Nick Lilja's Avatar

Nick Lilja

@nicklilja

Meteorologist. Anti-Alert Day.

250
Followers
189
Following
80
Posts
20.10.2024
Joined
Posts Following

Latest posts by Nick Lilja @nicklilja

Rick James: See I never did things just to do them. What am I gonna do, just jump up and grind my feet into somebody's couch like it's something to do, c'mon I've got a little more sense than that....

.... Yeah I remember grinding my feet in Eddie's couch.

04.03.2026 02:39 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
a blonde woman is sitting in a kitchen with the words `` sure , jan . '' written on her face . ALT: a blonde woman is sitting in a kitchen with the words `` sure , jan . '' written on her face .

You liked the call because it was college-esque and not that it got the Eagles the W?

Sir.

29.12.2025 01:02 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Don't get me started on that.... Like, my goodness. I am craving originality in local TV

25.12.2025 01:28 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I want you guys to succeed. It makes me so sad to watch TV news suffer a similar fate as Local Radio.

I promise: long term success is not captured with one-off maps and big, bold font.

If you're trying to separate yourself from the pack, do it with your skill. Not your ability to follow the pack

25.12.2025 01:22 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

The worst? The take: "People are seeing it from others, so we need to get our view out there too"

View? What view?

It's a single model map with flashy colors, a solid banner, bold font, a few large emojis, and zero actual value.

25.12.2025 01:17 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

And I get it. There is a lot of pressure for "numbers" on social media.

While I feel bad for some of these folks who are being pressed to do things they are uncomfortable with in order to meet lofty goals... I have zero compassion for those leaning into this nonsense claiming "the new normal"

25.12.2025 01:15 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Thumbing through my Facebook feed yielded a lot of disappointment. Many (many!) TV meteorologists have given up.

Many are now posting eight-day out wind chill maps with specific temperatures at specific times citing an Arctic Blast like they have actual skill at forecasting those values.

25.12.2025 01:07 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0

Not sure how I missed this #l33t reference.

15.08.2025 04:10 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

When will the heat dome hit my house?

24.07.2025 01:45 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

When @morganabigail.bsky.social describes her soup by "pounds" it makes me chuckle...

24.07.2025 01:40 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

It is impossible to keep up with the amount of misinformation being distributed right now.

Like I know we live in a "post truth" era, but like, my goodness it is exhausting.

07.07.2025 20:10 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Partial *Horse bleep* here. There is a new system.

The "new system" being "upgraded" is simply asking a ton of experienced meteorologists to quit or retire. And replacing them with raw, unchecked, model guidance while cutting funding to the teams developing better weather model guidance.

07.07.2025 20:08 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Holding the nonsense about an office being "overstaffed" aside, too.

I'm not qualified to judge the necessary staffing levels for each NWS office. But I do know that no office in this country would be classified as overstaffed with "more" people than needed.

07.07.2025 18:52 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

If anyone wants to correct me on that, please do. But I'm quite certain no one is out there tallying the longest lead time on a flood for every next location on a map.

07.07.2025 18:50 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

"record breaking lead times" is a made up statistic.

07.07.2025 18:48 πŸ‘ 29 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 2
The screenshotted excerpt begins: "This nonlinearity in the response of precipitation extremes can beattributed to multiple physical processes. Although thermodynamicincreases in atmospheric water vapour saturation capacity of ~7% perΒ°C (ref. 95) are associated with an increase in extreme precipitationof similar magnitude when averaged over space, time and precipita-tion intensities 96,97, global mean precipitation increases at a rate ofonly ~2–3% per Β°C owing to constraints set by the global atmosphericenergy budget98. Such divergence leads to a compensating decrease innon-extreme precipitation that is nearly ubiquitous at all latitudes 94,as confirmed in model simulations3 and observations23,99. In particular,there is a broad decrease in the frequency and intensity of light-to-moderate precipitation, an increase in the overall number of dry days(>30 days per year over the Mediterranean and Amazon regions on ahigh warming trajectory, but no increase in polar regions 100)..."

The screenshotted excerpt begins: "This nonlinearity in the response of precipitation extremes can beattributed to multiple physical processes. Although thermodynamicincreases in atmospheric water vapour saturation capacity of ~7% perΒ°C (ref. 95) are associated with an increase in extreme precipitationof similar magnitude when averaged over space, time and precipita-tion intensities 96,97, global mean precipitation increases at a rate ofonly ~2–3% per Β°C owing to constraints set by the global atmosphericenergy budget98. Such divergence leads to a compensating decrease innon-extreme precipitation that is nearly ubiquitous at all latitudes 94,as confirmed in model simulations3 and observations23,99. In particular,there is a broad decrease in the frequency and intensity of light-to-moderate precipitation, an increase in the overall number of dry days(>30 days per year over the Mediterranean and Amazon regions on ahigh warming trajectory, but no increase in polar regions 100)..."

Given unfortunate topical relevance to numerous recent events, I'm sharing an excerpt from our 2025 review paper on "hydroclimate whiplash" that summarizes the body of research pointing to preferential intensification of the *very most extreme* rain events in a warming climate.

07.07.2025 02:34 πŸ‘ 199 πŸ” 59 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 9

"Hey Sean, why didn't you go to Boise last week?"

02.07.2025 11:16 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
21.06.2025 00:18 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Looks like a solid sunset highlighting the side of a storm. A lot of the clouds you're seeing you may not notice unless they are colored like they are here. Neat stuff! Great shot

11.06.2025 12:37 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Looks awesome!

11.06.2025 12:36 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

worth remembering that when Trump announced a travel ban in 2017, people literally went to airports to protest. Eight years later, Trump announces a new one and it's not even front page news.

We're the frogs and the water is getting awfully hot.

05.06.2025 00:18 πŸ‘ 8776 πŸ” 2224 πŸ’¬ 281 πŸ“Œ 104
Post image

For those who don't know, "Second Alert Hurricane" is a name glossed by @stormchasernick.bsky.social over on Twitter after this happened...

05.06.2025 12:17 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image
05.06.2025 12:16 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
charlie brown is sitting in a chair with a sad look on his face and says `` good grief '' . ALT: charlie brown is sitting in a chair with a sad look on his face and says `` good grief '' .

"Second Alert Hurricane" is at it again...

05.06.2025 11:12 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

This is a joke, right? Are we in an alternate reality now?! We are NOT fully staffed. Not even close. We're struggling to stay afloat. This angers me to no end. We are breaking our backs to stay afloat and are so incredibly burnt out. <screams internally>

04.06.2025 23:51 πŸ‘ 36 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Even if he was joking, the fact that the staff is unsure really tells you all you need to know...

02.06.2025 22:56 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
a man says oh the things these eyes have seen in front of a map ALT: a man says oh the things these eyes have seen in front of a map
29.05.2025 01:54 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

The fact that I don't know if that is real or not..... Is telling.

23.05.2025 02:22 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

See, it's easy to make baseless claims.

22.05.2025 02:00 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

VAGASKY MARKETING NAMES NICKELBLOCK FORECASTING BEST LOCAL TORNADO PREDICTION SERVICE.

NICKELBLOCK FORECASTING FIRST METEOROLOGISTS TO SAY ALL TORNADOES ARE DANGEROUS.

22.05.2025 01:58 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0