very reasonable, thanks for sharing your perspective!
05.03.2026 17:22
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very reasonable, thanks for sharing your perspective!
Younger Americans are struggling through an affordability crisis.
Their parents are sitting on $90 trillion in cash, investments and home equity, with many of them waiting until they die to pass it on.
Why aren't more people giving while living?
www.optimisticallie.com/p/giving-whi...
thx Steve!
thx Dave! from little peanut-sized fetuses at CK to real babes 🙂
thx Linda!
I can always rely on you for this meme 😂
Friends, meet Theodore Patterson Cox & Isabel Marilyn Cox, born January 12.
Everybody is happy, healthy and thriving (although Mom and Dad are admittedly exhausted).
I wrote a stream of consciousness on some of the most important work I'll ever do.
www.optimisticallie.com/p/theo-and-i...
I can’t get past the “less payrolls” (fewer)
Treat your central bank like a third-world country, trade like a third-world country.
bsky.app/profile/apne...
really hope he keeps his word this time 🫠
“This is about whether the Fed will be able to continue to set interest rates based on evidence and economic conditions—or whether instead monetary policy will be directed by political pressure or intimidation”
It’s about time the Fed took the gloves off
www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/s...
Josh would never
Noooooooooooooo 🫠 where to even start here...
Oh it's 100% true. Said it directly to me, too.
Several years ago, a male colleague told me how unfair it is that women get a three-month vacation in maternity leave
Boy do I think about that comment a lot as I vomit and waddle my way to the finish line.
I'm on maternity leave, and OptimistiCallie is on a publishing hiatus.
But I wanted to leave you a gift in one of my most-read posts of all time during a season to focus on all that really matters 🎁
www.optimisticallie.com/p/all-that-r...
1/ I strongly endorse this op-ed by @marthagimbel.bsky.social of @budgetlab.bsky.social in @theargumentmag.bsky.social .
open.substack.com/pub/theargum...
ugh god ty for flagging
Our first research paper is out, too!
Download it here: www.wisdomtree.com/bannerads/ri...
PERSONAL(ISH) NEWS:
I hate slop research.
And I'm building a research business with @thecompoundnews.bsky.social
optimisticallie.com/p/slop-resea...
The Beige Book says employment is contracting, ADP says employment is contracting, the BLS says unemployment is going up, continuing jobless claims are rising, and WARN notices are up. It's very clear what's going on in the labor market, but stocks are up so people brush it off.
Thankful for all of you ❤️ 🦃
🎶 Do you have to?
do you have to?
do you have to let it linger? 🎶
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Ooooo, AP style strikes again (I had almost wiped it from my mind!)
I'm offended they have to put our city AND state here like c'mon
You, the halfway tuned in cousin: wow Fed members really agree on nothing huh
Me, a Fed nerd: yeah well that's what happens when the two sides of the dual mandate are in conflict OK? nobody agrees on which target to shoot at. btw pass the potatoes
The unemployment rate moved higher in September, mainly because people permanently lost their jobs.
In fact, permanent job losers were the largest contribution to the 12-bp rise in unemployment.
Higher unemployment can be good or bad.
This is bad.
to eat more zebra cakes
🔭 NEW OPTIMISTICALLIE 🔭
The themes/stories I'm watching as we turn the calendar
No targets. No predictions. No marketing gimmicks.
Just the good stuff.
www.optimisticallie.com/p/the-2026-o...