Iran is continuing to attempt to disrupt international shipping within the Persian Gulf as part of a broader effort to impose a cost on the Gulf states.
06.03.2026 13:41
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Iran is continuing to attempt to disrupt international shipping within the Persian Gulf as part of a broader effort to impose a cost on the Gulf states.
Iranian drone and missile attacks on Gulf energy infrastructure in Qatar, Bahrain, and Saudi Arabia have continued to disrupt the regional energy industry.
Iran has consistently launched over 100 drones per day at the UAE over the past four days.
Iranian drone attacks appear to primarily target the UAE. The Emirati Defense Ministry intercepted on March 5 six of seven detected Iranian ballistic missiles and 125 of 131 detected drones.
MORE | Iran continued to target US forces and facilities with drone attacks in the Gulf Countries and Iraq on March 5. www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/ira...
The combined forces have continued to strike the IRGC Ground Forces special forces and rapid response units in southwestern Iran.
The combined force continues to conduct airstrikes targeting key internal security sites in and around Tehran City as well as Kurdish-populated areas of northwestern Iran.
The IDF has also continued striking Iranian air defense systems in order to maintain air superiority over Iran.
The IDF has continued strikes targeting Iranian ballistic missile infrastructure, and reported on March 5 that Israeli aircraft has rendered over 300 ballistic missile launchers inoperable since February 28.
NEW | The US and Israeli combined force has advanced to the next phase of their campaign, which will focus on targeting Iranian defense industrial assets, especially missile production facilities. www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/ira...
Russian authorities arrested a fourth deputy of former Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, continuing the long-standing Kremlin campaign to remove personnel loyal to Shoigu and neutralize his influence within the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD).
Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a routine decree on March 4 marginally increasing the authorized end strength of the Russian military as part of the ongoing Russian military reforms.
Other Russian officials are using US military operations against Iran to harshly criticize the United States and rhetorically place Russia and the United States in opposition and discredit US-led negotiations in Ukraine.
Kremlin officials are criticizing the United States for military operations against Iran and are using the escalation in the Middle East to set conditions to blame the United States for any future failures in negotiations for a peace in Ukraine.
NEW | Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that Ukraine will support US air defense efforts against Iranian Shahed drone strikes in the Middle East. www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/rus...
Hezbollah claimed that the group conducted 7 attacks targeting IDF position and forces in northern Israel and southern Lebanon since CTP-ISW's last data cutoff at 4:00 PM ET on March 4.
Iran launched attacks targeting Turkey and Azerbaijan on March 4 and 5. These attacks mark the 10th and 11th country to come under Iranian fire.
The combined force has continued to target Iran’s internal security and government institutions, concentrating strikes in Tehran and northwest Tehran.
NEW | The decrease in retaliatory Iranian drone and missile attacks suggests that the US-Israeli effort to destroy Iran’s ballistic missile and drone capabilities has had considerable success in disrupting Iran's ballistic missile and drone capabilities. www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/ira...
US and Israeli strikes on Iranian command-and-control networks may also be limiting Iran’s ability to launch large missile barrages.
US Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General Dan Caine noted on March 4 that Iran’s ballistic missile fire is down 86 percent compared to February 28 and has decreased 23 percent within the past 24 hours.
The IDF assessed on March 3 that the combined force had destroyed around 300 Iranian ballistic missile launchers.
Iran has launched at least 158 ballistic missiles, a total of 798 missiles, and 1,628 drones since the war started on February 28.
MORE | Iran has continued to launch a greater number of drones in its attacks as the number of ballistic missile launches continues to fall, which likely reflects the combined forces’ success in degrading Iran’s ability to launch ballistic missiles. www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/ira...
Iran will continue to attempt to disrupt international shipping through the Strait of Hormuz as part of a broader effort to impose a cost on the Gulf states using missiles and drones until the combined force degrades the ability of Iran to do so.
The combined force destroyed more provincial sites of internal and external forces key to the armed forces’ domestic control over the population in Tehran and Kurdish-populated cities in northwestern Iran.
There are reports that Kurdish groups moving from Iraqi Kurdistan have begun a cross-border ground operation in Iran. CTP-ISW has observed no corroborating evidence of such an operation, and a senior Iraqi Kurdistan official denied that any groups from Iraqi Kurdistan had begun an operation.
NEW | The IDF conducted multiple strikes at several military compounds in southeastern Tehran on March 4 that house the headquarters of several services and branches of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) as well as other internal security forces.
Russian forces are intensifying their use of drones, including Shaheds, at both the tactical and operational levels as part of their battlefield air interdiction (BAI) campaign.
