Paul Fritz's Avatar

Paul Fritz

@pbfritz

Political scientist studying & teaching mostly international relations. Likes democracy.

70
Followers
265
Following
61
Posts
13.11.2024
Joined
Posts Following

Latest posts by Paul Fritz @pbfritz

Maybe back channels can get messages thru to change this. But with US diplomatic capability & credibility utterly destroyed, hard to see that happening effectively.

06.03.2026 22:08 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

This is supposed to be an off-ramp to let *rump declare victory whenever. But as for the Iranian regime, it cannot rule out "unconditional surrender" & thus will act accordingly.

06.03.2026 22:07 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Hard to overstate how bad this administration is at this. But I guess when the main job of the entire executive branch is to make one person happy and/or clean up his mess when he blurts out something crazy, there's not much time to think about strategy or coercive diplomacy.

06.03.2026 22:01 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Definitive summary from @profsaunders.bsky.social of the infuriating and tragic destruction of America’s global role & powers by the Trump Admin, and its impact on the world in this terribly fraught time. πŸ‘‡

06.03.2026 21:38 πŸ‘ 13 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Raising the costs that Iran is willing to incur and cutting off your only hope to be able to claim some sort of victory short of occupying the country … genius!

06.03.2026 14:12 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

🧡Cans of Worms possibly opened by Trump's war of choice in Iran, a running list:

(not exhaustive, with the caveat that I am not an expert on the region so these are questions from a US foreign policy perspective, please add others) 1/?

04.03.2026 13:36 πŸ‘ 238 πŸ” 83 πŸ’¬ 12 πŸ“Œ 10

This should end well.

03.03.2026 22:33 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

May I humbly suggest we dial back the hyper-fixation on how long the administration says war will last. No one ever knows because war is unpredictable & adversary gets a vote. Where the administration should be hammered is on the incoherent explanation of why they started the war in the first place.

03.03.2026 14:29 πŸ‘ 41 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0

Keep hearing commentators/Hegseth saying a version of "this is not Iraq, we are not doing nation-building, it's a decapitation, the people will handle it."

That's what Iraq 2003 was supposed to be! Nation-building, de-Baathification, disbanding of Iraqi army, it all came *after* things went wrong.

02.03.2026 14:50 πŸ‘ 383 πŸ” 84 πŸ’¬ 10 πŸ“Œ 14
Preview
Trump might start a war with Iran. Can anyone stop him? Trump might start a war with Iran. Can anyone stop him? Congress, public opinion, and administration insiders aren’t reliable constraints on Trump’s foreign policy decisions.

Quick reactions after learning that no, nobody could stop him. 1/ goodauthority.org/news/trump-m... 1/

28.02.2026 11:54 πŸ‘ 644 πŸ” 240 πŸ’¬ 16 πŸ“Œ 48

So he's definitely going to bomb Iran. (Not even really kidding)

20.02.2026 15:05 πŸ‘ 170 πŸ” 37 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 3

This. Constraint and accountability for using military force start closest to home. Advisers and members of the president’s party. Doesn’t have to be a vote, doesn’t have to be public. But there’s no constraining without it. War is an Insiders’ Game.

14.01.2026 23:57 πŸ‘ 301 πŸ” 61 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 2
Preview
Germany, other NATO allies sending troops to Greenland amid Trump threats Trump said Wednesday that anything less than U.S. control of Greenland would be "unacceptable" in a warning to NATO allies.

NATO allies setting up a trip wire to deter the US from invading Greenland.

www.newsweek.com/greenland-ge...

14.01.2026 20:57 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Opinion | In Trump’s America, Are We Losing Our Democracy? Donald Trump has wielded power as no previous president has.

www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

31.10.2025 11:33 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
This is how Trump ends democracy The past week has revealed Trump’s policy road map to veto one-party rule. Will Americans let him follow it?

The past week has shown us something scary β€”Β the concrete and specific outlines of a durable authoritarian state in America.

Here's what this state would look like, and the precise policy levers Trump is pulling to get there from here.

www.vox.com/politics/462...

19.09.2025 18:22 πŸ‘ 464 πŸ” 219 πŸ’¬ 21 πŸ“Œ 29
Preview
The Trump Administration Is About to Incinerate 500 Tons of Emergency Food Federal workers warned for months that the high-energy biscuits would go to waste.

This emergency food aid, enough to feed about 1.5 million children for a week, will be incinerated tomorrow rather than distributed in Afghanistan and Pakistan.

Another in a long list of Trump's crimes against humanity.

15.07.2025 15:23 πŸ‘ 89 πŸ” 66 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 4

Still my biggest question aside from Iranian retaliation. What is the diplomatic plan?

22.06.2025 13:31 πŸ‘ 119 πŸ” 36 πŸ’¬ 7 πŸ“Œ 0

Trump is once against arsonist and fireman. If he hadn't pulled out of the Iran nuclear deal (which our own State Dept. certified Iran was in compliance with), we wouldn't be here.

22.06.2025 01:28 πŸ‘ 594 πŸ” 175 πŸ’¬ 16 πŸ“Œ 10
22.06.2025 14:05 πŸ‘ 191 πŸ” 68 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 2

🧡 To make this more concrete: don't assume Trump himself knows what he is going to do next in in the Israel-Iran conflict. He definitely doesn't want to get the US involved in a major war in the Middle East (that much he's been clear on). But he loves to bomb and look tough. 1/

17.06.2025 00:50 πŸ‘ 495 πŸ” 117 πŸ’¬ 14 πŸ“Œ 10

"The American regime today arrested a member of the legislative opposition, after declaring it would 'liberate' that senator's province from opposition control using the armed forces"

12.06.2025 18:46 πŸ‘ 301 πŸ” 131 πŸ’¬ 7 πŸ“Œ 4

Literally describing themselves as occupying a blue state like hostile territory with the military and federal forces.

12.06.2025 18:34 πŸ‘ 3149 πŸ” 884 πŸ’¬ 296 πŸ“Œ 70
Preview
Unease at F.B.I. Intensifies as Patel Ousts Top Officials

β€œThe actions have obliterated decades of experience in national security and criminal matters at the F.B.I. and raised questions about whether the agents taking over such critical posts have the institutional knowledge to pursue cornerstones of its work.
Image”

www.nytimes.com/2025/06/01/u...

01.06.2025 14:16 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

*one

31.05.2025 15:24 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
World Scientists Look Elsewhere as U.S. Labs Stagger Under Trump Cuts

This may end up being onw of the biggest self-owns ever www.nytimes.com/2025/05/31/w...

31.05.2025 15:24 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Secretary of Transportation says you should be scared of public transportation. Four million people will ignore him, justifiably, and ride the NY subway tomorrow. 🀑

28.05.2025 23:51 πŸ‘ 2573 πŸ” 402 πŸ’¬ 200 πŸ“Œ 29

Is clownsmanship a word? If not, can we make it one?

08.05.2025 15:42 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Chris Krebs, Ex-Leader of Cybersecurity Agency, Is Under Investigation, Trump Officials Say The disclosure came three weeks after President Trump directed the Justice Department to investigate the former agency leader, Chris Krebs, in an act of score settling.

This is blatantly authoritarian. No specific and credible allegations are laid against Krebs, beyond the fact he undermined the President's false claims about a stolen election. Nevertheless, Trump will direct the federal government to make his life hell.
www.nytimes.com/2025/05/01/u...

02.05.2025 17:07 πŸ‘ 380 πŸ” 132 πŸ’¬ 12 πŸ“Œ 6
Post image

Rock band REM releasing a remix of its first single, β€œRadio Free Europe,” to raise money for RFE/RL after the Trump administration froze its funding. www.instagram.com/reel/DJJluTO...

02.05.2025 14:05 πŸ‘ 273 πŸ” 109 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 5