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Will Smiley

@will-smiley

History (Ottoman and Russian Empires) and international law. Author, "From Slaves to Prisoners of War" (Oxford, 2018) and co-author, "To Save the Country" (Yale, 2019). All views strictly my own.

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Latest posts by Will Smiley @will-smiley

Don’t miss the Balochistan dimension here too.

07.03.2026 01:45 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The thing is that Trump is fundamentally driven by the need to violate boundaries, so when you tell him "you can use force, as long as you don't call it war," he's gonna start calling it war as soon as he feels he can get away with it.

06.03.2026 14:53 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Ah yes, pursuing unconditional surrender through airpower alone. Always a winning combination of end and means.

06.03.2026 14:01 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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The end of diplomacy - The Boston Globe The US-Israeli strikes on Iran will undermine peace talks across the globe for years to come.

I tell @bostonglobe.com that "it looks like the Trump administration deliberately uses diplomacy as a distraction and as a tool to keep people dangling while preparing for war."

www.bostonglobe.com/2026/03/06/o...

06.03.2026 13:31 πŸ‘ 19 πŸ” 15 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Unarmed military vessels are still lawful targets. And subs aren't always obligated to rescue. But did the US do ANYTHING? Coordinate with Sri Lanka?

Bigger issue is not legal but moral, and political: Trump is unnecessarily escalating an undeclared conflict while expecting Iran won't do the same.

06.03.2026 13:45 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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ONLINE: Happening now, if you are interested in: New Research on Diplomacy in Premodern Eurasia: Practices, Objects, Symbols.
Fifth Annual Meeting of the Research Network Premodern
East Slavic Europe

For registration πŸ‘‰ eu01web.zoom.us/meeting/regi...

#earlymodern

06.03.2026 10:12 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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The Eastern Question through diplomatic eyes - CEU Review of Books In The Invention of the Eastern Question (I.B. Tauris, 2025), Ozan Ozavci provides an analysis of Euro-Ottoman relations through the life of the British ambassador to the Ottoman Empire , Sir Robert L...

The Eastern Question through diplomatic eyes - The Invention of the Eastern Question: Sir Robert Liston and Ottoman Diplomacy in the Age of Revolutions by Ozan Ozavci. Liston was the British Ambassador to Constantinople.
ceureviewofbooks.com/review/the-e...

06.03.2026 09:00 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

This article reads like Daines doing damage control among R’s who are mad he boxed them out. β€œSeriously guys, that was just a coincidence, I was really trying to stop the Dems!”

05.03.2026 19:08 πŸ‘ 13 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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From β€œNATO, close the sky over Ukraine” in 2022 - to β€œUkraine, close the sky over Dubai” in 2026)

05.03.2026 18:24 πŸ‘ 42 πŸ” 13 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 2

@davekarpf.bsky.social says much better what I was trying to get at in my thread:

05.03.2026 18:19 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

amazing how money for teachers can't level the playing field, but money for big tech companies can

05.03.2026 18:10 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

This headline is backward. What the article really shows is that in-person work is the ONLY thing safe from AI cheating. All the examples are of cheating outside of the classroom (except one stray mention of using smart glasses or watches, but even that's just a hypothetical).

05.03.2026 18:04 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

These PoWs had dual UKR-HUN citizenship. Russia is playing an old game--the Ottoman Empire used to do this, releasing Hungarian PoWs to Joseph RΓ‘kΓ³czi, pretender to the Transylvanian throne, in the 1730s, and Poles taken in Russian service to the (mostly unrecognized) Duchy of Warsaw in 1812.

05.03.2026 17:51 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Sending those text messages seems like way more planning than the current DoD leadership can manage, so I’m betting on Israel.

05.03.2026 15:30 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

What’s happening in Lebanon may be an even worse humanitarian disaster than what’s happening in Iran.

05.03.2026 14:35 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Numbers the US should be ashamed of.

05.03.2026 14:24 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The problem I do foresee is that anyone who does regressions on datasets is going to start churning out papers, and admins are going to ask why archival, ethnographic, and interview-based work is so β€œunproductive.” But that’s not really new.

05.03.2026 14:13 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
A restaurant billboard advertising β€œWhite Guy Burgers” with a caricature of Donald Trump. It also says β€œnon-spicy so mild” and β€œit’s a beautiful burger.”

A restaurant billboard advertising β€œWhite Guy Burgers” with a caricature of Donald Trump. It also says β€œnon-spicy so mild” and β€œit’s a beautiful burger.”

We have only ourselves to blame, fellow white guys. (Seen at a mall in Gurgaon, India.)

05.03.2026 12:13 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Trump’s foreign policy makes no sense until you understand he’s acting out of a bottomless need to transgress and dominate for its own sake, and then it all makes perfect sense. There’s no end goal; the means are the end.

05.03.2026 11:41 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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FT comments section this morning - saying what everyone else is thinking, right?

05.03.2026 07:15 πŸ‘ 17077 πŸ” 5955 πŸ’¬ 512 πŸ“Œ 493
Screenshot of the Opening to a review in Plekos on Byzantine epitomes that highlights the limitations of AI summaries

Screenshot of the Opening to a review in Plekos on Byzantine epitomes that highlights the limitations of AI summaries

Love the epigraph choice for this review on Byzantine epitomes… 🀣🀣

04.03.2026 17:38 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

There’s a weird assumption in academic AI discussions that we’re in the business of producing articles, and if a machine can produce APSRs faster, we’ll go broke. But…that’s not how the economics of higher ed works! Tuition and grants pay the bills, not selling articles. And as long as those exist…

03.03.2026 13:45 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

okay, Ill bite.
What do you think the point of reading for and writing a literature review is? The process of reading and writing is crucial for THINKING. Your ideas are shaped by all of this, offloading it to gAI, no matter how "good" you think gAI is at it defeats the purpose entirely.

03.03.2026 19:01 πŸ‘ 1361 πŸ” 287 πŸ’¬ 52 πŸ“Œ 32

For nuclear submarines, I’m pretty sure the answer is β€œnever”

04.03.2026 14:03 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

This kind of speech just lands differently after you bomb a school full of little girls

04.03.2026 13:53 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Oklahoma legislature advances bill that would remove tenure at OU, public universities The Oklahoma legislature advanced a bill Tuesday that would remove the possibility of tenure for OU faculty, limit contract agreements to five years and require each state institute for higher

β€œAbolishing tenure cripples scientific & creative research...

This sends a strong message that top-tier academics seeking employment at Oklahoma universities should look elsewhere immediately. Why pursue a job here under such a repressive climate?”

β€” Michael Givel, OU AAUP President

04.03.2026 12:49 πŸ‘ 76 πŸ” 37 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

(The attack on Belgrano was much more legally justified!)

04.03.2026 10:18 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

In addition to being a landmark in the history of submarine warfare, of course, this is also a horizontal escalation, extending hostilities beyond Iran. And it’s yet another illegal act of war, without congressional or UN authorization. I fear no one will like the short- and long-term consequences.

04.03.2026 10:17 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I think this is the first ship ever sunk in anger by a US nuclear sub, and only the second one by any SSN globally (the first being General Belgrano in 1982).

04.03.2026 10:13 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

The post where Yascha Mounk had his AI write a political theory paper brings this home to me: ok, sure, maybe it sounds like a political theory paper and it cites the right dead white guys. But does any human being believe it’s TRUE? If not, why should i care? If soβ€”I want the HUMAN to tell me why.

03.03.2026 17:01 πŸ‘ 56 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0