Hereβs the right chart
Hereβs the right chart
The policies of the Fed impact economies globally, but that doesnβt mean other central banks have to follow the Fed. If the Fed were to implement surprise rate cuts, the Bank of England should arguably do the exact opposite.
My latest in @FT www.ft.com/content/fa99...
by @economistmeg.bsky.social !!!!!!
Many thanks to @resfoundation for hosting my speech this morning.
I look at how monetary policy divergence impacts the U.K. economy and my own policy considerations. I show that unexpected Fed rate cuts could fuel U.K. inflation.
βοΈ Take a look here: www.bankofengland.co.uk/speech/2026/...
I joined @RitikaGuptaTV on @CNBC yesterday to discuss my views on the U.K. economy, the budget, risks to inflation and rates. www.cnbc.com/video/2025/1...
Brexit hit productivity and lowered the economyβs non-inflationary βspeed limit,β Greene ( @economistmeg.bsky.social ) said. Undoing some of the damage by rebuilding EU relations would lift Britainβs growth potential, enabling more activity without triggering price rises.
I'm in @opinion.bloomberg.com today talking about three "partial truths" in the US economic narrative. "Partial truths" are not myths--they have more than a kernel of fact behind them--but they demand caution, asterisks, and grains of salt.
www.bloomberg.com/op...
1/9
For our first panel at #TheBodrumRT Milica DeleviΔ, @economistmeg.bsky.social, @erik-jones.bsky.social & Denis Redonnet examined βGlobal economic fragmentationβ, chaired by @cergrant.bsky.social
My column on supply shocks, now with the chart that the FT inadvertently omitted: www.ft.com/content/c774...
The conventional wisdom that central banks should look through negative supply shocks needs updating. I use our recent experiences with supply shocks to draw lessons about how they hit the economy and how central banks should respond to them. www.ft.com/content/c774...
I gave a speech at @UofGlasgow on the lessons we have learned from recent supply shocks and how to respond to them. The conventional wisdom is to look through them. I think we need to reconsider this. www.bankofengland.co.uk/speech/2025/...
βIβve seen what happens when a country messes with data.β www.nytimes.com/2025/08/19/o...
By Andreas Georgiou, the former head of the Greek stats agency who was subjected to 7 criminal and civil legal cases for reporting Greeceβs stats accurately.
#WeekendWatching πΊ
Did you miss our Public Lecture with MPC member @economistmeg.bsky.social on Central Bank balance sheets earlier in the week?!?
NO panic βοΈ You can watch it back here β¬οΈπ
#CentralBanks
#MonetaryPolicy
#UKeconomy
I gave a speech today at @NIESRorg looking at how the BoE, ECB and Fed manage their balance sheets, whether the differences bw them create trading opportunities for banks to book profits and whether I need to worry about this as an MPC member.π
b-o-e.uk/44dbxCb
Our Public Lecture with @economistmeg.bsky.social on Central Bank balance sheets has just started, introduced by @econstevem.bsky.social π
#CentralBanks
#BankOfEngland
#MonetaryPolicy
niesr.ac.uk/event/public...
UPCOMING EVENT: Public Lecture with @bankofengland.bsky.social's Megan Greene π¬ @economistmeg.bsky.social
"Monetary Policy Implications of Differences in Central Bank Balance Sheet Management"
β° 24 June, 10:30-11:30
π NIESR offices, Westminster
Sign up to attend π
niesr.ac.uk/event/public...
βAt the end of the day, your integrity is all you have. Guard it wisely.β Nice commencement speech by Jay Powell at Princeton. www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/s...
Hereβs how Iβm thinking through some of the channels of tariff propagation through the U.K. economy. Exchange rates are importantβand they havenβt moved as the theory would suggest. My latest in @FT www.ft.com/content/cd50...
Was a pleasure to join @flacqua on @BloombergTV today to discuss the potential impact of tariffs on the UK (depends partly on exchange rates), other sources of uncertainty for the UK inflation outlook and the importance of central bank independence. www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Nan...
Surprised CDβs are even still on the chartβ¦ h/t @chartdaily
Just check out this banger chart from the indispensable work by Barry Eichengreen, Arnaud Mehl and Livia Chitu.
Countries that rely on the US for military protection hold a much higher fraction of their foreign exchange reserves in U.S. dollars.
They show similar patterns for historical data.
CDU/CSU &SPD have just proposed a sea change in German fiscal policy:
- defence spending above 1% of GDP exempt from debt brake
- 10-year β¬500bn special fund for infrastructure
- looser debt rules for states
- further debt-brake reform in new Bundestag
Deutsche Bank not holding back in describing how important Germany's deal to lift is debt brake is: www.ft.com/content/1886...
One of the FTβs biggest UK reporting jobs was posted this week
Chief UK Business Correspondent
job-boards.eu.greenhouse.io/financialtim...
New fintwit is in danger of becoming a sausage fest like old fintwit so here are some LADIES on a list for you to follow. I made it in my sick bed so 1: sympathy please and 2: tell me who I missed
bsky.app/profile/did:...
Yep, thereβs a video and an audio version of it here if you scroll down: www.lse.ac.uk/european-ins...
Iβm contractually obligated to tell you guys the Boston Red Sox added Jhoestynxon Garcia to their 40-man roster and his nickname is βThe Password.β
Reminder that thereβs an excellent webinar tomorrow on the future of inflation β @economistmeg.bsky.social is involved and thatβs usually all the suasion one needs. Tomorrow at 1.30pm EST / 6.30pm GMT
www.lse.ac.uk/european-ins...
Iβm speaking alongside Boris VujΔiΔ (Governor of the Croatian National Bank) at the LSE next Monday on the future of inflation. Details to register are here: www.lse.ac.uk/european-ins...