But he also knows I won’t get in it if there is even a hint of a spider.
06.03.2026 21:27
👍 0
🔁 0
💬 0
📌 0
But he also knows I won’t get in it if there is even a hint of a spider.
I guess he actually believes I might know what I’m talking about? 😂
Me: …small phenomenon. But today, the probability is higher than climo.
J: What does that mean?
Me: the chance is higher than normal for March 6.
J: Fine. *proceeds to vacuum shelter*
😂😅
Conversation with my husband when I asked him to vacuum the storm shelter:
J: Do you really think we’ll need it?
Me: Well it’s not zero.
J: Ok but do you think we’ll have a tornado here? How likely is it?
Me: Well it’s low. It’s always technically low at any given location because it’s a very…
Removing my meteorologist hat for a moment to absolutely freak out with the rest of the ACOTAR fandom. It’s finally happening!! ✨Cauldron blessed✨ See you beyond the wall in Prythian this October and again in January!!!
GWC is proud to announce our partnership with the American Weather Enterprise Association (AWEA) because weather impacts literally everyone -- and it's time for an organization to advocate for the weather enterprise in a sustained, unified way.
More info in thread ⬇️
Gotcha. Unfortunately I don’t have that handy in a single location at the moment.
If you go to our outlook archive page (available at the very bottom of the convective outlooks webpage) you can find a list of all available file formats. www.spc.noaa.gov/cgi-bin-spc/...
We also have shapefiles and KML files.
We have geojson files for all the layers. Would that help?
Do these graphics help? There are several different options, including national, state, CWA, etc graphics. At the top of the graphic is the valid date and valid time in CT is in the upper right. www.spc.noaa.gov/partners/out...
Honestly, if that’s the only glitch, y’all should be so proud of yourselves. This was a massive change not just for us forecasters, but on the technical side. We wouldn’t have this without y’all. You’re rockstars! Excellent work. 🙌🏼🎉
A new era for SPC Outlooks & severe storms forecasting begins today! If you haven’t seen the new outlook (severe & fire weather) graphics yet, check out the SPC website. www.spc.noaa.gov Increasing severe risk in the coming days will give a first live look at the new conditional intensity levels.
Spring storm season has arrived in the Plains very active pattern expected this week.
If you thought Oklahoma felt particularly warm this winter (especially February), you’d be correct.
Thank you!
Longer technical detail video is on our YouTube channel: youtu.be/nVFHLkbFtNQ?...
Here’s our short explainer video for conditional intensity outlooks!!
SPC Conditional Intensity teaser video dropped on YouTube. We’ll have another explainer video (around 3 min length) coming soon! Outlook changes coming March 3rd. youtube.com/shorts/uWzMP...
That logic could be applied to a multitude of private sector weather companies. He’s providing a service people want and frankly filling a gap in the market, clearly, or he wouldn’t have a following. I don’t get the vibe he’s taking advantage of people.
*doesn’t seem unreasonable
Have there been something’s over the years that he stumbled with, sure. But I think he’s learned and is building a legitimate business for a rapidly changing weather enterprise. Working with him and building a relationship is way better than trying to vilify him when he has a big influence/platform.
What specifically do you take issue with here? There are all sorts of subscription services for get alerts. $20/yr doesn’t seem I reasonable to me, especially if it’s reliable. I feel like RHY is doing the work to be a legitimate option for weather information.
Thank you! 🫶🏼
Wtf…
Happy National Weatherperson’s Day!
And now we are graphically highlighting those different areas, whereas in the past, you may have had to dig into the technically discussion to glean that information. Sometimes it would be mentioned specifically at all. Now it’ll be right there in the map.
For instance, as an outlook approaches high risk, the percentage of tornado report of EF3+ increases exponentially. It doesn’t mean other intensities don’t occur, but that there is a greater proportion of high-end storms within that tier.
We aren’t limiting. Each tier has its own PDF curve (this is getting into the statistical analysis weeds) w/ a distribution of all intensity levels possible. What each tier indicates is the reports for that hazard, falling in that intensity group will predominantly be of a certain intensity.
Outlooks with continuous probabilities are in the works.