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Ric Stubbs

@stubbazubba

National security lawyer (all views strictly my own), TTRPG enthusiast, Tolkien lover, occasional songwriter, and a partridge in a pear tree. He/him. Cover photo: Sunrise over Lac Saguay, QC, CAN, New Year's Day 2026.

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Latest posts by Ric Stubbs @stubbazubba

I'm a broken record on this but folks haven't realized how difficult things will be after this regime is over given the tentacles it is leaving behind. Even the most superficial reading of theories of institutional change will tell you this is a path we don't want to depend on.

09.03.2026 17:43 πŸ‘ 59 πŸ” 17 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0

Not true, we have prosecuted our own service members for war crimes. It's not common, but it has happened and will again.

09.03.2026 23:04 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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We are a very stupid country

www.nytimes.com/2026/03/09/o...

09.03.2026 14:57 πŸ‘ 784 πŸ” 240 πŸ’¬ 52 πŸ“Œ 26

For the same reason that driving without a license doesn't also make you guilty of speeding if you weren't, in fact, speeding. They're two different things with different requirements, and neither is contingent upon the other.

08.03.2026 16:34 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

A lot of them have reduced/eliminated their foreign correspondents' section, so they aren't gathering their own footage and the only thing available is whatever the DoD puts out or TikTok videos. There are just very, very few US journalists in Iran to capture anything.

08.03.2026 16:20 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

There are two sets of laws involved: one governs when a country can go to war lawfully, while the other governs how to conduct war lawfully. While they always coexist in time and place, they don't ever intersect: the outcomes of the former don't become inputs in the latter or vice versa.

08.03.2026 16:10 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I have opted out of Alexa+. The moment I can't, my Echo will be in the trash.

06.03.2026 11:15 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I didn't say it was, I was talking about the example of a hotel full of NATO generals.

06.03.2026 05:39 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

In the eyes of international law, there is a war. Int'l law doesn't care what any country has declared, it cares about armed hostilities of a certain scope, intensity, etc., which has certainly happened.

06.03.2026 04:17 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

That's not true. Civilian casualties can't be disproportionate to the military advantage gained by the strike, but if the hotel is primarily a barracks, it's not a war crime to strike it.

06.03.2026 03:53 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Only by people that they never cared about anyway. The MAGA mob will continue to exist after this administration and welcome all the petty, oafish bullies and grifters that Republicans are unanimously confirming and supporting.

05.03.2026 23:49 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Those are certainly dual-use targets, no?

05.03.2026 23:43 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Once armed hostilities start, you don't need a self-defense justification to attack the enemy under international humanitarian law (law of armed conflict). Enemy warships are lawful targets at all times. Even if the war was begun illegally.

04.03.2026 23:35 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Rubio's justification for attacking Iran:

Iran would have retaliated against the US if Israel attacked Iran. Therefore the US acted preemptively.

So, why didn't the Trump admin just restrain the principal recipient of US military assistance from launching such an illegal attack in the first place?

02.03.2026 21:12 πŸ‘ 967 πŸ” 274 πŸ’¬ 74 πŸ“Œ 24

It was a UN Security Council mission, actually. The UNSC authorized states to take military action against Libya, something that happens extremely infrequently, and the Obama admin argued that failing to support that would undermine the int'l order, a core national interest.

03.03.2026 04:09 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The West not shaking that bad habit of thinking we're the only global actors with agency.

01.03.2026 00:32 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Merely funding an enemy doesn't make you a belligerent to a conflict.

28.02.2026 18:42 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Airstrikes cannot accomplish this.

28.02.2026 18:09 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Americans Are Leaving the U.S. in Record Numbers More citizens are replanting overseas, drawn by a quality of life made easily affordable by the U.S.’s enviable salaries.

This is such a well done piece that reports out, with hard data and interviews, something profound about what's gone wrong in this country.

www.wsj.com/us-news/amer...

26.02.2026 15:35 πŸ‘ 6098 πŸ” 1839 πŸ’¬ 407 πŸ“Œ 333

Lol, it's not the staff causing the losses. How much did they cut management by?

26.02.2026 11:11 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Or individuals they deem unworthy.

25.02.2026 23:56 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

They won't start with banning birth control. First they'll lie about it. Then dictate who can prescribe it, use it, fund it, in what forms, and for how long. Suddenly, your doctor won't call you back. I know this is what they'll do because it's what they're doing to transgender healthcare right now.

25.02.2026 16:24 πŸ‘ 18322 πŸ” 6190 πŸ’¬ 194 πŸ“Œ 170

Important these words are repeated again and again.

25.02.2026 17:58 πŸ‘ 1038 πŸ” 243 πŸ’¬ 21 πŸ“Œ 3

I hope celebrities across the country follow @flavorflav.bsky.social's lead and treat the women's hockey team to all kinds of fantastic experiences, if only to rub it in these dumb assholes' faces.

25.02.2026 18:51 πŸ‘ 2128 πŸ” 303 πŸ’¬ 96 πŸ“Œ 12

This is why Jeffries' insistence that Dems not disrupt the speech was so woefully misguided. The billionaire press is going to normalize whatever he says, so don't let the stories be about whatever he says.

25.02.2026 18:53 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Jerry Brewer, a senior columnist, on the U.S. men's Olympic hockey team: β€œTheir triumph is now attached to Trump. His track record suggests it won’t be used to celebrate everyone. It is more likely to be framed as dominance than shared aspiration.”

Jerry Brewer, a senior columnist, on the U.S. men's Olympic hockey team: β€œTheir triumph is now attached to Trump. His track record suggests it won’t be used to celebrate everyone. It is more likely to be framed as dominance than shared aspiration.”

From @theathletic.com: "The U.S. men’s hockey team won Olympic gold for the first time since the 'Miracle on Ice' 46 years ago, and for a time, the joy belonged to everyone," our columnist writes. "By the next day, it didn’t." nyti.ms/4s1Csv8

24.02.2026 22:47 πŸ‘ 190 πŸ” 40 πŸ’¬ 25 πŸ“Œ 9

The point is to do things so that the other side makes errors in their response. Doing nothing lets the headlines be about whatever Trump says. Is that what the Dem caucus wants?

24.02.2026 22:03 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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πŸ”°UBI + LVT = huge societal win

24.02.2026 20:37 πŸ‘ 19 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

Conservatives get elected while promising unpopular policies all the time. If our only analysis of such focus group/polling results is just to abandon the issue, we are not a serious political party. We have to figure out how to change that conversation, not run from it. They won't drop it anyway.

24.02.2026 06:04 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Stop sacrificing minorities to run away from conservative attacks: they'll make them anyway. Fight back with values that your base actually has and you'll be so much stronger. And you'll normalize liberal values instead of apologizing for them like this again and again every cycle!

24.02.2026 05:58 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0