The latest from YouGov (n ~ 1.6k) out of the field Monday late Monday afternoon. Approve/disapprove of attacking Iran is down to -11. Has gone -10 to -9 to -11 over the past three days.
yougov.com/en-us/daily-...
The latest from YouGov (n ~ 1.6k adults):
Approval of Iran strikes: -10
Approval of Trump's handling of Iran: -15
Should Congress approve wars first: Yes +31
Will intervention make Iran better/worse off: Worse off +20
yougov.com/en-us/search...
Seems to at least be controversial On Here.
My contribution to South Asian rice cooker discourse is that me everyone else in my family uses one (or an instapot) and I had no idea there was any controversy about that.
Nailed it, as always
The research and analytics team at @statesunited.org is searching for a researcher to support our survey research program. Come join our fully remote team! Great mission, great pay, and excellent benefits.
recruiting.paylocity.com/recruiting/j...
Only sort of related, but I've seen an awful lot of people slide off the road across the street from my house for a place that always gets this much winter weather.
New w/@scottclifford.bsky.social.
Lots of work uses agree-disagree scales, and a lit review shows these are 1) frequently just measured in one direction (agree = higher trait) and 2) correlated with each other.
This has potentially big issues for conclusions.
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
🎉 New paper out in Political Behavior (with @gijsschumacher.bsky.social & @mrooduijn.bsky.social)
Why do some people feel stronger emotions about politics than others?
💡Not political knowledge, but interest and confidence-in-knowledge drive emotional engagement.
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
🧵
🚨 Just a handful of days left, DL March 1!🚨
🔥 Walter Lippmann Award for Best Published Article in the field of political communication (2025)🔥
SELF NOMINATIONS WELCOME & EASY: Just send me email with article
@apsa.bsky.social @polcomm.bsky.social @ecpr-polcom.bsky.social @ascor.bsky.social
👇
Ahead of the State of the Union address on Tuesday, evidence continues to mount that President Trump is facing political headwinds. n.pr/4s3mGQj
The wettest we've ever seen from the standpoint of water
This is right now.
white dudes in Callaway hats doing this are a five alarm fire for the GOP
🚨📄 New paper (conditional accepted at @thejop.bsky.social):
We test whether social desirability bias actually distorts answers in online surveys.
Short version:
It mostly doesn’t.
w. @timallinger.bsky.social @kristianvsf.bsky.social @morganlcj.bsky.social
URL: osf.io/preprints/os...
60 years ago today, mild-mannered jim bowl was bitten by a radioactive spider
on the balance i think partisan gerrymandering is bad but the only way it ends is if democrats weaponize it against republicans everywhere they can. wiping out republican lawmakers in blue states might bring the GOP to the table to end the practice.
Yeah, this is partly issue ownership (www.cambridge.org/core/books/p...) - parties form long term and positive reputations on some issues - and the gendered nature of some partisan issues (www.jstor.org/stable/2991756), though more recent work suggests the latter isn't as big of a thing anymore.
Unstoppable aunties and uncles
The Muppet Show special is good, but I dunno about this Kermit voice.
I had a lot of poli sci mentors who were Republicans when I was an undergrad and early on as an assistant prof, and I think only one or two of them of them are still there. The rest - maybe even the Claremont guy? - left the party, it's wild!
Do ordinary Republicans and Democrats really avoid each other in everyday life? In a new working paper with Delia Baldassarri, we present descriptive and experimental evidence to challenge the view that partisanship drives the formation of social relationships.
osf.io/preprints/so...
1/15
New and open access, in @psrm.bsky.social: What happens when we make politicians draw distributions? Nic Dias, @jacklucas.bsky.social and I explore whether the large errors politicians make about public opinion are artificially inflated by how researchers ask them to estimate it /1
cup.org/4kltoyE
Revel in my failures, both academic and now for the first time nonacademic, by viewing my newly updated shadow CV: drive.google.com/file/d/0B2eH...
He’s been through so much. They shouldn’t have made him fly the plane too.
From our August Issue: Interpersonal Relationships, Bipartisanship, and January 6th by JAMES M. CURRY and JASON M. ROBERTS. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
(Multiple tweets combined, in order) Tweet by Rep. Gwen Moore (D-Wisconsin): "My office is committed to supporting adult literacy services. Please contact my office for assistance." Quoted tweet by Paul Truess, Regional Director for Office of US Senator Ron Johnson: A photo posted by Rep. Moore showing her standing with protesters in the snow as she wears a placard reading "HATE WON'T MAKE US GREAT" over her blue down jacket. Truess misread the sign, and comments "Only our Congresswoman @RepGwenMoore would wear a sign on her chest with the words Hate Make US Great." Truess's tweet has a community note attached, reading "The sign worn by Rep. Moore reads 'Hate Won't Make US Great,' not 'Hate Make US Great.'"
Hello, I'd like to report an evisceration.
(Rep. Moore is a Wisconsin Democrat; Ron Truess is "Regional Director for Office of US Senator Ron Johnson")
Screencap from the Star Trek: Deep Space Nine episode "Crossfire"
It's the 30th anniversary of Voyager's "Threshold", but it's also the 30th anniversary of DS9's "Crossfire", the one where Odo crashes out over Kira being in a relationship and Quark comforts him in his footie pajamas
