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AG

@anthonycgreen

On my high horse tilting at windmills and falling off.

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16.11.2024
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Latest posts by AG @anthonycgreen

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Wanted: a new Blair Labour needs a theory of capitalism.

New substack: "Being a lawyer, Sir Kier knows well the old saying, “never ask a question to which you don’t know the answer.” How to fix capitalism is one of those questions." chrisdillow.substack.com/p/wanted-a-n...

09.03.2026 09:34 👍 29 🔁 14 💬 0 📌 3
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Meet The Female Journalist Risking Her Life To Report On Women In Afghanistan An interview with Sana Atef, a reporter with the Zan Times who covers the lives and work of women in Afghanistan.

Meet The Female Journalist Risking Her Life To Report On Women In Afghanistan

08.03.2026 16:28 👍 4773 🔁 1383 💬 113 📌 69
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Whose support has Labour been losing? Welcome to the 203rd edition of The Week in Polls (TWIP), taking a look at a new and detailed study on who has switched away from Labour and why.

Whose support has Labour been losing?

08.03.2026 21:48 👍 1 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
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Lewis Baston: Two by-elections, one dent in Labour's dominance Newham has never been synonymous with electoral excitement. Labour has won 90 per cent of seats or more in every local election since 1978, and the appearance of two Greens on the council in 2022 was ...

Pollsters trying to gauge London borough elections outcomes won't get Newham (or Redbridge) right if they don't recognise challenge of local Independents. Here's @lewisbaston.bsky.social on Newham Inds taking a seat from Lab even *before* Gaza-Israel war began: www.onlondon.co.uk/newham-two-b....

08.03.2026 14:34 👍 5 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
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On #InternationalWomensDay we celebrate women. Paths they tread and their achievements. Little girl me never imagined i’d one day sit in Parliament, standing up for women & girls. But I am, thanks to generations of other women who fought, spoke up, & refused to accept things couldn’t change.
1/2

08.03.2026 09:32 👍 24 🔁 6 💬 1 📌 0

Something any half decent ward organiser should have picked up from the doorstep.
Unfortunately the party seems obstinately and inanely obsessed with talking to itself about it's "values".

07.03.2026 19:02 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

I could not agree more with the conclusion to this excellent piece from a serving Labour MP who actually understands public opinion. The party has got stuck veering back (and now perhaps forth) on the social dimension but that is not what will win back voters. They need to focus on economy full stop

07.03.2026 18:13 👍 67 🔁 21 💬 5 📌 2

"wherever we are on social issues, whichever flank we worry about, unless we are obsessing over economic insecurity, we’re not on the pitch."

07.03.2026 18:48 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

"Socially conservative, economically insecure voters are moving towards Reform.
Socially liberal, economically insecure voters are moving towards the Greens.
The mainstream parties, by contrast, are mostly holding onto their economically secure voters."

07.03.2026 18:46 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Who actually were the Hero Voters? Labour won in 2024 because of economically insecure voters, not social conservatism.

Have been a bit frustrated by some of the conversation about Labour's voter coalition.

I've written about who the "Hero Voters" actually were, how we won them, and what we need to do to earn their support next time.

chriscurtismk.substack.com/p/who-actual...

07.03.2026 16:34 👍 171 🔁 68 💬 52 📌 37
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Why New Labour was the last good government Tarnished by Iraq and Mandelson - but two new books show they made millions of lives better

ICYMI earlier, there's been a great review of my new book on the Blair years and the Third Way in @thenewworldmag.bsky.social... I think there's a whole new and exciting field of study opening up here, and I'm glad it's getting a good reception.
www.thenewworld.co.uk/ros-taylor-w...

07.03.2026 17:26 👍 17 🔁 6 💬 0 📌 3
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Keir Starmer accused of ‘mimicking Trump’ with Middle East crisis TikTok post PM justifies position on US-Israel war on Iran in social media post using the Dire Straits song Money for Nothing

🤦
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...

06.03.2026 18:42 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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From Gestalt to the Estuary - The Cynefin Co “in hoc quippe duoarum uiarum optione, in hac libertate utriusque partis, rationabilis animae decus positum est. in hoc, inquam, totius naturae nostrae consistit honor, hinc dignitas, hinc denique opt...

Another philosophical post - but an important one. It examines issues of the individual and the collective, the links between gestalt and anthro-complexity and more. thecynefin.co/from-gestalt...

06.03.2026 18:32 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

Asking this on Bluesky out of laziness, but would any south London/south London adjacent folks who work in tech be interested in taking part in a "work in progress" night to try out new talks? (quick 🧵)

04.03.2026 08:36 👍 31 🔁 14 💬 12 📌 0
Two Speeches, Two Eras: Labour’s Quest for National Cohesion. From Wilson in 1968 to Starmer in 2026, a deep dive on two major area-based strategy announcements. - History & Policy In comparing two major speeches 58 years apart, the first by Harold Wilson and the second by Keir Starmer, this policy paper by Camille Perbost identifies echoes between the attempts of these Labour p...

A very good deep dive comparing area-based social policies under both Harold Wilson and Keir Starmer here from @historyandpolicy.bsky.social. Strong recommend.
historyandpolicy.org/policy-paper...

04.03.2026 18:17 👍 18 🔁 8 💬 0 📌 2

Striking that Reform have now overtaken Labour as the party people would most like to vote against - very much matches what we heard in Gorton with many voters primary concern less merits of Lab/Green but who could best stop Reform.

03.03.2026 15:43 👍 265 🔁 83 💬 14 📌 5
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Beyond Forecasting: Using MRP (multi-level regression with post-stratification) to investigate minority political behaviour at The University of Manchester on FindAPhD.com PhD Project - Beyond Forecasting: Using MRP (multi-level regression with post-stratification) to investigate minority political behaviour at The University of Manchester, listed on FindAPhD.com

*Academics of Bluesky:* Do you know a great UG/PG student with excellent quants skills?

@nspmartin.bsky.social and I are advertising a great fully-funded PhD on MRP and minority voting with our friends at Ipsos, so send them our way! ✌️

www.findaphd.com/phds/project...

03.03.2026 16:16 👍 17 🔁 31 💬 1 📌 0

Problem is there's absolutely zero cost to being wrong over and over again so it won't matter.

02.03.2026 21:38 👍 182 🔁 26 💬 8 📌 0
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Kash Patel’s latest firings ousted agents with expertise in Iran The FBI director gutted a specialized, global espionage unit of counterintelligence agents, just days before Operation Epic Fury.

"When FBI Director Kash Patel fired a dozen FBI agents and staff last week for their role in the classified documents investigation of Donald Trump, he targeted an elite counter espionage unit that investigates threats from foreign adversaries and specializes in Iran..."
www.ms.now/news/kash-pa...

03.03.2026 02:32 👍 1559 🔁 820 💬 108 📌 112
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My (hypothetical) SRECon26 keynote One year ago, Fred Hebert and I delivered the closing keynote at SRECon25. Looking back on it now, I can hardly connect with how I felt then. Here's what I'd say one year later.

it's almost time for SRECon26, which means it's been less than a year since @ferd.ca and i were delivering the closing keynote at SRECon25.

my perspective has changed A LOT since then, and the advice i would give has changed too. i wrote it up here.

charitydotwtf.substack.com/p/my-hypothe...

03.03.2026 01:11 👍 11 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0
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Melania Trump is chairing a UN Security Council meeting.

I'm not joking.

The US currently holds the presidency of the council and that's who Trump chose as chair.

02.03.2026 20:13 👍 780 🔁 386 💬 187 📌 176

I've just returned from Cleethorpes - a forces town.
People were very apprehensive about getting drawn into a conflict initiated by a US president in whom they had very little confidence.

02.03.2026 19:01 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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St David’s 2026 a work in progress - The Cynefin Co Each thing, as far as it can by its own power, strives to persevere in its being Spinoza, Ethics It’s St David’s Day, and time to provide the annual update on methods, tools, acronyms, software, and f...

Annual St David's Day update on where we are with various methods, tools, frameworks etc. thecynefin.co/st-davids-20...

01.03.2026 17:59 👍 0 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Twelvetide 25:10 Twelvetide & the Ritual Calendar - The Cynefin Co Perdurability in Time He had expected pictures, like the ones in books — things he could examine and set aside. But the spirit did not show him pictures. It brought him back inside them, so that he fe...

'Twelvetide the Ritual Calendar’ using Dickens’s A Christmas Carol as the epigram. “The Wayshaper who attends to an organisation’s ritual calendar is attending to one of the most important and most neglected instruments of perdurability.”

thecynefin.co/twelvetide-2...

01.03.2026 08:40 👍 0 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

The lesson from Gorton & Denton is my view from The Overton Window.

01.03.2026 08:07 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Although those who've read up on their of political history will recall that when a leader calls a "who governs election" an unpredictable electorate is just as likely to throw back the answer "not you."

28.02.2026 17:27 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Sensible stuff on Gorton & Denton from Tom Watson tomwatsonofficial.substack.com/p/a-party-ca...

28.02.2026 17:08 👍 20 🔁 10 💬 11 📌 4
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Martin Fowler told me the second edition should be shorter (it's twice as long) 90% new material, a clearer mission, and a rogues gallery of contributors. The second edition of Observability Engineering is almost done.

Yesterday, I wrote the first half of a two-parter on the second edition of "Observability Engineering".

Yes, it's twice as long as the first one (oops) but I think it's a *much* better book.

charitydotwtf.substack.com/p/observabil... (by @gmiranda98.bsky.social, @lizthegrey.com, @aparker.io & me)

19.02.2026 01:28 👍 39 🔁 5 💬 5 📌 1
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No more safe seats: the Greens take Gorton and Denton – podcast John Harris, Pippa Crerar and Kiran Stacey chat through all the fallout from the Green Party’s historic byelection win in Gorton and Denton. And, look at what could happen next.

🚨No more safe seats: the Greens take Gorton and Denton

Have a listen to our #PoliticsWeekly podcast for all the latest on this consequential by-election

With me, @johnharris1969.bsky.social & @kiranstacey.bsky.social @theguardian.com

www.theguardian.com/politics/aud...

27.02.2026 17:45 👍 94 🔁 20 💬 10 📌 2

As the analysis starts of the Gorton and Denton result, I wanted to flag some aspects that my experience yesterday suggests are being over or under-played

(Caveats - I went to Longsight, Gorton and Denton town centres and spoke to as many people as I could, but it was mostly during the working day)

27.02.2026 10:16 👍 390 🔁 162 💬 12 📌 51