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Bloody Mat Conner

@matconner

Bad pun enthusiast. Mediocre chess player. Big fan of gambling. Tai’shar Manetheren. (@ballfromgrace on Twitter)

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18.08.2023
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Latest posts by Bloody Mat Conner @matconner

Igor might have the shortest Tudor reign since Lady Jane Grey.

05.03.2026 20:57 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Malen just so good at getting into the spaces between/behind defenders

01.03.2026 21:10 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

1-1 feels like the spiritually correct score for Parma-Cagliari

27.02.2026 21:41 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Note to self: leg day and fencing day should never overlap

27.02.2026 03:45 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

More like UniversiBad imo

26.02.2026 11:51 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Also working on building this out for most of the other European leagues. Hoping to eventually use those for cross league comparison, aging curves, comparison for transfer values, etc

24.02.2026 22:21 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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And for personal purposes, here’s the look at Roma’s squad last year. I separated players in to qualified/non qualified by minutes played. #roma

24.02.2026 18:58 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Obviously the biggest question then is “who are the good players” and I can say without a doubt that these were the best players in 2025 and all other opinions are wrong

24.02.2026 18:57 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

(Part of this is also just confirmation that the xT model is working okay, I think)

24.02.2026 14:30 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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Also wanted to compare the sum of the impact for players and how it compares to team performance. Weighting by minutes played, the xT net for players explains about 75% of the variance in goal differential.

24.02.2026 14:29 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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Overall the net impacts were more stable than the off/def only sides. Also not a surprise: players that played more had more stable numbers. Here’s correlation for each stat by minutes cutoff for all players. These improve by a few points if you restrict to players that remained on the same team

24.02.2026 14:26 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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Put together some basketball-style on-off ratings for xG and expected threat (xT) for Serie A. Not huge correlation for players with minimal minutes, but looks a little better when you set the cutoff using FB Ref’s qualifying thresholds (30 mins per match)

24.02.2026 14:24 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 1

THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA IS THE BEST COUNTRY TO EVER EXIST IN THE SPORT OF HOCKEY.

22.02.2026 15:54 👍 10 🔁 5 💬 4 📌 0

Same story but for Romeo and Juliet.

20.02.2026 20:14 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

I wrote about the Fire and have some pretty big questions about how they're going to fill a Brian Gutiérrez-sized hole in the team.

16.02.2026 15:39 👍 3 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0

Check out my hovercraft taxi service sometime. We work tirelessly to get you home safely.

14.02.2026 02:46 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Second straight Super Bowl in which a dude named Drake has been mercilessly bullied

09.02.2026 02:21 👍 268 🔁 86 💬 4 📌 5

I think you could make an argument that he had control when it touched the ground but I understand ruling it incomplete

09.02.2026 01:07 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Would agree with everything in here. The @americansoccerinsights.com summit was a great experience all around.

07.02.2026 23:52 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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10/10 recipe. I know a recipe is a winner when both kids ask for seconds.

07.02.2026 23:43 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
xOG Live in Houston 2026, with Catalina Bush & Chloe Dhillon!
xOG Live in Houston 2026, with Catalina Bush & Chloe Dhillon! YouTube video by Expected Own Goals

We had so much fun at the @americansoccerinsights.com Summit last year, we had to come back for another live pod! We were joined by @catabush.com and Houston Dash analyst Chloe Dhillon for a great talk about the state of data in the women's game, for the public and for teams. Enjoy!

06.02.2026 18:30 👍 8 🔁 4 💬 1 📌 1

@iankarmel.bsky.social I have a question for the AFE crew: If you were in the Olympics, would you rather walk in with a huge team like the US, or a team that only has like 2 people?

06.02.2026 20:38 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Happy Ratboys day to all who celebrate

06.02.2026 17:53 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

LOL I created an account months ago and then just left it dormant for forever, so it’s not as if I’ve been super active with it.

06.02.2026 17:08 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

@therealhrdlicka.bsky.social looking for food recs for Vegas. Got anything? Most of the recs I’ve gotten so far have been Asian food so if you have any other cuisines I’ll gladly take them

06.02.2026 16:39 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0

It’s so good at this. If you’re able to clearly explain what you want or need something rewritten, it can save so much time.

05.02.2026 23:08 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Imagine making transfer offers for players based solely on these ratings

05.02.2026 03:45 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

The Comedy of Errors is what you’d get if Shakespeare wrote a 3 Stooges movie

05.02.2026 02:53 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Fancy Stats commissioned a bunch of articles about the 2018 World Cup from American Soccer Analysis writers.

I will not apologize for any contribution I have made to the shift from open play to set piece scoring.

www.washingtonpost.com/news/fancy-s...

04.02.2026 16:30 👍 11 🔁 3 💬 1 📌 0

Planning a Vegas trip for March Madness. Will take any recommendations available for both sports books, hotels, and food.

04.02.2026 17:01 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0