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Michael Horowitz

@michaelhorowitz

Geopolitical and security analyst, Views are my own.

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Latest posts by Michael Horowitz @michaelhorowitz

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Fire in Ras Tanura, Saudi Arabia, following an Iranian drone attack

02.03.2026 07:23 πŸ‘ 24 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

#Breaking an official with the EU naval mission Aspides says vessels have been receiving transmission from Iran's revolutionary guards saying no ship is allowed to pass the strait of Hormuz

28.02.2026 15:30 πŸ‘ 198 πŸ” 82 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 32

Iran's defense minister Amir Nasirzadeh and Revolutionary Guards ​commander β€ŒMohammed Pakpour are reportedly killed in Israeli strikes β€” Reuters

28.02.2026 14:28 πŸ‘ 36 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 2

#Breaking | Trump tells Iranians: β€œWhen we are finished, take over your government, it will be yours to take. This will probably be your only chance for generations.”

28.02.2026 07:53 πŸ‘ 30 πŸ” 16 πŸ’¬ 8 πŸ“Œ 6

#Breaking | President Trump says the US military has begun major combat operations in Iran, a short time ago.

28.02.2026 07:34 πŸ‘ 16 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
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The US authorized the departure of non-emergency personnel and family members from Israel due to "safety risks".

27.02.2026 09:25 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

Zelenskiy says he thinks a new trilateral meeting between Ukraine, the US, and Russia will take place in early March

25.02.2026 09:17 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The US Embassy in Lebanon evacuated dozens of its employees today via Rafik Hariri International Airport as a precautionary measure in light of anticipated regional developments, according to information obtained by Lebanese news channel LBCI.

23.02.2026 12:01 πŸ‘ 26 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The UAE says it has successfully thwarted organized cyber attacks of a "terrorist nature" that targeted its digital infrastructure and vital sectors in an attempt to "destabilize the nation and disrupt essential services"

21.02.2026 20:28 πŸ‘ 23 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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US removing guardrails from proposed Saudi nuclear deal, document says Trump has told Congress he is pursuing a civil nuclear pact with Saudi Arabia that does not include non-proliferation safeguards the U.S. has long said would ensure the kingdom does not develop nuclea...

US removing guardrails from proposed Saudi nuclear deal, document says

www.reuters.com/world/us/us-...

20.02.2026 11:08 πŸ‘ 13 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1

White House spokesperson Karoline Leavitt says there are β€œmany arguments one could make” for a strike on Iran. She says Tehran β€œwould be wise to make a deal.”

18.02.2026 18:54 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 0
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Exclusive | U.S. Smuggled Thousands of Starlink Terminals Into Iran After Protest Crackdown The Trump administration covertly sent terminals into Iran in an effort to keep dissidents online following Tehran’s stifling of internet access.

U.S. Smuggled Thousands of Starlink Terminals Into Iran After Protest Crackdown

www.wsj.com/world/middle...

12.02.2026 18:29 πŸ‘ 23 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Unpacking Netanyahu’s rush to Washington His meeting with Trump on 11 February, moved up a full week from its original date and just after talks began between Iran and the US, isn't a routine consultation between alliesβ€”it's an intervention

Unpacking Netanyahu’s rush to Washington

My new long-read analysis

en.majalla.com/node/329612/...

11.02.2026 19:21 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Ali Larijani, the secretary of Iran's national security council, will visit Oman on Tuesday

09.02.2026 11:28 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

US Energy Secretary Chris Wright will soon travel to Venezuela to meet its leaders and discuss the future of its state-run oil company

09.02.2026 10:35 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Israel may strike Iran alone, defense officials warn US | The Jerusalem Post β€œWe told the Americans we will strike alone if Iran crosses the red line we set on ballistic missiles,” the source said, adding that Israel is not yet at that threshold.

Israel warns Trump: We may act alone if Iran crosses ballistic missile red line

www.jpost.com/israel-news/...

08.02.2026 16:16 πŸ‘ 19 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1
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I thought Canadians were nice.

How Mark Carney stole my book idea, named the geopolitical rupture of our time, and told America to buzz offβ€”all in one Davos speech.

Read more: open.substack.com/pub/atimeofm...

06.02.2026 12:27 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Iranian Foreign Minister on negotiating with the US: "We need to see preconditions and an agenda first"

"We are ready for negotiations, but we are also ready for war"

30.01.2026 11:55 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump vs Iran: What now?

My analysis

open.substack.com/pub/atimeofm...

30.01.2026 11:55 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Israel says Hamas may soon cede Gaza to technocrats, but will keep grip on Strip Disarmament seen as unlikely without years-long military campaign, security official says, adding that terror group's civil servants and police force could take year to replace

Israel says Hamas may soon cede Gaza to technocrats, but will keep grip on Strip

www.timesofisrael.com/israel-says-...

29.01.2026 06:29 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Iran 'Practically Naked' If US Attacks, But Can Retaliate With Force Iran would be unable to repel a possible US air attack but has the capability to retaliate against US military and commercial interests in the region, experts said.

Iran 'Practically Naked' If US Attacks, But Can Retaliate With Force

With some of my thoughts on hashtag#Iran's remaining military capabilities.

www.rferl.org/a/iran-us-is...

28.01.2026 17:30 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

President Trump says "It's time to look for new leadership in #Iran", in a Politico interview

17.01.2026 16:41 πŸ‘ 13 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0
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Iran vs US: Is Trump bluffing to buy time, or really climbing down the escalation ladder?

I explore the question in my latest newsletter
open.substack.com/pub/atimeofm...

16.01.2026 08:11 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Trump when asked if military action on Iran is off the table: We will watch and see what the process is and go from there

14.01.2026 20:38 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

German authorities have issued a new NOTAM cautioning German airlines from entering Iranian airspace - Flightradar24

14.01.2026 19:56 πŸ‘ 26 πŸ” 14 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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Undated video of security forces moving to crack down on protests in #Iran

14.01.2026 18:19 πŸ‘ 21 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

#New: US tells personnel in Saudi Arabia to exercise caution

14.01.2026 15:25 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Trump on US allies in Iran: I think they should get out.

13.01.2026 18:37 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Israel sharpens its focus amid growing unrest in Iran Last year's 12-day war with Iran was ostensibly aimed at its nuclear programme. This time, the regime is significantly weakened, presenting an opportunity Israel may feel it can't miss.

Israel sharpens its focus amid growing unrest in Iran

My latest analysis on Israel's view of the protests in Iran

en.majalla.com/node/329148/...

12.01.2026 06:46 πŸ‘ 22 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 1
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Protest tonight in Heravi, Tehran

10.01.2026 17:03 πŸ‘ 75 πŸ” 22 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 3