Stefan Waldhauser's Avatar

Stefan Waldhauser

@stwboerse

Tech-Investor, Co-Founder aktien.guide, hightechinvesting.substack.com, High-Tech Stock Picking wikifolio, No investment advice

525
Followers
110
Following
428
Posts
02.12.2024
Joined
Posts Following

Latest posts by Stefan Waldhauser @stwboerse

Post image Post image

Selten machte E-Auto fahren/ laden so viel Spaß wie heute. 🀩

10.03.2026 12:53 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Monday.com CEO on Is SaaS Dead: Will Everything Be Vibe Coded | Eran Zinman
Monday.com CEO on Is SaaS Dead: Will Everything Be Vibe Coded | Eran Zinman Monday has been hit harder than almost any other public SaaS company. With $1.3BN in ARR, the company is valued at just $3.8BN; a more than 60% fall since IPO. Today, Eran Zinman, Monday's CEO joins…

If you are a MNDY shareholder (like I am), this long 75min interview with the co-founder and Co-CEO of Monday. com is definitely a good spend of your time: youtu.be/zjcYlEiwnKI

08.03.2026 07:06 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Elastic after Q3 FY26: An AI Winner in the Penalty Box? Why Elastic shares remain at rock bottom despite solid figures: cautious targets, unclear cash flow development, and the painful issue of share-based compensation.

Elastic after Q3 FY26 is an AI winner stuck in the penalty box. Operating margin is improving and revenue is growing nearly 20%, but the stock keeps selling off. Why? Here's my update on the $ESTC investment case buff.ly/zKIAjhT

06.03.2026 17:26 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Read Anthropic CEO’s Memo Attacking OpenAI’s β€˜Mendacious’ Pentagon Announcement Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei sent a 1,600-wordmemo to employees Friday as OpenAI announced a deal to provide AI to the Pentagon. The OpenAI move came hours after the Pentagon said it would sever ties…

Wow. Here's the leaked memo from the Anthropic CEO to his employees after losing the Pentagon deal to OpenAI (paywalled). In it, he expresses strong criticism not only of OpenAI but also of his actual partner, Palantir according to the "safety theater" they played.

05.03.2026 09:02 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
PayPal After the Stripe Rumors: Is this the Beginning of a Sale Process? Venmo, PSP, and Branded Checkout: How a breakup could reveal PayPal's intrinsic value.

In light of Stripe's interest buying PayPal, the CEO's dismissal finally seems understandable. Alex Chriss was not replaced due to poor quarterly results, but because the board wants to prepare for a potential sale or breakup of PayPal. Here's what shareholders of $PYPL can expect: buff.ly/VtAJMW7

26.02.2026 17:53 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Was Alex Chriss fired to prepare for a sale of PayPal under new management? I can’t imagine $PYPL being sold for less than $60 per share. www.marketwatch.com/story/paypal...

23.02.2026 21:29 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Despite record cash flow and high margins, the freelancer platform Upwork from my portfolio is being treated like an AI loser. Here's why the re-rating of $UPWK could come sooner than expected: buff.ly/Hi5hHf1

19.02.2026 17:47 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Waymo is paying DoorDash gig workers to close its robotaxi doors Waymo is relying on humans for certain tasks, showing some of the limitations of its autonomous operations.

The robotaxi era brings new challenges. What should be done if people forget to close the door after leaving? Waymo now pays DoorDash to help them out. buff.ly/GGkLSwG

13.02.2026 08:53 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Das SaaS Blutbad geht unvermindert weiter. In der Software-Branche selbst versteht es um mich herum niemand, denn von Disruption durch AI ist im TagesgeschΓ€ft des Software-Business nix zu spΓΌren. Die Tech-BΓΆrsen agieren gerade in einem Paralleluniversum zur realen Welt. buff.ly/sItusRW

11.02.2026 16:06 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Tough times for SaaS shareholders: $MNDY from my portfolio saw another sharp sell-off following the release of its Q4 results. They hit new lows, reaching a level not seen since the end of 2022. Hereβ€˜s my view on the situation: open.substack.com/pub/hightech...

10.02.2026 20:13 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

It will be interesting to watch how Tesla's revenue estimates fall over the course of the year. Here’s the current status: analysts are still calling for 12% growth for no reason. Could you please help me to wake up the sell-side analysts and their ridiculous $TSLA growth estimates? buff.ly/WVUdtU3

07.02.2026 13:38 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Why AI Is Not Eating Enterprise Software β€œAI is eating enterprise software” is the loudest story in tech. Until you look at what AI can’t actually chew through.

Software stocks are crashing across the board due to a huge misunderstanding about agentic AI. I've now removed the paywall from what is probably my most important write-up of the year so far. It explains which software companies are really threatened by AI and which are not. buff.ly/jzJYt40

05.02.2026 08:46 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
PayPal Shares After the Crash: What Now? Investors react with shock to the surprise dismissal of CEO Alex Chriss. But were the Q4 figures really such a disaster?

Completely unexpectedly, PayPal stock, which had been one of my four high-conviction investments until then, yesterday turned into a problem in my portfolio. Hereβ€˜s my assessment of the tough situation and how I react as a PayPal shareholder. open.substack.com/pub/hightech...

04.02.2026 20:16 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
Waymo Raises $16 Billion to Fuel Global Ambitions The self-driving car company, an arm of Google’s parent company, is rapidly expanding its service beyond a handful of cities.

To accelerate the expansion of its robotaxi service, Waymo raised $16 billion in new funding at a valuation of $126 billion. The UBER valuation currently sits at $165 billion. buff.ly/VocKKVk

04.02.2026 10:03 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

SpaceX-xAI merger " is really a kind of bailout, to give a lot of cash to a company that is otherwise in distress. If I owned SpaceX shares I would feel like Elon way overpaid for his own company. Anyone remember Tesla’s acquisition of Musk’s SolarCity, and how that turned out?" buff.ly/xizxRNw

04.02.2026 09:24 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
PayPal Appoints Enrique Lores as Chief Executive Officer and David W. Dorman as Independent Board Chair PayPal Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: PYPL) today announced that its Board of Directors has appointed Enrique Lores as President and CEO, effective March 1, 2026. Lores, who has served on the PayPal Board…

What an ugly surprise to start my week: PayPal fired its CEO. I can't wait for the upcoming earnings call. buff.ly/h5jzYJY

03.02.2026 13:00 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
OpenClaw (a.k.a. Moltbot) is everywhere all at once, and a disaster waiting to happen Not everything that is interesting is a good idea.

A good part of my network is playing around with OpenClaw these days. If you are also experimenting with your personal AI assistent, this is a MUST-READ. buff.ly/cMcG7zT

02.02.2026 16:12 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

China banned concealed door handles on electric vehicles, the first country in the world to outlaw a design popularized by Tesla. New Cars sold in China will be required to have mechanical release both on the inside and outside. buff.ly/wSJBpm8

02.02.2026 15:48 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

So Microsoft needs to make sure OpenAI does not go bankrupt. This is crazy dependency; it seems OpenAI is already too big to fail. buff.ly/PCBC11l

30.01.2026 11:02 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Are you still wondering why $MSFT fell that hard after the earnings release, or why they would consider pouring more billions into OpenAI at this hilarious valuation? Microsoft reported this week that more than $280 billion = 45% of its RPO comes from OpenAI.

30.01.2026 11:02 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image Post image

Auch die SAP Aktie wird heute geerdet. Das passiert, wenn eine zu hohe Bewertung (KGV ΓΌber 30) auf einen passablen, aber nicht ΓΌberragenden Ausblick auf 2026 trifft. Ein mit ca. 10% wachsendes Unternehmen ist einfach nicht den 30-fachen Profit/Cashfow wert. VALUATION MATTERS.

29.01.2026 11:08 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

$TSLA analysts are still way too optimistic regarding Q4 2025 and 2026. Will be interesting to see how they reduce their estimates after todays Q4 earnings call. buff.ly/4Uq2kth What narrative will Elon use to distract from the weak figures expected for 2026?

28.01.2026 17:22 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
NVIDIA and CoreWeave Strengthen Collaboration to Accelerate Buildout of AI Factories CoreWeave to Adopt NVIDIA CPU and Storage Platforms and Multiple NVIDIA Generations Expanded Relationship to Offer CoreWeave Software to Global CSPs and Enterprises NVIDIA (Nasdaq: NVDA) and…

Nvidia is once again investing in one of its biggest customers so that it can afford the overpriced Nvidia chips. The crazy thing is that Nvidia is buying $CRWV at a significant discount to the last stock market price, and yet CoreWeave is still up about 10% today. buff.ly/QsCGKOo

26.01.2026 14:37 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
PayPal to Acquire Cymbio, Accelerating Agentic Commerce Capabilities - Jan 22, 2026 Cymbio will enable tens of millions of merchants to become discoverable on leading AI platforms.

PayPal meint es sehr ernst mit dem Agentic Commerce: Nach diversen AI Partnerschaften folgt nun die Akquisition der israelischen Cymbio: das ist eine Plattform, mit der Brands ihren Online-Store einfacher mit Retail-Handelsplattformen (darunter auch AI-KanΓ€le) integrieren kΓΆnnen. buff.ly/sA0GS5o

25.01.2026 15:59 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

AI enthusiasts believe that β€œAI is eating the software industry.” Looking at the crash of many SaaS stocks, one might think that an implosion of these companies is imminent. With 25 years’ experience as a software entrepreneur, I believe it is time to address the panic: buff.ly/6fiBYNH

23.01.2026 12:37 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
EU-Kommission startet β€žEU Incβ€œ – neuer einheitlicher Rechtsrahmen fΓΌr Startups in der EU - BAND Business Angels Deutschland e.V. (BAND) engagiert sich fΓΌr den Aufbau der Business Angels Kultur in Deutschland, organisiert den Erfahrungsaustausch und fΓΆrdert Kooperationen.

Die beste Nachricht aus Davos war fΓΌr mich, dass die EU einen neuen einheitlichen Rechtsrahmen fΓΌr Startups in der EU schaffen will. Eine "EU Inc." grΓΌnden in 48 Stunden und rein digital? Ich bin gespannt: buff.ly/Nt2OFln

23.01.2026 09:57 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Why Angi is my Top Stock Pick for 2026 Angi is cutting deep - yet the market still underestimates what this means for 2026 cash flow and valuation.

In the first few days of the new year, Angi filed an important mandatory disclosure with the SEC that has significantly altered the outlook for the stock in 2026. But still nobody cares about $ANGI. buff.ly/7Rqjy1m

16.01.2026 17:56 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

One of the big misunderstanding in todays market is the nonsense that B2B software would become obsolete because of AI. Many high-quality SaaS stocks are down +65% like $MNDY from my own portfolio. Profitable Growth +20%, Gross Margin 90%. At a EV/FCF of 15 I today increased my position @wikifolio

16.01.2026 15:45 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

I have a serious question for the fans of TSLA: I get your excitement about the long-term future, but how can anyone realistically expect a two-digit increase in revenue in 2026? Where would this come from in the next 12 months? I simply don't understand these analyst estimates. buff.ly/0hSxiHd

15.01.2026 11:12 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

It's quite a nice story that Alphabet is replacing Apple as the world's second most valuable company at the very moment Apple decides to use Google AI in its ecosystem. Well deserved.

13.01.2026 09:42 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0