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Valentin Kreilinger

@vkreilinger

Senior Researcher in Political Science, Swedish Institute for European Policy Studies (SIEPS). Previously at the Jacques Delors Think Tanks in Paris and Berlin. PhD from Hertie School, MSc from LSE.

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Latest posts by Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger

πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή

20.02.2026 14:06 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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The Guardian view on Merz and Meloni: an emerging Berlin-Rome axis is threatening the EU’s green deal The deregulation agenda being pushed by Germany’s chancellor and Italy’s prime minister is economically and ethically flawed

Important editorial: www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

20.02.2026 06:23 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Yes, the question is from where in the respective national capital the power the Permanent Representatives receive their instructions. And leaders also distrust each other, so they like to keep some decisions away from Council and #EUCO, to push items through by QMV in Coreper with written procedure

20.02.2026 07:55 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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The quiet rise of the EU’s diplomatic bunker Presented by Neste By GABRIEL GAVIN PRESENTED BY Send tips here | Contact us on X @gerardofortuna @NicholasVinocur @GabrielGavin | Listen to Playbook and view in your browser On today’s EU Confiden…

The most prominent recent example is freezing the Russian Central Bank assets with Article 122 TFEU (sieps.se/media/ndzouh...), also decided by Coreper – "in the EU's diplomatic bunker" as @gabrielgavin.bsky.social wrote in today’s Brussels Playbook: www.politico.eu/newsletter/b...

20.02.2026 06:37 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Finally some media reporting about the rise of the rise of #COREPER. I have long argued that this (in particular the increased used of the "written procedure") is a very significant development that has intensified since the pandemic (sieps.se/media/mnah1q...).

20.02.2026 06:37 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
Statement of Foreign Policy 2026 On 18 February, Minister for Foreign Affairs Maria Malmer Stenergard presented the 2026 Statement of Foreign Policy in the Riksdag. Check against...

Sweden’s 2026 Foreign Policy Declaration (English version) www.government.se/speeches/202...

18.02.2026 14:39 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

My key quotes and takeaways from the #MSC2026 speeches by four European leaders πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ πŸ‡«πŸ‡· πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ (Merz, Macron, von der Leyen, Starmer) across four major themes (🏰 βš”οΈ πŸͺ– πŸ’Ά):

16.02.2026 15:29 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

➑️ #Starmer announced that β€œwe are prepared to explore innovative solutions. So we are stepping up work with like-minded allies on options for a collective approach to defence financing, to help accelerate this vital investment.”

16.02.2026 15:29 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

It’s a wonderful innovation.”

➑️ According to
#vonderLeyen, β€œ[w]ith our SAFE programme, we are investing in the capabilities we need. […] We have remained relentless and creative in the way we maintain our support for Ukraine. This includes most recently with our EUR 90 billion loan […].”

16.02.2026 15:29 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

4. Defence financing πŸ’Ά

➑️ #Merz did not mention defence financing

➑️ #Macron stressed that β€œwe have adopted new EU financing instruments such as EDIP and SAFE. And don’t underestimate the strength of this instrument. We […] have common borrowing programs on defence. It’s a very good thing […].

16.02.2026 15:29 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

These examples tell us that this can work. But what we need to do now, is formalise the ad hoc beginnings of new security collaborations.”

➑️ #Starmer said that β€œwe have shown that we can coordinate in great effect, as was just set out. […] Creating the Coalition of the Willing”

16.02.2026 15:29 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

➑️ #Macron said that β€œ[t]he big change during this year is the Coalition of the Willing.”

➑️ #vonderLeyen argued that β€œwe have to be creative. Take the UK-led Joint Expeditionary Force […]. Or take the Coalition of the Willing […].

16.02.2026 15:29 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

3. New security formats πŸͺ–

➑️ According to #Merz, β€œ[w]here we need to be agile, we move forward in small groups – with the E3, i.e. Germany, France and the United Kingdom, but also with Italy and Poland as European playmakers.”

16.02.2026 15:29 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

β€œtime has come to bring Europe’s mutual defence clause to life. Mutual defence is not optional for the EU. It is an obligation […].”

➑️ #Starmer announced that β€œour commitment to Article 5 is as profound now as ever. And be in no doubt, if called on, the UK would come to your aid today.”

16.02.2026 15:29 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

2. Mutual defence βš”οΈ

➑️ #Merz on Article 42 TEU: β€œWe must now spell out how we intend to organise this at European level”; the EU mutual assistance obligation is β€œnot a substitute for NATO”

➑️ It was not mentioned by #Macron

➑️ #vonderLeyen said that

16.02.2026 15:29 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

➑️ For #vonderLeyen a β€œstrong Europe makes for a stronger transatlantic alliance”.

➑️ #Starmer wants to β€œbuild a stronger Europe and a more European NATO, underpinned by deeper links between the UK and the EU” and β€œmore burden-sharing in Europe.”

16.02.2026 15:29 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

➑️ #Macron said β€œEurope will be a good ally and partner for the United States of America. Because it will be a partner taking its fair share of the burden.”

16.02.2026 15:29 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

1. Role of NATO, a European pillar within NATO? 🏰

➑️ For #Merz, NATO remains essential and a β€œcompetition advantage” for Europe and the US. He sees European mutual assistance as a β€œself-sustaining, strong European pillar” within NATO.

16.02.2026 15:29 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

My key quotes and takeaways from the #MSC2026 speeches by four European leaders πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ πŸ‡«πŸ‡· πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ (Merz, Macron, von der Leyen, Starmer) across four major themes (🏰 βš”οΈ πŸͺ– πŸ’Ά):

16.02.2026 15:29 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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The EU24 loan to Ukraine: EU Foreign Policy via Enhanced Cooperation, jointly written with Christian Maurice B. and Jakob Lewander for SIEPS, with an updated visualisation of Enhanced Cooperation in… ... The EU24 loan to Ukraine: EU Foreign Policy via Enhanced Cooperation, jointly written with Christian Maurice B. and Jakob Lewander for SIEPS, with an updated visualisation of Enhanced Cooperation in o...

This diagram is like a comforting blanket. Brought to you by @vkreilinger.bsky.social. From our @sieps.bsky.social publication "EU foreign policy via Enhanced Cooperation sieps.se/en/publicati...
www.linkedin.com/posts/vkreil...

11.02.2026 08:23 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Ursula von der Leyen endorses enhanced cooperation before the EU leaders' retreat on Thursday: "we should not shy away from using the possibilities foreseen in the treaties on enhanced cooperation" www.euractiv.com/news/von-der... Link to the paper with my infographic: sieps.se/en/publicati... #EUCO

11.02.2026 06:32 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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The EU24 loan to Ukraine: EU Foreign Policy via Enhanced Cooperation, jointly written with Christian Maurice Bissinger and @lewander.bsky.social for @sieps.bsky.social, with an updated visualisation of Enhanced Cooperation in one figure sieps.se/en/publicati...

10.02.2026 19:14 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
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EU Foreign Policy via Enhanced Cooperation Questions and answers on the EU24 loan to Ukraine

On 18 December 2025, EU24 leaders agreed on a €90 bn loan to Ukraine. This new European Policy Analysis addresses central aspects of the European Council decision, particularly regarding the immobilised Russian assets, the enhanced cooperation, and the EU as a foreign and security policy actor.

10.02.2026 14:52 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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The EU24 loan to Ukraine: EU Foreign Policy via Enhanced Cooperation, jointly written with Christian Maurice Bissinger and @lewander.bsky.social for @sieps.bsky.social, with an updated visualisation of Enhanced Cooperation in one figure sieps.se/en/publicati...

10.02.2026 19:14 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
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Nytt avsnitt av Sieps podcast!

Efter en turbulent vecka i Europapolitiken gΓ€star BjΓΆrn FΓ€gersten och @gvonsydow.bsky.social podden fΓΆr att analysera lΓ€get. Hur djup Γ€r klyftan mellan EU och USA, och hur ska Europa agera i den nya vΓ€rldsordning som vΓ€xer fram?

sieps.se/podcast/siep...

23.01.2026 15:00 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Register FREE Standing Group on European Union (SGEU) Seminar Series

🚨 TODAY in #ECPRSeminars on the EU @ecprsgeu.bsky.social

Our speakers explore how negotiation dynamics differ across high-stakes policy areas, focusing on environment and justice

πŸŽ™οΈSelma Bendjaballah and @vkreilinger.bsky.social

πŸ’» 19 Jan, 15:00–16:30 GMT buff.ly/JXZvgpn

#EuropeanUnion

19.01.2026 12:25 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Looking forward to discussing "Negotiating in times of polycrisis. Evidence from the EU" at the first edition of the @ecprsgeu.bsky.social Online Seminar Series in 2026 with Selma Bendjaballah of @cdsp-sciencespo.bsky.social on Monday, 16:00-17:30 CET: ecpr.eu/Events/348

17.01.2026 14:40 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Register FREE Standing Group on European Union (SGEU) Seminar Series

πŸ›ŽοΈ Next in #ECPRSeminars on the EU @ecprsgeu.bsky.social

Our speakers explore how negotiation dynamics differ across high-stakes policy areas, focusing on environment and justice

πŸŽ™οΈSelma Bendjaballah and @vkreilinger.bsky.social

πŸ’» 19 Jan, 15:00–16:30 GMT

#EuropeanUnion

13.01.2026 13:00 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Enhanced cooperation under Article 20 TEU is a smart move. Here is how it works πŸ‘‡

19.12.2025 08:14 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

Interesting insights on the institutional implications of the EU decision last night

19.12.2025 08:37 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0