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@notayesmansecon

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09.09.2024
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Latest posts by @notayesmansecon

Thank you to the ladies of Battersea Park Zumba who were in fine form earlier 💃💃💃💃💃💃💃💃💃💃💃

07.03.2026 14:03 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

The UK government bond market had an awful week with bond yields soaring so I am afraid that higher mortgage rates are on their way. More in the link.
notayesmanseconomics.wordpress.com/2026/03/06/t...

07.03.2026 09:16 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

UK Wind Power has rallied to 6GW this morning. With 1.5GW of Solar we are burning 10.2GW of Gas as well as importing 7.7GW. Hydro is 0.4GW. Nuclear is 3.3GW and the awful Biomass 2.6GW The price of wholesale electricity over the past 24 hours was £119 per MWh. #renewables

07.03.2026 08:39 👍 37 🔁 5 💬 0 📌 1

Good Morning All

07.03.2026 08:35 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Agreed.

06.03.2026 17:30 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

UK ten-year yield rises to 4.7% Klaxon.

06.03.2026 15:44 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Notayesmanspodcast368 This is the latest in my series of podcasts explaining how economics works in the credit crunch and now virus pandemic era. This week I give my thoughts on the January weakening in UK money supply gro

This week I give my thoughts on the January weakening in UK money supply growth.
Q: will 10 year UK Gilt rate hit 5% this time?
Given the ECB is 100% to raise rates if this war prolongs, do you think Bailey will abandon QT, raise rates or both?

soundcloud.com/shaun-richar...

06.03.2026 12:53 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
The UK government bond market is having an awful week with implications for mortgage rates This morning has seen a repetition of what has been a clear trend this week. The UK bond market has been falling again which we can add to the falls from earlier this week. It has been almost relentless with only one short-livid bounce before falling again. The main UK Gilt futures contract has fallen another half-point to 90.70 already today.

The UK government bond market is having an awful week with implications for mortgage rates

This morning has seen a repetition of what has been a clear trend this week. The UK bond market has been falling again which we can add to the falls from earlier this week. It has been almost relentless with…

06.03.2026 11:14 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

UK ten-year yield rises to 4.6% Klaxon.

06.03.2026 10:29 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

If you have a question for my weekly economics and financial markets podcast then please let me know.

06.03.2026 10:01 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

UK Wind Power has plunged this morning which is bad news when we are in the middle of an energy crisis.

06.03.2026 09:02 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0

More bad news for UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves as the UK bond market is falling again and the ten-year yield has risen to 4.56% this morning.

06.03.2026 08:50 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 1

UK Wind Power has plunged to 2.9GW this morning. With 1GW of Solar we are burning 19.8GW of Gas as well as importing 5.9GW. Hydro is 0.8GW. Nuclear is 3.4GW and the awful Biomass 2.8GW The price of wholesale electricity over the past 24 hours was £108 per MWh. #renewables

06.03.2026 08:38 👍 60 🔁 8 💬 8 📌 1

Good Morning All

06.03.2026 08:34 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

The report only goes to detail of 0.1GW so I assume that it has not reached that level.

05.03.2026 22:14 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

If the UK moved "air defence missiles" to Cyprus in January and February as Prime Minister Starmer claimed earlier how come there aren't any there?

05.03.2026 17:34 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
China wants its banks to be as successful as its manufacturers It is time for us to again look East as China has made some economic announcements. At the NPC and CPPCC conference it has announced this. BEIJING, March 5 (Xinhua) -- China targets an economic growth of 4.5 percent to 5 percent this year and will strive for better in practice, according to a government work report submitted Thursday to the country's top legislature for deliberation.

China wants its banks to be as successful as its manufacturers

It is time for us to again look East as China has made some economic announcements. At the NPC and CPPCC conference it has announced this. BEIJING, March 5 (Xinhua) -- China targets an economic growth of 4.5 percent to 5 percent this…

05.03.2026 11:08 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

More bad news for UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves with the UK bond or Gilt market back under pressure. The UK ten-year yield is back up to 4.5%.

05.03.2026 08:55 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

UK Wind Power has rallied to 10.5GW this morning. With 3.1GW of Solar we are burning 9.1GW of Gas as well as importing 6.9GW. Hydro is 0.6GW. Nuclear is 3.3GW and the awful Biomass 2.8GW The price of wholesale electricity over the past 24 hours was £115 per MWh. #renewables

05.03.2026 08:45 👍 95 🔁 21 💬 5 📌 2

Good Morning All

05.03.2026 08:41 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

The problem for UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves was the downgrade to expected GDP growth for this year. That follows 2 quarters where GDP growth was a mere 0.1%.

04.03.2026 12:10 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
What did we learn from the UK Spring Statement? Yesterday saw one of the set piece events in the UK economic calendar as Chancellor Rachel Reeves presented the Spring Statement which being called the Spring Forecast. There was an element of really bad luck and indeed timing as the conflict in the Gulf of Arabia made some of what she said laughable in present circumstances. The irony here was that there was some better news in an area which was being hit hard.

What did we learn from the UK Spring Statement?

Yesterday saw one of the set piece events in the UK economic calendar as Chancellor Rachel Reeves presented the Spring Statement which being called the Spring Forecast. There was an element of really bad luck and indeed timing as the conflict in the…

04.03.2026 11:16 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 1

The price of Brent Crude Oil is up 3% this morning at just below US $84 per barrel.

04.03.2026 09:05 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

I remember the FT trying that line and making a fool of itself. I would stick to politics if I was you.

04.03.2026 08:56 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

So you are saying you just want to keep increasing everyone's energy bills?

04.03.2026 08:50 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

The UK Gilt or bond market remains under pressure this morning as the futures contract falls again. The ten-year yield is now at 4.5%.
Not what Chancellor Rachel Reeves wanted as a backdrop to her #SpringStatement

04.03.2026 08:47 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

UK Wind Power has rallied to 7.7GW this morning. With 2.4GW of Solar we are burning 12.2GW of Gas as well as importing 6.9GW. Hydro is 0.8GW. Nuclear is 3.3GW and the awful Biomass 2.7GW The price of wholesale electricity over the past 24 hours was £118.51 per MWh. #renewables

04.03.2026 08:38 👍 62 🔁 14 💬 1 📌 0

Good Morning All

04.03.2026 08:35 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

It was not the best of days for UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves to make a #SpringStatement . Just as she was boasting she had reduced bond spreads with other nations they widened quite noticeably.

03.03.2026 19:28 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves is clearly hoping that people will not know that UK bond yields were driven higher by her extra borrowing in the October 2024 Budget. #SpringStatement

03.03.2026 12:58 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0