Kevin Carey 's Avatar

Kevin Carey

@kevincareywb

World Bank Macro / Climate Opinions are mine and not WB X: Kevin_Carey_WB

1,263
Followers
340
Following
2,830
Posts
18.11.2023
Joined
Posts Following

Latest posts by Kevin Carey @kevincareywb

Preview
Senegal cuts government agencies to save cash amid debt woes DAKAR (Reuters) – Senegal has announced a plan to close 19 government agencies which account for around 1,000 jobs, with officials in the debt-burdened country expecting the move to save at least 55 b...

"Senegal has announced a plan to close 19 govt agencies which account for around 1,000 jobs, with officials in the debt-burdened country expecting the move to save at least 55 bn CFA francs ($97.95 million) over the next three years, a statement said." www.cnbcafrica.com/2026/senegal...

06.03.2026 16:22 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
New World Bank Group Financing Supports Angola’s Economic Reforms to Promote Inclusive Growth and Job Creation The World Bank’s Board of Executive Directors and the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency’s (MIGA) Board of Directors approved the first in a series of operations to support Angola’s ambitious st...

"Part of the fiscal savings generated by the swap will be redirected toward expanding access to education, contributing to improved human capital outcomes and enhanced job opportunities for future generations." www.worldbank.org/en/news/pres...

06.03.2026 13:48 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

"This mechanism aims to prepay costly commercial debt with the proceeds of a competitively procured and guaranteed commercial loan, thereby reducing debt service costs and improving debt sustainability ..."

06.03.2026 13:48 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Angola / World Bank DPF ($750m) plus guarantees ($240m + 2nd loss) to enable a debt for development swap: "The two guarantees will provide the Government of Angola with additional fiscal space to invest in its development priorities through a debt-for-development swap ..."

06.03.2026 13:48 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Preview
IMF Staff Concludes Visit to Zambia An International Monetary Fund (IMF) staff team, led by Edward Gemayel, visited Zambia from February 26 to March 4, 2026, as part of the Fund’s regular engagement with the Zambian authorities and othe...

"However, in light of the electoral calendar, discussions would be expected to resume only after the general elections later this year and after a new government is in place, which would allow for greater clarity on policy priorities." www.imf.org/en/news/arti...

05.03.2026 19:10 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Zambia / IMF mission: “The authorities reiterated their interest in a successor arrangement. Staff emphasized that the next phase of engagement should focus on further strengthening macroeconomic stability & advancing reforms to improve the business climate & support private sector‑led growth ..."

05.03.2026 19:10 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0

For Iraq: "[Fraser McKay, Wood Mackenzie]. In the case of Iraq’s Rumaila field, which is in the process of shutting down, the loss of gross revenue each month is around $2.4bn, he estimated. Meanwhile, its operators will still have to bear its fixed operating costs of $750mn a year."

05.03.2026 13:29 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Strait of Hormuz: The Oil Bottleneck Threatening the Global Economy The shipping blockage is backing up through the Middle East’s oil industry, endangering a big chunk of the world’s crude production.

“Practically, it is very difficult for any navy to escort ships through that narrow strait,” said Ellis Morley, specialist in cargo and commodities at Howden, an insurance broker. “That horseshoe shape of the Strait keeps ships in the most dangerous area for a long time.”
www.wsj.com/world/middle...

04.03.2026 18:26 👍 3 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0
MSN

"The Egyptian petroleum ministry said in a statement the tanker was not bound for any of Egypt's ports and that it was not listed under supply or liquefied natural gas (LNG) cargo contracts to the country." www.msn.com/en-us/news/w...

04.03.2026 18:21 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Post image

Emirate of Abu Dhabi / publication of a Eurobond program supplement & pricing supplement for new 2031 and 2036 bonds ($3bn). Date of the supplement is last Thursday (and therefore does not refer to the current conflict). Budget numbers likely to change. www.londonstockexchange.com/news-article...

04.03.2026 17:15 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Interesting terminology: "This has resulted in a number of “frustrated exports” — [gold & silver] goods that have already been submitted for customs clearance and must be formally withdrawn before they can be rerouted."

04.03.2026 12:54 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
MSN

South Africa (Reuters): "Backed by Rand Merchant Bank (RMB) & the Development Bank of Southern Africa (DBSA), the five-year bond aims to finance ecological restoration, including removing invasive plants and rehabilitating catchment areas to enhance water security." www.msn.com/en-us/news/w...

04.03.2026 12:14 👍 0 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
In a Day of Wild Market Moves, Oil Is a New Haven It’s hard to overstate just how unusual trading was on Tuesday.

"Only 16 times since 1983 has Brent crude gained more than 7% with gold down and bond yields up. More than half of those times stocks actually rose, and the S&P 500 never fell 2%, as it did at its low on Tuesday morning." www.wsj.com/finance/inve...

04.03.2026 01:54 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 1
Preview
Iran Strikes Shatter the Gulf’s Post-Oil Pivot The region’s gamble on tourism and tech is growing more precarious as the conflict widens.

"The plan—known as Vision 2030—was already facing many revisions and delays before the Iran conflict due to growing budgetary pressures. The initiative increasingly relied on foreign investors to bridge the funding gap, an ambition now caught directly in the crossfire." www.wsj.com/world/middle...

03.03.2026 17:14 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

WSJ article on impact of the Middle East / Gulf conflict on GCC diversification strategies: "The escalation threatens the region’s broader ambitions, including Saudi Arabia’s multitrillion-dollar plan to diversify away from oil ..."

03.03.2026 17:14 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Preview
Global Economy Is Facing the Prospect of Another Profound Shock

“We’re going to end up spending a lot more on the military, and it’s going to have implications for interest rates and inflation,” Mr. [Ken] Rogoff said. “That’s baked in the cake.” www.nytimes.com/2026/03/03/b...

03.03.2026 15:17 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
MSN

Minerals supply chain (Reuters): "Traffic through Kasumbalesa, the busiest crossing [to Zambia] for [DR] Congo’s metal shipments – mainly destined for China & the United States – was suspended on Sunday after heavy rains washed away a portion of the road." www.msn.com/en-us/news/w...

03.03.2026 14:00 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Strait of Hormuz impasse squeezes world shipping With few captains willing to brave the Strait of Hormuz as war rages around the Gulf, companies will have to do business without one of the world's most vital shipping lanes, especially for oil and ga...

AFP: "But the strait is essential to all regional trade as it allows access to Dubai's Jebel Ali port, the world's 10th-largest container port and a redistribution hub for more than a dozen countries in the region." sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/strait-...

03.03.2026 13:45 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Middle East war is ‘black swan’ for liner networks, ‘catastrophic’ for ports The container trade affected by the Middle East war pales in comparison to the oil and gas trades. Nevertheless, speakers at TPM26 warned that the fallout will be severe

"The Houthis have not resumed attacks, but the presumed risk factor has led to a sudden reversal in transit plans.

“Any hope of Suez transits resuming anytime soon are, of course, completely shattered,” said [Turloch] Mooney [S&P Global Market Intelligence]." www.lloydslist.com/LL1156497/Mi...

03.03.2026 13:45 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Excellent article in Lloyds List on impact of Middle East / Gulf conflict on container shipping: "Another major consequence of the Middle East war: is it has abruptly changed carrier plans to gradually return to the Red Sea ..."

03.03.2026 13:45 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
Preview
St. Kitts and Nevis: Staff Concluding Statement of the 2026 Article IV Mission Real GDP growth is estimated to have slowed to 1.5 percent in 2025 and is expected to pick up to 2.2 percent in 2026. The slowdown in 2025 reflects weaker-than-expected construction activity, despite ...

St. Kitts & Nevis / IMF A4 mission: "Under a moderately frontloaded active policy scenario encompassing expenditure rationalization (4.4 pp of GDP) & tax revenue mobilization (2.7 pp of GDP), public debt would stabilize at the regional 60% ceiling by 2031." www.imf.org/en/news/arti...

03.03.2026 02:29 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

"As conflict over Iran grew closer in recent weeks, some investors exited these trades, with foreign holdings of Egyptian debt falling by $2bn to $30bn according to Citigroup."

02.03.2026 21:53 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Post image

US Treasury / new sanctions against Rwanda Defence Force and named senior officials in it for involvement in the Eastern DRC conflict. home.treasury.gov/news/press-r...

02.03.2026 19:45 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

A key point about Egypt: "Precautionary closures of Israel’s Leviathan and Karish gasfields add further pressure to global gas and LNG markets. These fields are key suppliers to Egypt, which imported close to 10 bcm from Israel last year."

02.03.2026 19:29 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Bets on Fate of Iran’s Khamenei Spark Uproar at Leading Prediction Markets Scrutiny focuses on whether Kalshi and Polymarket offered proxy bets on an assasination of Iran’s leader.

"The markets on Khamenei had long predated the Feb. 28 strike. Polymarket started taking odds in Dec. on whether the Iranian leader would be out by April. Kalshi’s market differed slightly, with users able to take bets on whether he would be out by Sept., July, or April." www.wsj.com/world/middle...

01.03.2026 20:57 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Bangladesh / Market Financial Solutions (MFS) lender: "As an active politician when the loans were made, [Saifuzzaman] Chowdhury should have been subject to particular scrutiny, especially as his official asset declarations in Bangladesh listed his net worth at only around $2.3mn."

27.02.2026 23:24 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Post image

Malaysia / IMF 2025 A4 staff report. A very interesting case of sizable publicly guaranteed debt, around 17% of GDP, usually in connection with infrastructure projects but showing up in other sectors as well. www.imf.org/en/publicati...

27.02.2026 23:04 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
MSN

Malawi (via Reuters): "This fiscal year's budget deficit is projected to reach 11.9% of GDP, but the government wants to narrow it to about 9% next year, Mwanamvekha [FinMin] told lawmakers." www.msn.com/en-us/money/...

27.02.2026 21:37 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
It’s About to Get Easier to Fire Argentines and Make Them Work Longer President Javier Milei has proposed changes to labor laws that the country’s Senate is poised to pass on Friday evening.

Argentina / revised labor law : "Economist Gustavo Lazzari said labor reform is “a necessary condition…but not sufficient to generate employment,” arguing that without sustained economic growth, new rules alone won’t create jobs." www.wsj.com/world/americ...

27.02.2026 21:34 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Post image

An interesting case for the cost-benefit analysis (CBA) community: CBA for sulfur dioxide (S02) reduction at Medupi coal power plant in Limpopo, South Africa. The envisaged flue-gas desulphurisation does not clear the hurdle, but an air quality offset program does. www.eskom.co.za/wp-content/u...

27.02.2026 16:53 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0