Andy's Avatar

Andy

@awmark

Rockfordian / dad / was an army guy during OIF & OEF / work in credit now / aTm ain’t never been elite, you guys πŸ“ORD

729
Followers
466
Following
1,060
Posts
06.05.2023
Joined
Posts Following

Latest posts by Andy @awmark

*TRUMP WANTS IRAN'S 'UNCONDITIONAL SURRENDER', RULES OUT DEAL

Doesn’t seem like a man looking for an off-ramp, you guys

06.03.2026 14:21 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Trump’s stated goal is regime change, not a limited strike. At this point, there’s no clear political off-ramp and Iran’s proxy militias are dispersed (making them difficult to eliminate in a short period) who are seeking to widen the conflict across the region. They appear to be succeeding

05.03.2026 18:01 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

We’ve decided to placate our client state and in so doing created a vacuum alongside the most important shipping channel for EU/China commodity needs. There are no credible exile groups capable of assuming state functions in Iran, nor is there any stabilization plan that I’ve seen

05.03.2026 15:43 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Trump says Iran war projected to last 4 to 5 weeks, could go β€˜far longer’ In latest statement, Trump says US was 'very nearly under threat' from Iran, drawing immediacy of attacks into question.

4-5 weeks to this man is basically forever www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/202...

05.03.2026 15:20 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Genuinely think at this point people are ignoring the many indicators of a prolonged military engagement that’s likely with Iran (regional escalation, the entire track record of the 20+ year aftermath of every comparable U.S.-led regime-change operation since 2001).

05.03.2026 15:20 πŸ‘ 40 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 7 πŸ“Œ 1

I feel like over the next few months headline CPI will be spiky because of energy, you've got the increase in memory prices flowing through consumer electronics, real consumption growth might be negative because of the hit from gas prices, and then housing remains stuck.

05.03.2026 13:40 πŸ‘ 69 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 4

looks like SMU heading to the CFP first round loss

04.03.2026 01:45 πŸ‘ 152 πŸ” 16 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
Hormuz crisis is a wake-up call for complacent gas consumers The world has already reckoned with its dependence on oil but retains other energy vulnerabilities

β€œβ€¦coming out of the winter season, European storage is on average less than 30% full - lower than usual.” giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...

03.03.2026 14:34 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

like wtf are we doing here

03.03.2026 01:12 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Israel is not 51st state of the union

03.03.2026 01:10 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
How Trump Decided to Go to War

One of the great blunders in American foreign policy across multiple administrations is the fact that we don’t treat Israel like the client state they are www.nytimes.com/2026/03/02/u...

03.03.2026 01:10 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

*BLACKSTONE ALLOWS INVESTORS TO PULL 7.9% FROM BCRED FUND

02.03.2026 23:24 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

the plan, insofar as there is one, looks to me like 1) kill regime and IRGC leadership, 2) tell the opposition to leroy jenkins, 3) ???, 4) declare victory

01.03.2026 14:27 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

a little chilly up here in Wausau but a great weekend for being outside

01.03.2026 14:21 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Heading up north to ski this weekend so here’s the apres lineup, you guys

27.02.2026 16:46 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

sweet westie!

27.02.2026 03:39 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Filing the 8-K an hour after cash close, god I hope they’re down another 5% tomorrow

27.02.2026 03:24 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image Post image

MFIC trading 26% below NAV and heroically decides to mark down their book by…3%

27.02.2026 03:03 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

this took an hour to open up, very young

26.02.2026 01:48 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

normally no drinks on a school night but exceptions can be made

26.02.2026 01:43 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Happy Wednesday, you guys

26.02.2026 01:13 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Got our tin can phone at home this week and my younger kids are obsessed. We have a little phone book with friends and neighbors numbers. Such a great throwback!

25.02.2026 23:59 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

some GPs reducing target returns on new vintage vehicles (I saw HPS dropped to 7-9% net IRR in latest vintage). Retail don’t know and are buying 3- and 5-year performance anyway. I do think return compression has coincided with huge fee compression for GPs, this is priced like a beta product now

25.02.2026 19:47 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

It was not that long ago that direct lenders said S+600 was a line in the sand. Then migrated to S+500.

If you’re allocating to funds doing B3/CCC lending with a 4-handle spread? Good luck!

25.02.2026 17:44 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image Post image
25.02.2026 15:53 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
The Dark Side of Private Equity | The University of Chicago Business Law Review Private equity (PE) funds control over $9 trillion in assets and thousands of companies, yet their leverage-driven model often amplifies financial fragility and social harm. This article argues that t...

Extraordinary and anonymously authored piece on the social costs of buyout PE and proposed regulations from someone clearly very involved in the industry businesslawreview.uchicago.edu/online-archi...

25.02.2026 15:53 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

ehh, should be fine until the NAV loans and continuation vehicles start having issues

25.02.2026 04:23 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Would personally prefer to buy mid-80s dollar price

25.02.2026 00:56 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Someone’s probably gonna do well buying assets out of BDCs and putting them into a CLO for term, non-mtm financing

25.02.2026 00:56 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1