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Abe Newman

@abenewman

W/Henry Farrell, Underground Empire: How America Weaponized the World Economy (Holt 2023/Penguin); Georgetown; This is a private account.

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Latest posts by Abe Newman @abenewman

The state department has no plans for average citizens to get out of the ME. But Trump insiders get an exit to Greece via Kimberly Guilfoyle. This is neo-royalism.

04.03.2026 11:35 πŸ‘ 19 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

This is what neo-royalism looks like. Foreign policy driven by the interests of personalist leaders rather than national interests.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

03.03.2026 22:38 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Germany is the home to one of the largest US airbases in the world. This statement must be raising chills on the chancellor’s back. He is sitting next to Trump.

03.03.2026 19:24 πŸ‘ 20 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

What you don’t see on this screen is the Chancellor of Germany sitting there…silent.

03.03.2026 19:19 πŸ‘ 13 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1

Taking Venezuela’s oil? This is not great power competition/spheres of influence. It is extraction and dominance for Trump and his insiders. Welcome to neo-royalism.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

03.03.2026 19:16 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Trump Says He’ll Cut Off Trade With Spain Over Air Base Use Donald Trump said he will β€œcut off all trade with Spain” after the country denied access to its military bases for his bombing campaign against Iran, spurring a sharp rebuke from Madrid that the US pr...

Trump threatens to cut off all trade to Spain over basing issue. This is what being a vassal looks like ie effort to have an independent foreign policy met with threats/harsh reality of protection racket. Weaponized interdependence meet neo-royalism
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

03.03.2026 19:11 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 2
Preview
Poland seeks as much autonomy as possible in terms of nuclear arms, Tusk says Poland wants to be autonomous in the future when ​it comes to a nuclear deterrent, Prime β€ŒMinister Donald Tusk said on Tuesday, as Europe seeks to build its capabilities independently of the United St...

Tusk: "We ​are investing heavily in future nuclear power plants, and ​Poland will not want to be passive when it comes to nuclear security in a military context."

"We will cooperate with our allies...as our capabilities increase, β€Œwe ⁠will try to prepare Poland for autonomous action in this matter."

03.03.2026 14:40 πŸ‘ 56 πŸ” 36 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 17
Preview
Macron opens door to deploying French nuclear forces to European allies The plan is a β€œmajor evolution” of France’s deterrence posture, the president said in a long-awaited speech at the Île Longue naval base in Brittany.

In any normal week this would be a huge story. France moves toward extending a nuclear umbrella over European allies-- a major sign of declining credibility of US extended deterrence.
www.defensenews.com/global/europ...

03.03.2026 12:47 πŸ‘ 225 πŸ” 86 πŸ’¬ 8 πŸ“Œ 7
Preview
Trump Bets That β€˜Energy Dominance’ Will Make War in Iran Less Costly

β€œWhat’s not spiking today is the cost of wind and solar,” said Manish Bapna, president of the Natural Resources Defense Council β€œNational security hawks should be clean energy hawks.”
www.nytimes.com/2026/03/03/c...

03.03.2026 12:06 πŸ‘ 134 πŸ” 47 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

We are in a world of feuds not foreign policy. Nations lose to the whims of personalist beefs. This is what neo-royalism looks like.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

02.03.2026 13:09 πŸ‘ 17 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

What is the path forward in Iran? Reinstall dynastic rulers...CBS is there for it. #neo-royalism

01.03.2026 22:38 πŸ‘ 59 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 1
Vestager on stage, in a cool white combi outfit.

Vestager on stage, in a cool white combi outfit.

And @vestager.bsky.social takes the stage at #Rebuild. She's talking about digital infrastructure: "That's not a tech problem. That's a democratic problem."

It's amazing to finally hear this said by someone with voice.

01.03.2026 15:38 πŸ‘ 50 πŸ” 17 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Trump might start a war with Iran. Can anyone stop him? Trump might start a war with Iran. Can anyone stop him? Congress, public opinion, and administration insiders aren’t reliable constraints on Trump’s foreign policy decisions.

Quick reactions after learning that no, nobody could stop him. 1/ goodauthority.org/news/trump-m... 1/

28.02.2026 11:54 πŸ‘ 644 πŸ” 240 πŸ’¬ 16 πŸ“Œ 48
Preview
02/26 EU Reaction to Supreme Court Decision, "Buy European" Conflicts, and Hungary Blocking Russia Sanctions photo by Riccardo Tuninato on Unsplash

Latest Transatlantic Tremors: EU Reaction to Supreme Court Decision, "Buy European" Conflicts, and Hungary Blocking Russia Sanctions
open.substack.com/pub/transatl...

27.02.2026 17:49 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Neo-royalism: North Korea edition. Leader grooms heir β€” daughter. Hereditary lines still wield power In many countries.
www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2...

27.02.2026 13:29 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Iran said to be floating β€˜economic bonanza’ for US in bid to avert attack * * *

Neo-royalism: Iran Edition. Iran offers economic bazooka to end maximum pressure campaign. It seems we have lost the thread from any national security objective. Article highlights the lesson of Venezuela: tithe.
www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_ent...

27.02.2026 12:56 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Trump and his criminal gang do have a plan: " I would call it neo-royalist orders where the objective of foreign policy is to extract resources for a small group of elites that are dedicated to a personalist leader."

24.02.2026 10:41 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Join us on March 10 for a conversation with EU Commissioner for Sustainable Transport and Tourism, Apostolos Tzitzikostas. The Commissioner will discuss how Europe is strengthening connectivity, competitiveness, and sustainability. Please RSVP at the link below!
www.eventbrite.com/e/1983620645...

25.02.2026 19:55 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

THE ONLY SOLUTION IS>>>TO PLAY!
Someone call Mathew Broderick, please.

25.02.2026 14:54 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Opinion | America Has an Edge Over China. Why Won’t We Use It? American manufacturing prowess won’t be restored without bringing new technologies to the factory floor.

China automates while America hesitates. I have a piece in the NYT today arguing that America's strategy to compete with China in manufacturing is fundamentally misconceived β€” and that we're heading toward a reckoning we're not prepared for. 1/

www.nytimes.com/2026/02/24/o...

24.02.2026 18:47 πŸ‘ 52 πŸ” 19 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 8
Preview
How To Flunk Coercive Diplomacy 101 The Trump administration's uncoordinated, nonstrategic, haphazard approach towards Iran.

Maybe Trump stats on his lucky streak when it comes to the use of force β€” but he’s an unmitigated disaster when it comes to coercive bargaining. open.substack.com/pub/danieldr...

24.02.2026 13:16 πŸ‘ 49 πŸ” 15 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 2
A copy of Underground Empire

A copy of Underground Empire

A great time to buy the copy of Underground Empire I just signed in Books Inc in SFO. But depressingly, _every_ time these days is a great time to buy the copy i just signed &c &c

24.02.2026 05:16 πŸ‘ 26 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 2
Preview
China restricts exports to Japanese companies to curb 'remilitarization' Automakers, shipbuilders, trading house units among 40 entities named

Subaru, Mitsubishi Materials etc on the hit list

24.02.2026 05:09 πŸ‘ 21 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
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Long interview with weaponised interdependence guru Abe Newman is worth your time

"Europe often does not see itself as this type of actor in the world, but it has all the tools. My advice is that Europe needs to build both self-confidence and capabilities to manage these tools"

24.02.2026 09:39 πŸ‘ 16 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

What could possibly go wrong?

"unknown in the nuclear industry, never completed a nuclear project and, according to the address listed on its website, is headquartered out of a WeWork office"

24.02.2026 15:31 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

🧡🧡

24.02.2026 14:39 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Dumb Chernobyl coming soon

24.02.2026 13:34 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

what could go wrong

24.02.2026 13:13 πŸ‘ 299 πŸ” 104 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0
Further Back to the Future: Neo-Royalism, the Trump Administration, and the Emerging International System | International Organization | Cambridge Core Further Back to the Future: Neo-Royalism, the Trump Administration, and the Emerging International System - Volume 79 Issue S1

9/Again, tariffs/economic coercion create pressure for companies and countries to tithe. Resources then go to the insider clique, building Trump's power base. This is more than corruption/crony capitalism. It is fundamental rewrite of global economic rules.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

24.02.2026 13:13 πŸ‘ 30 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0