Paul Manson

Voters ages 65+ are likely to make up 47% of the Oregon primary electorate this year.

This assumes a turnout of the average of the 2018/2022 primaries.

Episode 14: Paul Gronke & Paul Manson. What do we know about local election officials? The Election Science Office Hours Podcast · Episode

Working out this weekend? Spring break? Driving trip? Listen to the Election Science Office Hours podcast on Spotify and Apple! I've got @pgronke.bsky.social and @paulonabike.bsky.social on, talking about everything they've learned about local election officials.

open.spotify.com/episode/1vwB...

Election Science Office Hours with Paul Gronke and Paul Manson, Researchers from EVIC YouTube video by Linde Center for Science, Society, and Policy

Okay, #bsky folks. Election Science Office Hours is back. Had a wide-ranging conversation with @pgronke.bsky.social and @paulonabike.bsky.social from @electionsvoting.bsky.social. We talked about some of their intriguing results from their remarkable LEO survey. Watch!

youtu.be/wl3mSDlJ6LU?...

This guy is literally trying to access your banking information via the IRS.
www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...

The NFL is removing 'End Racism' from its Super Bowl end zone Here's what the decision by America's favorite sports league tells us about "anticipatory obedience."

Here's what the decision by America's favorite sports league tells us about "anticipatory obedience."

2024 EVIC LEO Survey Report – Elections & Voting Information Center Reed College |3203 SE Woodstock Blvd,  Portland, OR 97202

Our friends at @electionsvoting.bsky.social have officially launched the results of the 2024 Local Election Official Survey! Check it out for an unparalleled look at how election officials are doing, organizational challenges they face, and voter experiences:

2024 Local Election Official Survey results are available today. The link to the report is below.

● Job satisfaction is at 77% down from 91% in 2020.

● 41% are eligible to retire.

● 14% of LEOs have considered leaving their roles due to safety concerns.

evic.reed.edu/2024-evic-le...

Today the @electionsvoting.bsky.social team has released our 2024 Findings from the Local Election Official Survey. The report details the profesisonal, organizational, and personal challenges officials faced in 2024.

evic.reed.edu/2024-evic-le...

CalFire site shows all the L.A. fires are 97% or more contained right now. I'm in awe of the hard work it took to get to this and hoping it keeps going in the right direction weather-wise and in every way. www.fire.ca.gov

F.C.C. Chair Orders Investigation Into NPR and PBS Stations Brendan Carr, the chairman of the Federal Communications Commission, recently expressed concern about NPR’s and PBS’s sponsorships.

Famed concern of the American people: underwriting length.

Public media is a threat to power because we don't operate inside the corporate levers and don't have billionaire owners who can kill coverage they don't like. Simple as that.

A NYTimes editor is fist pumping for this solid dad joke they printed.

The nation’s election administrators remain on edge, survey finds “Please, become a doctor. Become a lawyer. Be a mathematician,” says Colorado’s election director. “Don’t do this. … That is the way I view this job.”

My team at @electionsvoting.bsky.social will be releasing findings from our 2024 Local Election Official Survey next week. In advance some key findings are shared today in this Votebeat story. Despite a rapid and clear recent election, many stresses remain.

www.votebeat.org/2025/01/30/e...

Audit data presentation at #SPSA2025 by @mitelectionlab.bsky.social team led by Sam Baltz and team. Amazing data collection challenges to explore impacts of audit.

For my election nerd friends. A live pod cast taping at the #SPSA2025 conference in Puerto Rico. @pgronke.bsky.social with Eric Fey, Brianna Lennon, and Jackie Wu.

Excited to join the SPSA meeting and share our research on elections. Bummed @alaskaair.bsky.social thinks Puerto Rico is not part of the US. Our colonial history has made a lasting impact on the island. But it is America.

Took some time to wander with family and try and unplug.

Amazing reporting — wild to see how this unfolds in the story.

Another election photo from the archive; this is also from the LA County "Got Dots?" voter information campaign in 2004.

Music Box: Yacht Rock: A Dockumentary | Official Trailer | HBO YouTube video by HBO

The HBO Yacht Rock documentary is outstanding. Great series of stories about the era, the music business, mixing cultural forces, and connections to hip hop.

youtu.be/a55pyQsI3GQ?...

Local Election Administrators in the United States This book focuses on 8,000+ local elections administrators in counties and townships who largely manage the key administrative processes of elections

New edited volume with @pgronke.bsky.social, @christiangrose.bsky.social, David Kimball, Mara Suttman-Lea, Thessalia Merivaki, and Bridgett King on election administration! Excited to contribute to this collaboration built on the Local Election Official Survey. link.springer.com/book/10.1007...

UPDATE: The tsunami threat has now passed, according to the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center.

Here's what we know. #Tsunami Warning in effect, first one in Contig. US in IEM's text database that goes back to the 1980s.

Time Travel map issued by Tsunami.gov

Warning on Calif. & Oregon Coasts

One buoy is reporting an "event"

gtsummary is amazing.

Preface | Analyzing US Census Data This book is an overview of how practitioners can acquire, wrangle, visualize, and model US Census data with the R programming language.

Release day for the 2019-2023 5-year American Community Survey data is one week away!

On release day, you'll be able to use the tidycensus #rstats package to get your hands on it right away.

Want to learn how? My book Analyzing US Census Data is a great way to start:

walker-data.com/cens...

I am just starting to explore our initial results from the @electionsvoting.bsky.social Local Election Official Survey. Job satisfaction remains high, though one question we ask if election admins would recommend their children go into election admin - that number has fallen from 41% in 2023.

Kicking off the BPC 2024 Election Summit with @paulonabike.bsky.social

Great event and excited to see the repurposed Newseum.

Posts on X.com from Portland Fire & Rescue that read: Crews responding to a reported structure fire in NW Portland, 911 caller reports smoke on the 3rd floor of this 3 story apartment building. (posted 5 minutes later) This was burnt food, incident has been recalled.

Happy Thanksgiving!

Rest up and crush it.

Fun fact: DC has had a rough year and we deserve a Spirit win