By thinking he can defy deep historical lessons...Mr Trump is taking a massive and unnecessary gamble—not just with his presidency but with the lives of countless Americans, Iranians and others. My piece on lessons from the past for @theeconomistnews.bsky.social.
www.economist.com/by-invitatio...
My piece for @foreignpolicy.com on why "Western Civilization" is such a bad basis for the Atlantic Alliance.
foreignpolicy.com/2026/02/24/w...
My statement along with 13 other former senior officials who have served in Republican and Democratic administrations on Denmark and NATO's strategic importance to the United States and the foolishness of U.S. threats against Greenland.
newsletter.ivodaalder.com/p/americas-s...
A Trump Security Guarantee is Empty, Mr. Zelensky." My new piece for @nytimes on why security for Ukraine requires concrete support, not pledges from Trump.
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/01/o...
In latest issue of Foreign Affairs, Mara Karlin and I address the stark reality that America’s allies’ can no longer count on US solidarity or support. It’s time to stop pretending the old order can be preserved and time to start working on Plan B.
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
"Fawning after the US president is not only humiliating--it doesn't work." My latest for @financialtimes.com on why allied obsequiousness is not the right way to deal with Trump.
www.ft.com/content/f883...
"There was a rationale for standing unequivocally behind Israel after the horrific Oct 7 attacks. But the argument that the US should not use its...leverage to bring the war in Gaza to an end hasn't been tenable for some time." W/ Jon finer in Politico.
www.politico.com/news/magazin...
Taiwan faces real and growing threats, but it also has good cards to play. My latest for Foreign Affairs, with Ryan Haas.
www.foreignaffairs.com/taiwan/nobod...
Gaza is not the only conflict on Israel's borders where Trump is giving Bibi a green light to pursue an extreme-right agenda. My latest for @nytimes on Israel's takeover of the West Bank.
www.nytimes.com/2025/09/18/o...
In a new piece in @justsecurity.org, I suggest looking at the 1979 Taiwan Relations Act as a model for how to offer security guarantees to Ukraine. In absence of NATO membership, not forthcoming, a long-term commitment to arm Ukraine may be the best option.
www.justsecurity.org/119517/secur...
Enjoyed my discussion with Anna Sauerbrey of Die Zeit about Trump's Ukraine summitry. The European leaders put the best possible face on their visit to the White House, but that couldn't mask the fact that they left empty-handed.
www.zeit.de/politik/ausl...
The obvious imbalance between benefits and costs of a further invasion of Gaza has pushed many of Israel’s international partners to come out against the new operation. But only Trump can change the course, writes Philip H. Gordon.
The main concern is that Trump—seemingly desperate for a summit and trade deal with Xi—will be prepared to sell out Taiwan to get it.
"Real success for Trump in Iran will require de-escalation." My take for @ft on US strikes in Iran.
www.ft.com/content/a00f...
A new nuclear deal with Iran seems implausible, until you think about how bad Iran's other options are. My piece for @nytimes on how a new deal could still be done.
www.nytimes.com/2025/06/17/o...
I spoke to Le Monde about Trump's foreign policies -- and Biden's.
archive.is/2025.06.14-1...
Much to hate about Trump foreign policy, but Democrats could learn from the willingness to challenge established orthodoxies and ignore feared political costs. My thoughts on this in @FT.
www.ft.com/content/38c7...
Trump has been threatening to finally put pressure on Moscow if Putin continues to say no to peace. Ahead of possible talks, some thoughts on how he might do that with Rebecca Lissner in Foreign Policy.
foreignpolicy.com/2025/05/12/h...
Trump wants a "better" Iran nuclear deal than Obama but also doesn't want to go to war. My thoughts for @nytopinion
on a possibly way forward:
www.nytimes.com/2025/05/10/o...
By endorsing Netanyahu’s strategy of using aid as leverage, Trump is making humanitarian catastrophe in Gaza an official policy goal, Philip H. Gordon and Andrew Miller argue.
I'm still mostly posting on the other site but will post recent publications here for those who are (understandably) not on it... Latest piece for Foreign Policy here, with Andrew Miller, on Gaza.
foreignpolicy.com/2025/04/29/t...
The case for Europe transferring frozen Russian assets to Ukraine was always strong. As Trump abandons Ukraine it has become far stronger. My new FT piece with Daleep Singh.
www.ft.com/content/f012...
And this in Foreign Policy, on how Trump sold myth that US is in economic and geopolitical decline -- which isn't true.
New piece in Foreign Affairs on strategic opportunities Trump is inheriting in the Middle East -- tempered by fear that he will squander.
Just getting set up on this site. Seems preferable to the other one.
