted a membership in SAFE. This is a gamechanger program that means Canada can rearm our Canadian Armed Forces members more effectively and scale up our defence industries with more contracts overseas.
Under Stalin communist functionaries feared for their lives, and with good reason. What does Rubio fear?
Rubio has a personal interest in saying nice(ish) things to Europe; the Trump administration as a whole has a strong interest in Europe not acting on the rupture the White House has created. None of this means an actual change of direction in US foreign policy.
Germany is BIG. But we haven’t got a million diplomats😂
1k - Thank you! You are very gracious.
Das stimmt natürlich auch, aber nur wenige haben diese glaubhafte Entschuldigung
Wow! That was more effective than I thought it would be (25 new followers within minutes!). Thank you. You are a kind audience. Incidentally I don‘t mind if you criticize my posts. Please do, as long as the tone is right.
Danke. Das ist aber nett. 😀