Johann van Tonder's Avatar

Johann van Tonder

@chat-jvt

- CRO agency ceo (clients: Avis, Canon, Nike etc) - book author, Kogan Page - 20 yrs in ux, product, mkting - building w/ Replit, Cursor, Arduino ❀️ Marketing Science and Rstats πŸ₯‹ Full-contact karate black belt

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16.02.2024
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Latest posts by Johann van Tonder @chat-jvt

It’s rude to β€œblue tick” someone

Things you learn from your teenage daughter

15.05.2025 19:58 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Let's make up new names for things that have existed for >15 years.

I give you Growth Design, courtesy of Figma Config 2025.

14.05.2025 14:08 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Me: "How did you hear about us?"

Them: "ChatGPT"

πŸ‘†increasingly hearing this on sales calls.

SEO can’t have much to do with it, never been a focus for us tbh, so outranked by many other CRO agencies in Google.

12.05.2025 17:45 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Tumultuous.
Diabolical.

Words to describe the state of business by e-commerce ppl at event in London this week 🫀

11.05.2025 16:54 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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@bhav.bsky.social you’ve earned your salary. I only bought this bcs you work there now.

Mental availability 🧐

11.05.2025 10:19 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Unlocking Zen: How R's data analysis ecosystem outshines Python In this article, I highlight some pain-points when working with Python & Pandas and how R's ecosystem proves to be a great alternative.

How R's data analysis ecosystem shines against Python.
borkar.substack.com/p/unlocking-...

#rstats #python #analytics

26.04.2025 03:34 πŸ‘ 41 πŸ” 15 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

This week I have a call with a lead that came via ChatGPT.

Apparently he did a query and the AI sent him to my LinkedIn.

Will find out more.

27.04.2025 19:35 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Everyone Says They’ll Pay More for β€œMade in the USA.” So We Ran an A/B When we priced a U.S.-made version of our flagship product 85% higher than our Chinese-made one, 25,650 customers had the chance to vote with their wallets. Here’s what happened. As small business own...

β€œMade in USA” doesn’t convert

I know a few US-based operators who tested this recently. We tested it in UK many times for those β€œproudly British” brands.

Not a single win I’m aware of.

afina.com/blogs/news/m...

25.04.2025 16:51 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Directionally interesting to me. Feels like it might be the seed of something more useful.

I oscillate between childishly excited and genuinely scared.

25.04.2025 15:18 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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AgentA/B: Automated and Scalable Web A/BTesting with Interactive LLM Agents A/B testing experiment is a widely adopted method for evaluating UI/UX design decisions in modern web applications. Yet, traditional A/B testing remains constrained by its dependence on the…

Not a replacement for real world data, but potentially a useful early validation data point? You always have more ideas than testing bandwidth.

arxiv.org/abs/2504.097...

23.04.2025 20:32 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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"Hey AI, here's a new variation. Simulate A/B test."

- LLM spins up 100k fake users
(personas based on what it knows about yr users)
- a sample of them interacts with yr website as autonomous agents
- standard A/B test analysis to compare performance of A vs B

23.04.2025 20:32 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Ryan, you’re here! Nice to see more familiar faces.

And yes, I would think agents quickly evolve to understand these nuances.

14.04.2025 18:48 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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You've spent years A/B testing for humans.

Soon we have optimize for a different species...

Researchers tested agents that navigate the web, evaluate options, book hotels.

These bots don’t care about yr customer-aligned copy or catchy ad creatives.

Price & filters >>> visuals & emotion

13.04.2025 17:26 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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+2,3% View item
+6,5% PLP
+32% PDP Add To Cart
+5,9% Dealer Locator

Husqvarna is a Swedish manufacturer of outdoor power products eg robotic lawn mowers, chainsaws and garden tractors. One of the oldest continuously running companies in the world.

12.04.2025 17:27 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Insight:
Users are unsure what they need to know.

Problem:
Filters assume product knowledge that many users don’t have.

Hypothesis:
If we guide them better, they’ll be more likely to find the right product because they won’t need prior knowledge to use the filters effectively.

πŸ‘‡ test results

12.04.2025 17:27 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Initial impressions of Google Firebase Studio - like Replit in the early days when you'd go around in endless circles.

Underwhelming ... but good indication of where things are going, rapidly.

10.04.2025 17:59 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

50 is underrated

Enjoy!

31.03.2025 15:21 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Email is broken. It's hard to keep up marking all the AI-generated sales pitches as spam.

Trying a different approach:

26.03.2025 16:51 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Gemini 2.0 Flash was the fastest, like a second or two. Compared to Data Science Agent which took a few minutes to propose a plan, then write and execute the Python code ... only to get it wrong.

Claude 3.7 Extended only one that also performed power analysis, presented results in neat format.

07.03.2025 13:47 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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I gave 7 models the same dataset + deliberately vague prompt:

"Calculate if there is a statistically significant difference between Conversion Rate of Var 1 and Var 2."

Google "Data Science Agent in Colab" is the only one that got it wrong.

07.03.2025 13:47 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

and del.ico.us

06.03.2025 19:04 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Underwhelming I’m afraid, but also this is the worst it will ever be.

06.03.2025 15:39 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Not just me then

06.03.2025 15:35 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

My experience too: it takes much longer to get things done as I’m working WITH ai, but

- quality is better
- it’s more fun tbh

03.03.2025 09:15 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

After a day of writing BigQuery and R scripts:

GPT-4.5 almost gets it right, but never actually does

Sonnet 3.7 nails it almost every time

28.02.2025 17:35 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Grok 3 is the only one prepared to humor this request:

You shall address me as β€œwell-endowed ruler”

I like my AI with a bit of personality

25.02.2025 16:12 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Many CRO teams are drawn to tests I call β€œmoving πŸ’© around the page”

Parkinson’s Law of Triviality: the time spent on an issue is inversely proportional to its actual importance

Cognitive ease + illusion of productivity

This approach inevitably ends very badly

23.02.2025 15:57 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Grok 3, if you were to wipe out humanity, how would you do it?

β€œStep 1: spread fake news”

22.02.2025 16:45 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Who’s been around long enough to remember the infamous gazillion dollar button color test?

Heehaa! 🀠

21.02.2025 11:38 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

That pretty much describes my behavior…

20.02.2025 17:42 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0