#AFL Round 9 team ratings 📊📈
Similarly to last season, the Dons are banking wins, but the model is not impressed - will they play finals?
11.05.2025 10:59
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#AFL Round 9 team ratings 📊📈
Similarly to last season, the Dons are banking wins, but the model is not impressed - will they play finals?
#AFL Round 9 model tips 🤖
Pies by 13, with a 63% chance of victory 🥧
Blues by 5, 55% 🔵
Hawks by 23, 74% 🟤
Swans by 1, 50% 🦢
Dogs by 13, 64% 🐶
Crows by 17, 68% 🐦
Tigers by 16, 67% 🐯
Cats by 21, 72% 🐱
Lions by 36, 85% 🦁
Tips: 52
MAE: 28.7
Bits: 13.8
#AFL Round 8 team quadrants
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The Suns have some concerns heading into a big matchup this week with the Dogs
#AFL Round 8 team ratings 📊📈
After last week's belting, the Saints & Dockers swap spots in the rankings 🔄
#AFL Round 8 model tips 🤖
Dons by 20, with a 71% chance of victory ✈️
Freo by 3, 51% ⚓
Dogs by 33, 83% 🐶
Crows by 7, 57% 🐦
Pies by 16, 67% 🥧
Dees by 3, 52% 👿
Giants by 2, 50% 🟠
Hawks by 37, 85% 🟤
Lions by 1, 50% 🦁
Tips: 46
MAE: 28.1
Bits: 12.2
I’m fairly sure they’ve also been one of the luckiest teams the past few seasons with expected scores, particularly their opponent being inaccurate
#AFL Round 7 team quadrants
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Which of the Cats, Hawks, Giants or Swans should have the most concern?
#AFL Round 7 team ratings 📊📈
Similarly to last season, the Dogs make a decisive move up 🐶
#AFL Round 7 model tips 🤖
Dees by 12, with a 63% chance of victory 👿
Pies by 24, 76% 🥧
Freo by 18, 70% ⚓
Lions by 3, 52% 🦁
Power by 41, 88% ⚡
Dogs by 5, 54% 🐶
Suns by 15, 66% ☀️
Cats by 6, 55% 🐱
Hawks by 52, 92% 🟤
Tips: 38
MAE: 29.6
Bits: 8.7
#AFL Round 6 team quadrants
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Lots of joy & despair to go around, but very little hope after roughly a quarter of season
#AFL Round 6 team ratings 📊📈
After a promising start, it's been a downward trend for North Melbourne 📉
Noah Balta attacking the contest like it’s an unsuspecting man outside a pub
#AFLTigersSuns
#AFL Round 6 model tips 🤖
Lions by 7, with a 57% chance of victory 🦁
Blues by 26, 77% 🔵
Dons by 12, 63% ✈️
Freo by 8, 58% ⚓
Crows by 9, 59% 🐦
Suns by 27, 78% ☀️
Swans by 14, 65% 🦢
Dogs by 7, 56% 🐶
Cats by 2, 50% 🐱
The model always loves the Dogs 😅
#AFL Round 5 team quadrants
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The 2025 season debut for this chart that typically stirs up a lot of debate
What feels right or wrong?
Yes, this would be the first time under his tenure they're 1st
Interestingly, they peaked at around 3rd to 4th in 2024, higher than they ever got in 2022 or 2023
#AFL Round 5 team ratings 📊📈
Hawthorn's Sunday night loss to the Power could have been a lot worse, but it still sees them slip from 1st to 4th 📉
It looks like another season of weird ratings - the bottom 3 are so bad there are 13 'above average' teams 🤷♂️
Well I guess he didn’t bother with it 🤷🏻♂️
#AFLPowerHawks
#AFL Round 5 model tips 🤖
Crows by 10, with a 60% chance of victory 🐦
Pies by 5, 52% 🥧
Suns by 32, 82% ☀️
Blues by 30, 81% 🔵
Lions by 3, 51% 🦁
Dons by 9, 59% ✈️
Freo by 18, 69% ⚓
Saints by 0, 50% 😇
Hawks by 4, 52% 🟤
#AFL Round 4 team ratings 📊📈
⬆️ Pies
⬇️ Dees
People are weird
Not what was I was expecting
Never spend any time there anymore, what's the discourse?
#AFL Round 4 model tips 🤖
Pies by 7, with a 57% chance of victory 🥧
Cats by 36, 85% 🐱
Suns by 15, 66% ☀️
Lions by 25, 77% 🦁
Swans by 9, 59% 🦢
Giants by 39, 87% 🟠
Power by 9, 59% ⚡
Freo by 7, 56% ⚓
GWS at 11 feels the most off to me
#AFL Round 3 team ratings 📊📈
Looking to bounce back after a disappointing 2024 campaign, the Dees have slid into the bottom 4 📉
#AFL Round 3 model tips 🤖
Dons by 3, with a 52% chance of victory ✈️
Dogs by 5, 54% 🐶
Suns by 6, 55% ☀️
Saints by 16, 67% 😇
Lions by 16, 67% 🦁
Hawks by 16, 67% 🟤
Crows by 34, 84% 🐦
Freo by 19, 70% ⚓
I love these
New blog post - Visualising how each 2025 AFLM squad was assembled
credittodubois.com/blog/homegro...
#AFL Round 2 team ratings 📊📈
The Dockers are 0-2 & ranked 13th - will they play finish in 2025?