Katie Dove

How Are Insurance Markets Adapting to Climate Change? New Study Explores the Impact of Wildfires on Home Insurance Research by environmental economists delves into how insurance companies are responding to increased climate risks, particularly wildfires, which have become the fastest-growing source of catastrophe-...

If you want to read one paper to understand wildfire insurance markets in CA, it’s this one.

It is an absolute fantastic read and shows exactly why some insurers pulled out of the market.

today.ucsd.edu/story/impact...

Differences in misinformation sharing can lead to politically asymmetric sanctions - Nature We find that conservatives tend to share more low-quality news through social media than liberals, and so even if technology companies enact politically neutral anti-misinformation policies, political...

🚨In Nature🚨
Meta is dropping fact-checking to avoid anti-conservative bias- but is there actually evidence of bias?
We this test empirically & find that conservatives
* ARE suspended more
* BUT share more misinfo
So suspension isn't necessarily evidence of bias www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Since this is back…
Unfortunately, academic inflation and toxic productivity culture has all but done away with this. The effects of this on science advancement will be seen for generations. Slowing down and thinking deeply is essential to solve complex problems and it’s undervalued at every level

Why probability probably doesn’t exist (but it is useful to act like it does) All of statistics and much of science depends on probability — an astonishing achievement, considering no one’s really sure what it is.

Love that there’s a section called “down the rabbit hole”—fits the whole article imho 🎲

www.nature.com/articles/d41...

#probability #science

🚨In Science🚨
Conspiracy beliefs famously resist correction, ya?
WRONG: We show brief convos w GPT4 reduce conspiracy beliefs by ~20%!
-Lasts over 2mo
-Works on entrenched beliefs
-Tailored AI response rebuts specific evidence offered by believers
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
1/
[X->BSky repost]

🙄🙄🙄 come ON

Here’s the thing: encouraging green consumer action is futile if upstream actors’ don’t behave in line too

Sustainability is a system

Recycling behavior and sustainable waste disposal needs a systems lens ♻️

🔗 www-cbsnews-com.cdn.ampproject.org/c/s/www.cbsn...

Enjoying “the new mind readers” by @russpoldrack.bsky.social

What are your thoughts? 🤓

#booksky #reading #science

Very nice example of how useful comparison (or trend calculation) usually needs something more than coefficients. They have a nice page on the general idea that is hidden down in the thread: ourworldindata.org/age-standard...

Opinion | If DOGE Treats Government Like a Business, It Could Be a Disaster A lot of what the government does is hard to quantify and involves complicated tasks that inevitably require bureaucratic coordination and, yes, inefficiency.

My small part in trying to get people to understand why it seems like running government like a business is a good idea, when in fact it's a terrible one (1/4):
www.nytimes.com/2024/12/07/o...

Can *you* tell your biases from your heuristics? They are related, but not the same: https://buff.ly/3Zpipu2

We tested a hypothesis that misinformation exploits outrage to spread online, examining generalizability across multiple platforms, time periods, and classifications of misinformation. Outrage is highly engaging and need not be accurate to achieve its communicative goals, making it an attractive signal to embed in misinformation. In eight studies that used US data from Facebook (1,063,298 links) and Twitter (44,529 tweets, 24,007 users) and two behavioral experiments (1475 participants), we show that (i) misinformation sources evoke more outrage than do trustworthy sources; (ii) outrage facilitates the sharing of misinformation at least as strongly as sharing of trustworthy news; and (iii) users are more willing to share outrage-evoking misinformation without reading it first. Consequently, outrage-evoking misinformation may be difficult to mitigate with interventions that assume users want to share accurate information.

Now out in @science.org: misinformation exploits outrage to spread online. www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

Doing this work was way harder than it had to be, thanks to Big Tech. I want to highlight our lead analyst @killianmcloughlin.bsky.social for his heroic perseverance to bring you this paper 🧵

Katie Dove on LinkedIn: #behavioraleconomics #financialinclusion #investing #brazil 💡 How do you get users to take action when they’re faced with too many choices and an overwhelming decision? That was the challenge Tesouro Nacional and B3…

How do you help investors avoid a lapse in earnings by reinvesting when their bonds mature? We worked with the National Treasury of Brazil & B3, Brazil’s stock exchange, to test behaviorally-informed messages to investors, & drove 5X more scheduled reinvestments. #financialinclusion

Fun! See if you can push it to be more concrete 💪

Gift Lab - Irrational Labs Gift Lab Gift-giving is as much about psychology as it is about presents. The best gifts aren’t just useful; they make the recipient feel seen, appreciated, and connected to the gift-giver.  Chat with...

Try our gift bot and tell me what you think!

irrationallabs.com/giftlab/

#ai #psychology #gift

Texel Island, Netherlands

View from the conference window. Vegas has nothing on Texel. 😍

Espresso shot with Dutch writing

Excited to have made it to the Netherlands for The Conference, formerly known as Conversion Hotel. But first, coffee ☕ 🙏

Follow along this week as we talk all things experimentation, personalization, and product design.
#CH2024 #behavioralscience #personalization

Very small sample, but fun read nonetheless. NYT article summarizing the “humans + AI” are not as good as just AI.

The strain on scientific publishing: we set out to characterise the remarkable growth of the scientific literature in the last few years, in spite of declining growth in total scientists. What is going on?

direct.mit.edu/qss/article/...

A 🧵 1/n
#AcademicSky #PhDchat #ScientificPublishing #SciPub

If open to applied besci folks, yes please!

Screenshot of OSTP website from Obama’s first administration with Science Advisor, John Holdren walking beside the president, vs. May of 2017, when it was stripped of any office detail. Trump whittled the office from 135 to 45 people, and went without a science advisor for the first two years of his first term.

Full (sad) circle moment. As an intern, I ran the Office of Science & Tech Policy’s Twitter acct in 2010. Just hit me that 1. it was the last time I had Twitter & 2. Trump then gutted the OSTP & went w/o a science advisor for first 2 years of his last term. Buckle up & thankful for discourse here 😞

Welcome to The Good Place,,, I got yo backs with some starter packs 👇🏾

My 1st Starter Pack / General
go.bsky.app/QtvWbjH

Black Excellence
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SPORTS,!!
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MUSIC,!!!
go.bsky.app/5K15oMe

Memes + Jokes
go.bsky.app/Dz4nLst

NEWS + MEDIA Outlets
go.bsky.app/GyXWWej

A mini golden doodle crosses his arms and looks pensively out the window

Terrorizing the neighborhood, one passerby at a time. #doodle #dog (wishing he could be…) #partofyourworld 🧜‍♀️

🎙️🖥️ I'm hosting a webinar on applying behavioral science to trust and safety to reduce harms online next Friday Nov 15th @ 9am PST.

I will review the latest experimental evidence as well as some @IrrationalLabs case studies in this area.

Join me! 🎙️ 🖥️

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Is this thing on? #helloworld