I too remember the earlier, woke wars. tons of spent microaggression munitions strewn about everywhere, friends crying out for God as they were slowly cancelled...look, if you weren't there, you'll never understand
Anyone who has lived in Sweden knows how incredibly important seasonal baked goods are.
Väldigt coolt/viktigt/intressant!! 👏👏 ser fram emot att läsa igenom mer noggrant
🎉 I just published my second paper! Woo!
In psychotherapy trials we often see that symptoms reduce between screening and start of treatment. A plausible idea about that is that patients self-refer when their fluctuating symptoms are extra bad. We checked! (we tried to check) //
Believe in your work. Stop ending papers with “More research is needed” and start concluding with “No more research on this topic is needed.”
The sunk-cost fallacy can start a vicious circle sometimes referred to as an escalation situation. Once a project – whether an R&D effort, a marriage, a financial investment, or whatever – is beginning to go downhill, the sunk-cost fallacy encourages people irrationally to make additional investments in the project. Once the additional investment has been made, unless it turns the project around, people find themselves with an even greater sunk cost, which is even harder to ignore, thereby encouraging even greater investments. The sunk-cost fallacy and escalation behavior are often invoked when explaining why the US spent so many years fighting a losing war in Vietnam. According to this analysis, once soldiers were committed and started dying, it became impossible to withdraw for fear that the dead would have “died in vain”; thus, more soldiers were committed, more soldiers died, and it became even harder to withdraw. Interestingly, the scenario was outlined as early as 1965 by George Ball, then Undersecretary of State. In a memo to President Johnson, Ball wrote: The decision you face now is crucial. Once large numbers of US troops are committed to direct combat, theywill begin to take heavy casualties in awar they are ill-equipped to fight in a noncooperative if not downright hostile countryside. Once we suffer large casualties, we will have started a well-nigh irreversible process. Our involvement will be so great that we cannot – without national humiliation – stop short of achieving our complete objectives. Of the two possibilities I think humiliation will be more likely than the achievement of our objectives – even after we have paid terrible costs.
WOTD: "escalation situation" – a cycle in which some effort fails to have the intended effect, which leads to increased efforts, which also fail to have the intended effect, which leads to even more efforts, etc. (From A Course in Behavioral Economics, p. 36) www.bloomsbury.com/us/course-in...
Black and white illustration featuring a forest setting with central hippo like creature, hedgehog in the foreground and birds flying overhead
Illustration from Tove Jansson's book 'The Moomins and the Great Flood' (1945) #Womensart
Call for Volunteers: ISRII 14th Scientific Meeting
ISRII is preparing for its 14th Scientific Meeting this October in Newcastle, Australia and we’d love your help shaping the program.
👉 Interested in reviewing abstracts and/or moderating sessions? Apply by March 15, 2026. isrii.org/call-for-vol...
New newspaper headline for your Intro to Causal Inference lecture just dropped
This recent RCT of an "AI stethoscope" claims the technology "shows promise" for diagnosing cardiovascular conditions.
It does not.
It is a textbook example of the risks of conducting unprincipled 'per protocol analyses'. Once again, peer review at a major medical journal has failed.
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Despite all the chatter, social media bans for teens lack evidence! New paper out in Nature Health.
(1) Harms from social media are real & serious.
(2) We need regulatory action but bans are not nuanced, do not empower youth, & are not supported by evidence.
www.nature.com/articles/s44...
Easily one of the top charts of all time
I think they are even worse than that. They showed that sex is a prognostic factor. But they don't understand that prognostic factors essentially have no place in precision psychiatry. Precision psychiatry is about treatment*covariate interactions, i.e. about effect modifiers or HTE.
🖤
Today, in honour of WEB DuBois's birthday in 1868, the @publicdomainrev.bsky.social features the hand-drawn infographics DuBois made with his students to depict the conditions of African-American life in 1900.
Arts-based pedagogy all those years ago!
buff.ly/3kdWqRD
The server complimented me on how prepared I was when ordering my food and coffee. It’s possible to win at ordering and this is a normal thing to want
Fascinating research by @dorsaamir.bsky.social et al finds marked variation in 4 cooperative behaviours—fairness, trustworthiness, forgiveness, and honesty—among children aged 5-13 in five societies, which converges toward the societal norms in middle childhood:
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Correct
The strongest version of this illusion I’ve seen! Absolute head-wrecker!
N = 3800 for stable interaction estimates... yikes
Trump will launch a government-run website (Freedom dot gov) to host extremist and Nazi content that is banned in Europe.
www.reuters.com/world/us-pla...
🧵 New feasibility trial published! We evaluated a tailored digital self-help intervention for adults with depressive and anxiety symptoms, delivered with or without clinician guidance. A thread:
Taken together, the results support the feasibility of both delivery formats and motivate a fully powered RCT comparing self-help and clinician-guided iCBT for depression and anxiety.
From a scalability perspective, the difference in clinician time is striking. Self-help participants required on average 36 minutes of clinician contact over the entire 8-week program, compared to 66 minutes in the guided condition – less than half the time.
One notable difference emerged in satisfaction: participants who received clinician guidance reported higher satisfaction with the intervention than those in the self-help condition. A finding worth examining more closely in future trials.
Feasibility looked promising across both conditions. Most participants used the program on a weekly basis, and two thirds completed at least three of five modules. The intervention was rated as credible, and no serious adverse events were observed.
We randomized 124 participants in Sweden to an 8-week internet-based CBT program – either with clinician guidance (n=63) or as pure self-help (n=61). The primary aim was to assess feasibility of both delivery formats.
🧵 New feasibility trial published! We evaluated a tailored digital self-help intervention for adults with depressive and anxiety symptoms, delivered with or without clinician guidance. A thread:
#Statistics thought of the day: If you think you can find new disease subtypes by empirically clustering patients, think again: www.fharrell.com/post/cluster... #StatsSky
