scott rosenstein

'Economically Indefensible': Trump's Bad Tariff Math Was Too Stupid To Implement No one in the Trump White House wanted to take credit for the administration’s “extremely bad” tariff math, which has been paused for now.

File under ICAGS

it can always get stupider
www.rollingstone.com/politics/pol...

Fingers crossed. Ambition is a hellofa drug.

An unvaccinated adult was confirmed positive for #measles after death. The cause of death is under investigation. The adult lived in Lea county, New Mexico where there have been 9 cases of measles for far this year.

More here:
www.nmhealth.org/news/alert/2...

The case for vaccine optimism What happens when the ambulance chaser becomes the ambulance?

My piece yesterday in the Contrarian - for those of you in the market for some (heavily caveated) optimism...

contrarian.substack.com/p/the-case-f...

The irony of them deleting the term "confirmation bias" is... something.

The RFK Jr. Playbook Deny excellent studies, promote poor studies, and call anyone who disagrees with you a shill for Big Pharma

It’s very straightforward

Strategy #1: Deny the existence of studies that don’t support your position.

Strategy #2: Promote any study that supports your position, no matter how poorly done.

open.substack.com/pub/pauloffi...

Also, he was voted the loser of this debate by the listeners. I wonder how much the loss convinced him to abandon his approach. But also, the “winner”’s predictions did not age well

Not only has he changed his tune, he has become the polarizing, politicized, ideological flamethrower he so eloquently criticizes here

it's quite a time capsule

Were the Lockdowns a Mistake? A Soho Forum Debate "The lockdown has saved hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of lives and spared American hospitals the horrors of rationing…

Hopefully you have heard his debate for Reason magazine where he lays out an argument he will eventually abandon entirely in the name clout and attention.
reason.com/podcast/2020...

"Dr. Kulldorff knows all this of course...In an earlier article titled Study Designs for the Safety Evaluation of Different Childhood Immunization Schedules he said:

It would be unethical to do a randomized trial where children in one arm are completely unvaccinated."

Watch how the measles outbreak spreads when kids get vaccinated – and when they don't If you take 10 communities and run a simulation, it’s easy to see why we need as many members of the ‘herd’ as possible to get vaccines – before it’s too late

Because who doesn't love a good simulation of measles vaccination and herd immunity? www.theguardian.com/society/ng-i...

In 2023 RFK JR said the reason Nigeria’s COVID death rate was low was because everyone there took HCQ every week. 2023. Will he be reconsidering?

Colleague working with ECDC and DRC MoH responding to outbreak in Panzi just provided me with some details on epi investigation:
- 330 cases in total, 318 recovered without sequelae
- 25 ongoing cases
-27 official deaths
- 60% female, 22% young children <5
- symptoms- fever, pain cough, headache,

A single mutation in bovine influenza H5N1 hemagglutinin switches specificity to human receptors

First reported human-infecting bovine H5N1 virus revealed avian-type receptor binding preference switching HA binding specificity to human-type receptors

www.science.org/doi/...
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Cause of outbreak in DRC still being investigated, health officials say A disease outbreak in a remote region of the Democratic Republic of the Congo has caused 79 deaths. Health officials are still investigating the cause.

"...at this point it is not known if the illness is being caused by an infectious disease, and if it is, whether the source is bacterial or viral."

www.statnews.com/2024/12/05/m...

The 180 flip flop from”right to try” to “no vaccines without 100% efficacy and 20 years of unattainable safety data is quite a shift

Yea this is the Unelected Federal Bureaucrats 4 Me But Not 4 Thee (UFB4MBN4T) strategy

I’m continuously surprised that this question doesn’t get more attention

I’m continuously surprised that this question doesn’t get more attention

I refer to this as the 180 degree flip flop from herd immunity triumphalism to mass death defeatism. I.e a conclusion in search of evidence. From

www.nytimes.com/2024/11/27/o...

Vaccine-derived type 2 #polio virus has been detected in wastewater surveillance in four German cities (Munich, Bonn, Cologne and Hamburg) according to the Robert Koch-Institut, suggesting the virus is circulating. No polio cases or suspected polio cases have been reported. #idsky
🧪

California reports finding #H5 #birdflu virus in raw milk bought in a store.
How risky H5-containing raw milk is to humans isn't clear. Here's hoping we're not about to find out. www.statnews.com/2024/11/24/b...

will this type of revelation offset all of the sanewashing currently underway?

Grocers report egg shortage ahead of holidays amid surging bird flu Avian influenza has affected more than 108 million poultry in 48 states since 2022, lifting prices and diminishing supply.

H5N1 is once again causing egg shortages. We continue to underestimate the economic and health threats posed by this virus. www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...

I’m enjoying the 2019 vibes for now

Are we defining population burden broadly to mean total number of cases and deaths per year? In both senses it seems like Covid does not = flu yet but it’s getting there.