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Tom Hill

@tomhill

Environmental economist | Stoicism | Wildlife Gardening | Deliberative democracy | Aspiring Hiccup | πŸ³οΈβ€πŸŒˆ (he/him) |

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28.10.2023
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Latest posts by Tom Hill @tomhill

Americans really don't seem to think that non-Americans are humans do they? The six soldiers are a tragedy of course, but what about the school children?

06.03.2026 22:00 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The U.S. has become a profoundly unserious country. That wouldn't matter particularly if it didn't have the largest military in the world.

06.03.2026 18:30 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Has he made a horcrux?

02.03.2026 18:47 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Spain denies US permission to use jointly operated bases to attack Iran Refusal to allow use of bases in Rota and MorΓ³n follows Pedro SΓ‘nchez’s condemnation of US-Israeli action

Viva EspaΓ±a.
www.theguardian.com/world/2026/m...

02.03.2026 15:00 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Six years ago, his principles were entirely different.

02.03.2026 07:55 πŸ‘ 1494 πŸ” 735 πŸ’¬ 232 πŸ“Œ 152

Definitely. It's a common misconception that Rentiers (i.e. landlords) are price makers who choose rents when in reality they're price takers who generally squeeze as much out tenants salaries that they can.

02.03.2026 10:25 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Well, minimum wage has gone up much faster than average wages too...

02.03.2026 09:08 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I voted for him to be leader. Still now he feels to me like someone who's a good man but who is a complete disaster at politics.

If he had shown contrition after the G&D by-election and stuck to his guns on Iran then I could see a save. Now I think he has to go.

02.03.2026 08:46 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Broken link... (for me)

02.03.2026 08:38 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Indeed, I can't quite remember the source but I think it's slightly worse than double.

I agree on not building enough homes but think that's only part of the housing problem. Financialisation thru the combination of a huge leverage injection from BTL and negative real interest rates also important.

02.03.2026 08:17 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Hmmm. How come gilt yields have risen so much if the bond markets isn't pricing in increased risk tho? Debt interest repayments have almost trebled against the 2010-2020 average. Seems to me that more borrowing = more expensive debt (both relatively and absolutely).

01.03.2026 21:23 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

You think the Government is being overly paranoid re the sustainability of our debt levels and what the bond markets will tolerate?

01.03.2026 20:43 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Agreed. But the revenue raising measure that'll work will generally hit the Boomers or middle earners rather than billionaires no?

01.03.2026 20:09 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I guess it depends upon whether you consider the rich to be the billionaires or mere mortal (generally) older generations with big houses and final salary pensions.

I can see how policy change could extract wealth from the latter, less so the former. Will take a look at the link. Thanks.

01.03.2026 19:55 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

We seem to be in a period of chickens coming home to roost following decades of underinvestment paired with a demographic crunch.

Saying popular things to get into power is one thing. Doing anything about it is another.

01.03.2026 19:51 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Seems to me that whoever comes in basically has to choose between:
a) Broad based tax rises on middle earners.
b) Cutting Boomer entitlements.
c) Massively upping immigration (and that still might not work).

The problem is no one knows how to do that and stay in.

01.03.2026 19:50 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Hmmm I felt a bit underwhelmed there. Isn't he just advocating that Labour also engage in populism.

From the commentary on here it seems that all the evidence suggests that "soaking the rich" isn't a viable economic strategy and that the real options involve painful zero sum trade-offs...

01.03.2026 19:46 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

The messaging over Venezula were much better. I.e. we don't like the leader but international law is important.

01.03.2026 12:14 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Savage.

28.02.2026 11:38 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

There's a weird belief that all views & opinions are equal. I kind of get that in a democratic 1 person 1 vote sense. But it's patently not true that all views/opinions are as well informed as each other. Bluesky might be an echo chamber but its audience is obvs more/better informed than those on X.

28.02.2026 11:34 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Do you think? I get that's the case with a lot of older Tories, but I'm essentially talking about the middle aged, middle class Grads who the likes of Cameron and Major would have appealed to. That said, I guess they ALREADY probably have that cohort.

28.02.2026 11:04 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Still feels to me that if the Lib Dems were to pivot to the right slightly on economic terms they cut off the Tories ability to recover entirely. There's probably more space for them in the Orange Booker, One Nation Tories than there is on the left atm.

28.02.2026 10:53 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

It's striking to me that in both narrative AND tax/spending terms Labour's strat appears to be to insult/milk their own voters and to flatter/reward people who don't vote for them.

You can probably get away with one side of that equation, but not both.

27.02.2026 20:26 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Reading between the lines of your analysis a lot rests, I think, on whether they decide to focus on winning the intra block fight or if they continue down the hero vote route.
Feels to me like pivoting towards embracing their base with a we're the only sensible party on the left is their only hope.

27.02.2026 20:06 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

turns out McSweeney and the Blue Labour gang were wrong and the out of touch woke liberal elite Bluesky echo chamber bubble was right

27.02.2026 05:08 πŸ‘ 1428 πŸ” 225 πŸ’¬ 31 πŸ“Œ 19

It really does feel like Labour's strategists are w@nking off to Blair's third way triangulation narrative without realising that was 30 years ago and the fundamentals have changed.

27.02.2026 19:55 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Really great stuff Ben. Do any Labour MPs ever speak to you out of interest. Feels like folks like you are howling into the void sometimes. :)

27.02.2026 19:47 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Such a savage skeet @stephenkb.bsky.social.

27.02.2026 08:55 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I guess the other option would be to lower the repayment rate from 9%. That'd probably offer a middle ground between the two options in terms of beneficiaries, but theoretically could increase the total amount paid by richer grads...

23.02.2026 10:32 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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"Freedom is having the right to live as you choose, not the right to choose how everyone else lives." - James Van Der Beek, Rest In Peace #NOH8

11.02.2026 20:52 πŸ‘ 375 πŸ” 101 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 10