I have to say, I couldn’t have predicted how bad Musk’s ownership would be. Bad, yes. This bad, no.
“Extend the light of consciousness,” though? I would have laughed hard and long at that, even in high school.
You would sound just as silly by saying, “Musk clearly has a lot of magic points.”
Block and give him no further attention
Losses are to be expected, but i don't think the US has enough C-UAS assets in theater. For a long time now, there has been a particular lack of passive defense planning by the US for its IAMD assets. I can't say this loss was totally unexpected, it was eventually bound to happen.
Great post and thread.
One nitpick, and please take it as such. This admin doesn’t care about $200M. (I do)
Key question: What is the lead time to *make* more?
You cover the lead time to move, which is obviously good to know.
I feel like this admin is about to rediscover wars of attrition.
The weirdest part of the early Internet was how unequally distributed it was, even in Silicon Valley.
In ~1985 my roommate was at Sun and using Usenet at work. I work at a chip company and was oblivious to it before he showed me, one weekend.
I think we had CD players long before home internet.
Homage to Catatonia. 😄😄😄
And the U.S. Army didn’t buy loads of Gepards, either, right?
Because (a) we are “smarter” than that or (b) they’re not made in the USA?
The U.S. learned that Saggers were deadly in 1973. And reacted. Seems weird to not internalize Shahed lessons of the last 4 years.
Odysseus had his crew lash him to the mast to keep him from doing an interview with Chotiner.
(Efficient market hypothesis) not, in Boolean terms.
Could not agree more.
Not like I want oil at 100 USD/barrel, but I think your take is more accurate than the so-called wisdom of crowds.
anti-trans Dems ate shit last night
Listening to Dick Dale and cooking, because I am up early.
Cooking is better than thinking how my 8th grade wargamer buddies were better at planning than the current admin.
A slightly more generous take.
TV depictions of life do not accurately mirror society, for example the size of the apartment of young New Yorkers in Friends.
This specific example came up when I first visited Hong Kong in 1992. “Wow, their flat is huge.”
That said, many Americans are ignorant.
Cannot help but feel like Hegseth is in charge of a 3-day special military operation.
Really hope I am wrong.
Maybe having a shitposter in charge of the DoD wasn’t a good idea, huh.
It’s should not be a surprise, but here I am, at 0700 on a Monday, stunned at how stupid his remarks are. (A me problem, I know)
2022: Ukraine asks to close the sky
2026: Ukraine is asked to close the sky
I think that this is *technically* correct. The Iranians were not attacking the U.S. until 1979.
We, on the other hand…
I call this the 2 mistresses trick.
Wife: do you have a mistress?
Wayward Husband: no. [unsaid, I have two]
Note: I may be giving Mr S entirely too much credit for subtlety.
I was looking forward to seeing that at Chino, sometime in the future.
My parents were not enamored of Stevenson, but they loathed Ike.
My dad, “he was a dud of a president.”
Dad, 1932~1990, talking to me when I was in HS in the 1970s.
They were lifelong democratic voters, but pretty clear-eyed in their analysis.
Small domino: 1848 is even more a a reactionary victory for old-style managed plurality empires
Big domino: Michael Chabon's The Martian Policeman's Union
I am going to link to organizations that I know for sure are helping trans Kansans. This thread will develop slowly as I either know people or will vet them.
At this point we have not heard from anyone being helped via relocation resources. These exist, but I assume they are overwhelmed.
Thank you! Donated.
Unbelievable that we still talk about withholding HIV funding as a form of political maneuvering rather than an act of social murder, as if the 80’s + 90’s never happened and we didn’t lose an entire generation to this already.
This may be different at non-tech companies, I don’t know.
The contingency planning is a constraint. Don’t want the USS Gerald R Ford to be sunk? Don’t put it at risk.
This is another side effect of expertise aversion.
Again, I think it’s bad, but it’s who they are.
3/3
Let me make an observation from the business world. (I work in high tech, in semiconductors.)
Many CEOs hate contingency planning. They like “aggressive” plans.
I have heard “burn the boats” and “plan B is just planning for failure” at multiple companies.
2/
Some longer thoughts on the war in Iran.
Fourth one.
A lot of military planning involves contingency planning.
What if the Iranians manage to sink a destroyer in the Gulf, or worse, a carrier?
What if they attack KSA’s oil fields and set them alight?
1/
Note that I expect Bibi and the IDF have a more expertise-based view.
Whether they shared it with this admin or not? 🤷 No idea.
4/
See also MAHA and RFK Jr embrace of quackery.
But back to war, don’t expect this team to do anything but have a seat-of-the-pants strategy.
“We’ll kill Khamenei and then … good things will happen.”
3/
Saying that they should listen to experts in DoD, State, other countries (!= Israel)?
This says to them, “you are not smart enough to do it yourself,” and they reject it.
You probably think, at this point, “yeah, but we’ll be f&&&ed.” I agree. But they don’t.
2/
Some longer thoughts on the war in Iran.
Third one.
About planning, and expertise.
All the professional IR & Defense folks are saying this looks like there is no plan. There is no endgame.
Yes. Exactly.
Trump, and his team, are anti-expertise. They sneer at experts.
1/
