Jakob Terp-Hansen

“According to a simple average of new high-quality surveys, 38% of Americans approve and 49% disapprove of U.S. military action in Iran.“

Helt klart spillet en rolle.

Heftigt.

Stor, men ikke overraskende nyhed: Trump annoncerer, at Kristi Noem ryger ud som minister for indenlandsk sikkerhed.

Exclusive | Trump Is Preparing to Fire Kristi Noem The president has already been asking aides and congressional Republicans for names of potential replacements for the DHS secretary.

Så er det vist et spørgsmål om tid.

Mere Noem: “White House officials have already discussed names of potential replacements for Noem, including Republican Sens. Markwayne Mullin of Oklahoma and Steve Daines of Montana, according to two of the people familiar with the discussions.”

NEW: Per statement, US House Republican leadership has asked Rep. Tony Gonzales (R-TX) to withdraw from his race for re-election

How the Decision to Start a War Became the President’s Presidents have sidestepped Congress to launch limited military strikes for decades. Trump’s decision to attack Iran is an aggressive escalation.

News Analysis: U.S. presidents have sidestepped Congress to launch limited military strikes for decades. President Trump’s decision to attack Iran is an aggressive escalation.

“President Donald Trump has quietly asked Hill Republicans if he should fire Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem, the latest sign of her tenuous standing inside the West Wing, according to multiple Republicans who have spoken with the president.”

Daines Drops Re-election Bid in Montana, Upending a Senate Race The surprise announcement by Senator Steve Daines could give Democrats a slim opening in the Republican-leaning state in their uphill fight to take the Senate majority.

Breaking News: In a surprise announcement, Senator Steve Daines, the Montana Republican, said he would not seek re-election.

By a vote of 47-53, the #Senate did not agree to the motion to discharge from Foreign Relations Committee, S.J. Res.104, Kaine Iran War Powers Resolution.

GOP Senator Paul voted in favor.

Democrat Senator Fetterman voted No.

Oversight Committee votes to subpoena AG Pam Bondi over Epstein files

Massivt for Cornyn i så fald.

The AP is projecting a runoff in the GOP primary for #TX23, where scandal-plagued Rep. Tony Gonzales and YouTube gun influencer Brandon Herrera each have 43%. (In fact, they're currently separated by just 4 votes, although it doesn't matter who finishes first.)

Blev eksempelvis overhalet højre om af Toth, der også fik støtte fra Cruz, hvilket næppe var uvæsentligt.

Siddende medlem af Repræsentanternes Hus Dan Crenshaw taber sit primærvalg!

James Talarico vinder Demokraternes primærvalg til Texas’ senatsvalg.

Ken Paxton og senator John Cornyn skal i runoff på den republikanske side.

Iranangrebs popularitet

Her opbakningen og modstanden mod Iran-angrebene i de syv målinger, jeg kunne finde. Kigger nærmere på resultaterne i nyhedsbrevet i dag og eksaminerer også kritikken fra Tucker Carlson, MTG med flere:
usapol.dk/tidlige-tal-...

Ny CNN-måling (28/2-1/3): “Overall, 59% of Americans disapprove of the initial decision to strike Iran, with 41% approving.”

“Tucker Carlson, a far-right podcaster who has long promoted conspiratorial views about Israel, met with Trump three times in the Oval Office over the past month, using the meetings—each lasting roughly 90 minutes—to urge the president against striking Iran.”

Ja, det er mudret lige nu. Måske billedet bliver klarere i den kommende uge, og der er kommet flere tal.

Mit ”også” var baseret på YouGovs tal i går, de er dog ude med nye tal i dag:

Se også:

Væsentligt andet billede fra YouGov i dag.

Ny Reuters-Ipsos (28/2-1/3) viser også mindre opbakning end støtte til angrebene på Iran. Men det er stadig tidligt.

YouGov-tal fra i dag viser, at der flere, der er imod end for angreb på Iran, og at klart flest forventer, tingene vil blive værre. Dog meget umiddelbare tal - billedet bliver klarere i den kommende tid.

Law is Irrelevant to the U.S. Attack on Iran And Congress is on the hook as much as the president

“My point is that the rhetoric of legal constraint, and debates about the legality of presidential uses of force, are empty.”

A second Republican will break ranks on the War Powers vote: Warren Davidson

Blake Neff on X: "Charlie was opposed to a regime-change war with Iran, as was I. Wars by their nature are expensive and unpredictable. They endanger American lives and can last far, far longer than anyone anticipates. Nevertheless, President Trump has elected for regime change in Iran. As an" / X Charlie was opposed to a regime-change war with Iran, as was I. Wars by their nature are expensive and unpredictable. They endanger American lives and can last far, far longer than anyone anticipates. Nevertheless, President Trump has elected for regime change in Iran. As an

Ikke ligefrem en entusiastisk støtteerklæring til Trump fra Blake Neff fra The Charlie Kirk Show:

“Charlie was opposed to a regime-change war with Iran, as was I”, lyder indledning.

Resten på X her:

👀 Democratic Rep. Greg Landsman tells me he will not support Khanna's war powers resolution, explaining that it "would require us to completely abandon our allies. It calls for the immediate removal of defensive weapons in the region."